Unintended effects of urbanization in China: Land use spillovers and soil carbon loss

This paper uses a national-level geographic information system database on land use, weather conditions, land quality, soil organic carbon (SOC), topographic features, and economic variables to analyze the major drivers of land use change and the resulting impact on soil carbon storage in China. The...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Li, Man, Wu, JunJie, Deng, Xiangzheng
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2011
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/152596
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author Li, Man
Wu, JunJie
Deng, Xiangzheng
author_browse Deng, Xiangzheng
Li, Man
Wu, JunJie
author_facet Li, Man
Wu, JunJie
Deng, Xiangzheng
author_sort Li, Man
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This paper uses a national-level geographic information system database on land use, weather conditions, land quality, soil organic carbon (SOC), topographic features, and economic variables to analyze the major drivers of land use change and the resulting impact on soil carbon storage in China. The framework developed in this study includes two main components. One is a spatial panel multinomial logit land use model that takes into account the spatial and temporal dependence of land use choices explicitly. The other is a statistical causal evaluation model that estimates the effect of land use change on SOC density. Results indicate that local economic growth, as measured by county-level gross domestic product, was a major cause of urban development and grassland conversions. Rapid expansion of road networks, promoted by massive public investment, increased the conversion of forests, grassland, and unused land to crop production and urban development. Urbanization had significant secondary ripple effects in terms of both indirect land use change and soil carbon loss. Some of the soil carbon loss may be irreversible, at least in the short run.
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spelling CGSpace1525962025-11-06T07:23:23Z Unintended effects of urbanization in China: Land use spillovers and soil carbon loss Li, Man Wu, JunJie Deng, Xiangzheng land use propensity score matching roads soil organic carbon This paper uses a national-level geographic information system database on land use, weather conditions, land quality, soil organic carbon (SOC), topographic features, and economic variables to analyze the major drivers of land use change and the resulting impact on soil carbon storage in China. The framework developed in this study includes two main components. One is a spatial panel multinomial logit land use model that takes into account the spatial and temporal dependence of land use choices explicitly. The other is a statistical causal evaluation model that estimates the effect of land use change on SOC density. Results indicate that local economic growth, as measured by county-level gross domestic product, was a major cause of urban development and grassland conversions. Rapid expansion of road networks, promoted by massive public investment, increased the conversion of forests, grassland, and unused land to crop production and urban development. Urbanization had significant secondary ripple effects in terms of both indirect land use change and soil carbon loss. Some of the soil carbon loss may be irreversible, at least in the short run. 2011 2024-10-01T13:55:00Z 2024-10-01T13:55:00Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/152596 en https://hdl.handle.net/10568/154480 https://hdl.handle.net/10568/160254 https://doi.org/10.2499/0896291413rr138 Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Li, Man; Wu, JunJie; Deng, Xiangzheng. 2011. Unintended effects of urbanization in China: Land use spillovers and soil carbon loss. IFPRI Discussion Paper 1138. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/152596
spellingShingle land use
propensity score matching
roads
soil organic carbon
Li, Man
Wu, JunJie
Deng, Xiangzheng
Unintended effects of urbanization in China: Land use spillovers and soil carbon loss
title Unintended effects of urbanization in China: Land use spillovers and soil carbon loss
title_full Unintended effects of urbanization in China: Land use spillovers and soil carbon loss
title_fullStr Unintended effects of urbanization in China: Land use spillovers and soil carbon loss
title_full_unstemmed Unintended effects of urbanization in China: Land use spillovers and soil carbon loss
title_short Unintended effects of urbanization in China: Land use spillovers and soil carbon loss
title_sort unintended effects of urbanization in china land use spillovers and soil carbon loss
topic land use
propensity score matching
roads
soil organic carbon
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/152596
work_keys_str_mv AT liman unintendedeffectsofurbanizationinchinalandusespilloversandsoilcarbonloss
AT wujunjie unintendedeffectsofurbanizationinchinalandusespilloversandsoilcarbonloss
AT dengxiangzheng unintendedeffectsofurbanizationinchinalandusespilloversandsoilcarbonloss