Food security amid the COVID-19 pandemic in Central Asia: Evidence from rural Tajikistan

Food security has been long understudied in the context of Central Asia. We present an analysis examining household-level food demand for Tajikistan and assessing the magnitude of its food security changes during the COVID-19 pandemic. Based on an extensive household survey data set from Tajikistan,...

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Autores principales: Zhao, Yuhan, Qian, Chen, Zhang, Yumei, Li, Xiande, Akramov, Kamiljon T.
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Elsevier 2024
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/152410
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author Zhao, Yuhan
Qian, Chen
Zhang, Yumei
Li, Xiande
Akramov, Kamiljon T.
author_browse Akramov, Kamiljon T.
Li, Xiande
Qian, Chen
Zhang, Yumei
Zhao, Yuhan
author_facet Zhao, Yuhan
Qian, Chen
Zhang, Yumei
Li, Xiande
Akramov, Kamiljon T.
author_sort Zhao, Yuhan
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Food security has been long understudied in the context of Central Asia. We present an analysis examining household-level food demand for Tajikistan and assessing the magnitude of its food security changes during the COVID-19 pandemic. Based on an extensive household survey data set from Tajikistan, we estimate the expenditure, income, and price elasticities for nine food categories using the QUAIDS model. Then, we develop a microsimulation model using the estimated elasticities to assess the dual impact of declining remittance income and rising food prices stemming from the pandemic shock. There are significant differences in demand elasticities across food groups, with high elasticities observed for nutritious foods, such as meat, fruit, eggs, and milk, in rural households. Moreover, our findings show that changes in remittance income and food prices significantly negatively affected food security for rural households during the COVID-19 pandemic. These findings have important implications for policymakers concerned about rural livelihoods and food security in remittance-receiving economies during the post-pandemic period.
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spelling CGSpace1524102025-10-26T12:50:34Z Food security amid the COVID-19 pandemic in Central Asia: Evidence from rural Tajikistan Zhao, Yuhan Qian, Chen Zhang, Yumei Li, Xiande Akramov, Kamiljon T. COVID-19 food security household surveys rural areas Food security has been long understudied in the context of Central Asia. We present an analysis examining household-level food demand for Tajikistan and assessing the magnitude of its food security changes during the COVID-19 pandemic. Based on an extensive household survey data set from Tajikistan, we estimate the expenditure, income, and price elasticities for nine food categories using the QUAIDS model. Then, we develop a microsimulation model using the estimated elasticities to assess the dual impact of declining remittance income and rising food prices stemming from the pandemic shock. There are significant differences in demand elasticities across food groups, with high elasticities observed for nutritious foods, such as meat, fruit, eggs, and milk, in rural households. Moreover, our findings show that changes in remittance income and food prices significantly negatively affected food security for rural households during the COVID-19 pandemic. These findings have important implications for policymakers concerned about rural livelihoods and food security in remittance-receiving economies during the post-pandemic period. 2024-08 2024-09-26T14:32:27Z 2024-09-26T14:32:27Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/152410 en Open Access Elsevier Zhao, Yuhan; Qian, Chen; Zhang, Yumei; Li, Xiande; and Akramov, Kamiljon T. 2024. Food security amid the COVID-19 pandemic in Central Asia: Evidence from rural Tajikistan. Journal of Integrative Agriculture 23(8): 2853-2867. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jia.2023.12.001
spellingShingle COVID-19
food security
household surveys
rural areas
Zhao, Yuhan
Qian, Chen
Zhang, Yumei
Li, Xiande
Akramov, Kamiljon T.
Food security amid the COVID-19 pandemic in Central Asia: Evidence from rural Tajikistan
title Food security amid the COVID-19 pandemic in Central Asia: Evidence from rural Tajikistan
title_full Food security amid the COVID-19 pandemic in Central Asia: Evidence from rural Tajikistan
title_fullStr Food security amid the COVID-19 pandemic in Central Asia: Evidence from rural Tajikistan
title_full_unstemmed Food security amid the COVID-19 pandemic in Central Asia: Evidence from rural Tajikistan
title_short Food security amid the COVID-19 pandemic in Central Asia: Evidence from rural Tajikistan
title_sort food security amid the covid 19 pandemic in central asia evidence from rural tajikistan
topic COVID-19
food security
household surveys
rural areas
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/152410
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