Modeling crop-livestock interactions in semi-subsistence economies

Climate and weather shocks pose significant threats to crop-livestock systems, leading to economic losses and humanitarian crises. Utilizing a modeling framework that innovatively integrates the crop and livestock systems, this study examines the interactions and dynamic adjustments within these sys...

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Autores principales: Aragie, Emerta A., Thurlow, James
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2024
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/152379
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author Aragie, Emerta A.
Thurlow, James
author_browse Aragie, Emerta A.
Thurlow, James
author_facet Aragie, Emerta A.
Thurlow, James
author_sort Aragie, Emerta A.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Climate and weather shocks pose significant threats to crop-livestock systems, leading to economic losses and humanitarian crises. Utilizing a modeling framework that innovatively integrates the crop and livestock systems, this study examines the interactions and dynamic adjustments within these systems following weather shocks, using Ethiopia as a case study. We also evaluate the effectiveness of various adaptation strategies in sustaining farm incomes, food security, and welfare. Results show unique effects on the crop and livestock sectors resulting from a joint shock on the two systems. While food crops experience a strong and immediate growth effect that fades quickly, the livestock sector faces the full impact of the shock a year later, with the effect persisting to some degree. We also find diverging economic and livestock system adjustment trajectories from the separate shocks to the crop and livestock systems. Further, the intervention options analyzed show contrasting impacts on various outcome indications, with only the resilient crop intervention causing sector-indifferent impacts. Our findings emphasize the importance of proactive measures to enhance the resilience of crop-livestock systems, with implications for policy and practice aimed at safeguarding food security and livelihoods in semi-subsistence economies.
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spelling CGSpace1523792025-12-02T21:03:24Z Modeling crop-livestock interactions in semi-subsistence economies Aragie, Emerta A. Thurlow, James crops economics livestock weather Climate and weather shocks pose significant threats to crop-livestock systems, leading to economic losses and humanitarian crises. Utilizing a modeling framework that innovatively integrates the crop and livestock systems, this study examines the interactions and dynamic adjustments within these systems following weather shocks, using Ethiopia as a case study. We also evaluate the effectiveness of various adaptation strategies in sustaining farm incomes, food security, and welfare. Results show unique effects on the crop and livestock sectors resulting from a joint shock on the two systems. While food crops experience a strong and immediate growth effect that fades quickly, the livestock sector faces the full impact of the shock a year later, with the effect persisting to some degree. We also find diverging economic and livestock system adjustment trajectories from the separate shocks to the crop and livestock systems. Further, the intervention options analyzed show contrasting impacts on various outcome indications, with only the resilient crop intervention causing sector-indifferent impacts. Our findings emphasize the importance of proactive measures to enhance the resilience of crop-livestock systems, with implications for policy and practice aimed at safeguarding food security and livelihoods in semi-subsistence economies. 2024-09-24 2024-09-24T20:53:28Z 2024-09-24T20:53:28Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/152379 en https://hdl.handle.net/10568/143420 Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Aragie, Emerta; and Thurlow, James. 2024. Modeling crop-livestock interactions in semi-subsistence economies. IFPRI Discussion Paper 2278. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/152379
spellingShingle crops
economics
livestock
weather
Aragie, Emerta A.
Thurlow, James
Modeling crop-livestock interactions in semi-subsistence economies
title Modeling crop-livestock interactions in semi-subsistence economies
title_full Modeling crop-livestock interactions in semi-subsistence economies
title_fullStr Modeling crop-livestock interactions in semi-subsistence economies
title_full_unstemmed Modeling crop-livestock interactions in semi-subsistence economies
title_short Modeling crop-livestock interactions in semi-subsistence economies
title_sort modeling crop livestock interactions in semi subsistence economies
topic crops
economics
livestock
weather
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/152379
work_keys_str_mv AT aragieemertaa modelingcroplivestockinteractionsinsemisubsistenceeconomies
AT thurlowjames modelingcroplivestockinteractionsinsemisubsistenceeconomies