Ethiopian wheat yield and yield gap estimation: A small area integrated data approach

We explore the determinants of wheat output per hectare in the 2011-2013 Meher crop seasons in Ethiopia’s four major growing regions by using a panel data approach and combining national agricultural field surveys with relevant publically available GIS and remote sensing products. Despite the extrem...

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Autores principales: Mann, Michael, Warner, James
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2015
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/151445
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author Mann, Michael
Warner, James
author_browse Mann, Michael
Warner, James
author_facet Mann, Michael
Warner, James
author_sort Mann, Michael
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description We explore the determinants of wheat output per hectare in the 2011-2013 Meher crop seasons in Ethiopia’s four major growing regions by using a panel data approach and combining national agricultural field surveys with relevant publically available GIS and remote sensing products. Despite the extremely heterogeneous agro-climatic conditions and fragmented agricultural plots of Ethiopia’s smallholder farmers, panel regression results show several significant variables and explain nearly 40% of the total variation in wheat yields across the country. Using the more stable production estimates, the data integration techniques outlined in this paper explain nearly 75% of the total variation. Finally, we estimate wheat yield gaps by comparing actual and locally attainable yields. Our findings suggest that woredas produce between 9.8 and 86.5%of their potential wheat output per hectare given their altitude, weather conditions, terrain, and plant health. At the median, Amhara, Oromiya, SNNP, and Tigray produce 48.6, 51.5, 49.7, and 61.3% of their local attainable yields, respectively. This research has a broad range of applications, especially from a public policy perspective: identifying causes of yield fluctuations, evaluating larger agricultural intervention packages, and analyzing relative yield potential. Overall, combining field surveys with remote sensing data and other spatial data can be used to identify management priorities for improving production at a variety of administrative levels in the country.
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spelling CGSpace1514452025-11-06T05:17:26Z Ethiopian wheat yield and yield gap estimation: A small area integrated data approach Mann, Michael Warner, James data agricultural production yield gap agricultural policies yield increases smallholders wheat We explore the determinants of wheat output per hectare in the 2011-2013 Meher crop seasons in Ethiopia’s four major growing regions by using a panel data approach and combining national agricultural field surveys with relevant publically available GIS and remote sensing products. Despite the extremely heterogeneous agro-climatic conditions and fragmented agricultural plots of Ethiopia’s smallholder farmers, panel regression results show several significant variables and explain nearly 40% of the total variation in wheat yields across the country. Using the more stable production estimates, the data integration techniques outlined in this paper explain nearly 75% of the total variation. Finally, we estimate wheat yield gaps by comparing actual and locally attainable yields. Our findings suggest that woredas produce between 9.8 and 86.5%of their potential wheat output per hectare given their altitude, weather conditions, terrain, and plant health. At the median, Amhara, Oromiya, SNNP, and Tigray produce 48.6, 51.5, 49.7, and 61.3% of their local attainable yields, respectively. This research has a broad range of applications, especially from a public policy perspective: identifying causes of yield fluctuations, evaluating larger agricultural intervention packages, and analyzing relative yield potential. Overall, combining field surveys with remote sensing data and other spatial data can be used to identify management priorities for improving production at a variety of administrative levels in the country. 2015-05-01 2024-08-01T02:57:22Z 2024-08-01T02:57:22Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/151445 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Mann, Michael; Warner, Jamers. 2015. Ethiopian wheat yield and yield gap estimation: A small area integrated data approach. Addis Ababa, Ethiopia: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/151445
spellingShingle data
agricultural production
yield gap
agricultural policies
yield increases
smallholders
wheat
Mann, Michael
Warner, James
Ethiopian wheat yield and yield gap estimation: A small area integrated data approach
title Ethiopian wheat yield and yield gap estimation: A small area integrated data approach
title_full Ethiopian wheat yield and yield gap estimation: A small area integrated data approach
title_fullStr Ethiopian wheat yield and yield gap estimation: A small area integrated data approach
title_full_unstemmed Ethiopian wheat yield and yield gap estimation: A small area integrated data approach
title_short Ethiopian wheat yield and yield gap estimation: A small area integrated data approach
title_sort ethiopian wheat yield and yield gap estimation a small area integrated data approach
topic data
agricultural production
yield gap
agricultural policies
yield increases
smallholders
wheat
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/151445
work_keys_str_mv AT mannmichael ethiopianwheatyieldandyieldgapestimationasmallareaintegrateddataapproach
AT warnerjames ethiopianwheatyieldandyieldgapestimationasmallareaintegrateddataapproach