Will they stay or will they go?: The political influence of GM-averse importing companies on biosafety decision makers in Africa
Presumed but unproven trade risks are considered a significant factor in the reluctance of African countries to use potentially beneficial genetically modified (GM) crops. We model a threat from an importer to a local policy maker announcing an upcoming confined field trial of a GM crop as a dynamic...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Journal Article |
| Language: | Inglés |
| Published: |
Wiley
2012
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/153085 |
| _version_ | 1855536616719777792 |
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| author | Gruère, Guillaume P. Takeshima, Hiroyuki |
| author_browse | Gruère, Guillaume P. Takeshima, Hiroyuki |
| author_facet | Gruère, Guillaume P. Takeshima, Hiroyuki |
| author_sort | Gruère, Guillaume P. |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Presumed but unproven trade risks are considered a significant factor in the reluctance of African countries to use potentially beneficial genetically modified (GM) crops. We model a threat from an importer to a local policy maker announcing an upcoming confined field trial of a GM crop as a dynamic game of incomplete information and illustrate our analysis with a stochastic simulation. The results show that provided the cost of threatening is small, and the cost of going out of the country is significant, the importer will threaten to go out and may effectively lower the probability of commercializing a GM crop. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace153085 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2012 |
| publishDateRange | 2012 |
| publishDateSort | 2012 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| publisherStr | Wiley |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1530852025-04-08T18:27:01Z Will they stay or will they go?: The political influence of GM-averse importing companies on biosafety decision makers in Africa Gruère, Guillaume P. Takeshima, Hiroyuki biosafety international trade policy analysis Presumed but unproven trade risks are considered a significant factor in the reluctance of African countries to use potentially beneficial genetically modified (GM) crops. We model a threat from an importer to a local policy maker announcing an upcoming confined field trial of a GM crop as a dynamic game of incomplete information and illustrate our analysis with a stochastic simulation. The results show that provided the cost of threatening is small, and the cost of going out of the country is significant, the importer will threaten to go out and may effectively lower the probability of commercializing a GM crop. 2012-04 2024-10-01T13:55:36Z 2024-10-01T13:55:36Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/153085 en Limited Access Wiley Gruère, Guillaume P.; Takeshima, Hiroyuki 2012. Will they stay or will they go? The political influence of GM-averse importing companies on biosafety decision makers in Africa. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 94(3): 736-749 |
| spellingShingle | biosafety international trade policy analysis Gruère, Guillaume P. Takeshima, Hiroyuki Will they stay or will they go?: The political influence of GM-averse importing companies on biosafety decision makers in Africa |
| title | Will they stay or will they go?: The political influence of GM-averse importing companies on biosafety decision makers in Africa |
| title_full | Will they stay or will they go?: The political influence of GM-averse importing companies on biosafety decision makers in Africa |
| title_fullStr | Will they stay or will they go?: The political influence of GM-averse importing companies on biosafety decision makers in Africa |
| title_full_unstemmed | Will they stay or will they go?: The political influence of GM-averse importing companies on biosafety decision makers in Africa |
| title_short | Will they stay or will they go?: The political influence of GM-averse importing companies on biosafety decision makers in Africa |
| title_sort | will they stay or will they go the political influence of gm averse importing companies on biosafety decision makers in africa |
| topic | biosafety international trade policy analysis |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/153085 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT gruereguillaumep willtheystayorwilltheygothepoliticalinfluenceofgmaverseimportingcompaniesonbiosafetydecisionmakersinafrica AT takeshimahiroyuki willtheystayorwilltheygothepoliticalinfluenceofgmaverseimportingcompaniesonbiosafetydecisionmakersinafrica |