Extreme weather and civil war: Does drought fuel conflict in Somalia through livestock price shocks?
A growing body of evidence shows a causal relationship between extreme weather events and civil conflict incidence at the global level. We find that this causality is also valid for droughts and local violent conflicts in a within‐country setting over a short time frame in the case of Somalia. We es...
| Autores principales: | , |
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| Formato: | Journal Article |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Wiley
2014
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/151482 |
| _version_ | 1855543653579096064 |
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| author | Maystadt, Jean-François Ecker, Olivier |
| author_browse | Ecker, Olivier Maystadt, Jean-François |
| author_facet | Maystadt, Jean-François Ecker, Olivier |
| author_sort | Maystadt, Jean-François |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | A growing body of evidence shows a causal relationship between extreme weather events and civil conflict incidence at the global level. We find that this causality is also valid for droughts and local violent conflicts in a within‐country setting over a short time frame in the case of Somalia. We estimate that a one standard deviation increase in drought intensity and length raises the likelihood of conflict by 62%. We also find that drought affects conflict through livestock price changes, establishing livestock markets as the primary channel of transmission in Somalia. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace151482 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2014 |
| publishDateRange | 2014 |
| publishDateSort | 2014 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| publisherStr | Wiley |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1514822025-11-12T04:49:12Z Extreme weather and civil war: Does drought fuel conflict in Somalia through livestock price shocks? Maystadt, Jean-François Ecker, Olivier pastoralism drought livestock civil conflict weather conflicts prices resilience climate change armed conflicts A growing body of evidence shows a causal relationship between extreme weather events and civil conflict incidence at the global level. We find that this causality is also valid for droughts and local violent conflicts in a within‐country setting over a short time frame in the case of Somalia. We estimate that a one standard deviation increase in drought intensity and length raises the likelihood of conflict by 62%. We also find that drought affects conflict through livestock price changes, establishing livestock markets as the primary channel of transmission in Somalia. 2014 2024-08-01T02:57:38Z 2024-08-01T02:57:38Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/151482 en https://hdl.handle.net/10568/153397 Open Access application/pdf Wiley Maystadt, Jean-François; and Ecker, Olivier. 2014. Extreme weather and civil war: Does drought fuel conflict in Somalia through livestock price shocks? American Journal of Agricultural Economics 96(4): 1157-1182. https://doi.org/10.1093/ajae/aau010 |
| spellingShingle | pastoralism drought livestock civil conflict weather conflicts prices resilience climate change armed conflicts Maystadt, Jean-François Ecker, Olivier Extreme weather and civil war: Does drought fuel conflict in Somalia through livestock price shocks? |
| title | Extreme weather and civil war: Does drought fuel conflict in Somalia through livestock price shocks? |
| title_full | Extreme weather and civil war: Does drought fuel conflict in Somalia through livestock price shocks? |
| title_fullStr | Extreme weather and civil war: Does drought fuel conflict in Somalia through livestock price shocks? |
| title_full_unstemmed | Extreme weather and civil war: Does drought fuel conflict in Somalia through livestock price shocks? |
| title_short | Extreme weather and civil war: Does drought fuel conflict in Somalia through livestock price shocks? |
| title_sort | extreme weather and civil war does drought fuel conflict in somalia through livestock price shocks |
| topic | pastoralism drought livestock civil conflict weather conflicts prices resilience climate change armed conflicts |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/151482 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT maystadtjeanfrancois extremeweatherandcivilwardoesdroughtfuelconflictinsomaliathroughlivestockpriceshocks AT eckerolivier extremeweatherandcivilwardoesdroughtfuelconflictinsomaliathroughlivestockpriceshocks |