Identifying areas where biodiversity is at risk from potential cocoa expansion in the Congo Basin

The growing global demand for cocoa is leading to large-scale land-use changes and habitat loss in biodiversity rich areas such as the tropical lowland forests of Africa. Low productivity and climate change are projected to affect cocoa production in major parts of West Africa, where most of the wor...

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Autores principales: Kamath, Vignesh, Sassen, Marieke, Arnell, Andy, van Soesbergen, Arnout, Bunn, Christian
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Elsevier 2024
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/151766
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author Kamath, Vignesh
Sassen, Marieke
Arnell, Andy
van Soesbergen, Arnout
Bunn, Christian
author_browse Arnell, Andy
Bunn, Christian
Kamath, Vignesh
Sassen, Marieke
van Soesbergen, Arnout
author_facet Kamath, Vignesh
Sassen, Marieke
Arnell, Andy
van Soesbergen, Arnout
Bunn, Christian
author_sort Kamath, Vignesh
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description The growing global demand for cocoa is leading to large-scale land-use changes and habitat loss in biodiversity rich areas such as the tropical lowland forests of Africa. Low productivity and climate change are projected to affect cocoa production in major parts of West Africa, where most of the world’s cocoa is produced. Such effects are expected to drive expansion into Central Africa where governments are looking towards commodity crop production, including cocoa, to support economic development objectives. For example, Cameroon is the fifth largest cocoa producer in the world and aims to triple its cocoa production volume by 2030. A tripling in yields is unlikely, especially within that timeframe, meaning this will only be possible through expansion. In conflict with this trajectory is new legislation in the UK and the EU, banning the import of commodities linked to deforestation. Cocoa is the fastest expanding export crop in Sub-Saharan Africa, but little is known about potential expansion areas in the Congo Basin and how this will impact biodiversity. In this study, we attempt to address this gap by answering two questions: (i) Where are available suitable areas to grow cocoa in the Congo Basin? (ii) Where are the likely impacts of cocoa expansion on biodiversity? We followed a spatial exclusionary approach to identify available areas for cocoa cultivation within areas with moderate to high climatic suitability for cocoa. This was achieved by identifying and excluding land-use and land cover types that are unsuitable for cocoa expansion under different assumptions. We then identified areas of high risk within the available area for cocoa as those with high cocoa suitability and high biodiversity significance (i.e., rarity-weighted species richness) and high accessibility. The study highlights the Congo Basin's central belt as an area where biodiversity would be put at high risk from cocoa expansion. Even with an effective no deforestation policy, biodiversity loss remains a concern in agricultural areas like western Cameroon and the northeastern and eastern edges of the Democratic Republic of the Congo. This research provides valuable insights that can be used to guide the development of strategies that mitigate the adverse effects of cocoa expansion on biodiversity.
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spelling CGSpace1517662025-11-11T19:02:37Z Identifying areas where biodiversity is at risk from potential cocoa expansion in the Congo Basin Kamath, Vignesh Sassen, Marieke Arnell, Andy van Soesbergen, Arnout Bunn, Christian climate change biodiversity cocoa industry climatic factors land-use change The growing global demand for cocoa is leading to large-scale land-use changes and habitat loss in biodiversity rich areas such as the tropical lowland forests of Africa. Low productivity and climate change are projected to affect cocoa production in major parts of West Africa, where most of the world’s cocoa is produced. Such effects are expected to drive expansion into Central Africa where governments are looking towards commodity crop production, including cocoa, to support economic development objectives. For example, Cameroon is the fifth largest cocoa producer in the world and aims to triple its cocoa production volume by 2030. A tripling in yields is unlikely, especially within that timeframe, meaning this will only be possible through expansion. In conflict with this trajectory is new legislation in the UK and the EU, banning the import of commodities linked to deforestation. Cocoa is the fastest expanding export crop in Sub-Saharan Africa, but little is known about potential expansion areas in the Congo Basin and how this will impact biodiversity. In this study, we attempt to address this gap by answering two questions: (i) Where are available suitable areas to grow cocoa in the Congo Basin? (ii) Where are the likely impacts of cocoa expansion on biodiversity? We followed a spatial exclusionary approach to identify available areas for cocoa cultivation within areas with moderate to high climatic suitability for cocoa. This was achieved by identifying and excluding land-use and land cover types that are unsuitable for cocoa expansion under different assumptions. We then identified areas of high risk within the available area for cocoa as those with high cocoa suitability and high biodiversity significance (i.e., rarity-weighted species richness) and high accessibility. The study highlights the Congo Basin's central belt as an area where biodiversity would be put at high risk from cocoa expansion. Even with an effective no deforestation policy, biodiversity loss remains a concern in agricultural areas like western Cameroon and the northeastern and eastern edges of the Democratic Republic of the Congo. This research provides valuable insights that can be used to guide the development of strategies that mitigate the adverse effects of cocoa expansion on biodiversity. 2024-12 2024-08-21T08:15:08Z 2024-08-21T08:15:08Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/151766 en Open Access application/pdf Elsevier Kamath, V.; Sassen, M.; Arnell, A.; van Soesbergen, A.; Bunn, C. (2024) Identifying areas where biodiversity is at risk from potential cocoa expansion in the Congo Basin. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 376: 109216. ISSN: 0167-8809
spellingShingle climate change
biodiversity
cocoa industry
climatic factors
land-use change
Kamath, Vignesh
Sassen, Marieke
Arnell, Andy
van Soesbergen, Arnout
Bunn, Christian
Identifying areas where biodiversity is at risk from potential cocoa expansion in the Congo Basin
title Identifying areas where biodiversity is at risk from potential cocoa expansion in the Congo Basin
title_full Identifying areas where biodiversity is at risk from potential cocoa expansion in the Congo Basin
title_fullStr Identifying areas where biodiversity is at risk from potential cocoa expansion in the Congo Basin
title_full_unstemmed Identifying areas where biodiversity is at risk from potential cocoa expansion in the Congo Basin
title_short Identifying areas where biodiversity is at risk from potential cocoa expansion in the Congo Basin
title_sort identifying areas where biodiversity is at risk from potential cocoa expansion in the congo basin
topic climate change
biodiversity
cocoa industry
climatic factors
land-use change
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/151766
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AT arnellandy identifyingareaswherebiodiversityisatriskfrompotentialcocoaexpansioninthecongobasin
AT vansoesbergenarnout identifyingareaswherebiodiversityisatriskfrompotentialcocoaexpansioninthecongobasin
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