Effects of treatment beyond the treated: A general equilibrium impact evaluation of Lesotho's cash grants program
Africa's social cash transfer programs target the most resource‐constrained households, unlikely to expand supply in response to transfer‐induced demand. We propose a local economy‐wide impact evaluation model and use it to evaluate local spillovers from Lesotho's Child Grants Program. We report Mon...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Journal Article |
| Language: | Inglés |
| Published: |
Wiley
2015
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/151406 |
| _version_ | 1855526996811972608 |
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| author | Filipski, Mateusz J. Taylor, J. Edward Thome, Karen Davis, Benjamin |
| author_browse | Davis, Benjamin Filipski, Mateusz J. Taylor, J. Edward Thome, Karen |
| author_facet | Filipski, Mateusz J. Taylor, J. Edward Thome, Karen Davis, Benjamin |
| author_sort | Filipski, Mateusz J. |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Africa's social cash transfer programs target the most resource‐constrained households, unlikely to expand supply in response to transfer‐induced demand. We propose a local economy‐wide impact evaluation model and use it to evaluate local spillovers from Lesotho's Child Grants Program. We report Monte‐Carlo confidence bounds around impact‐simulation results. We find significant spillovers to nonrecipient households and significant real income multipliers, although the latter are dampened if factor supply constraints generate excessive inflationary pressures. Our findings raise questions about how to measure the impacts of cash transfers. Evaluations focusing only on eligible households are likely to significantly understate program impacts. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace151406 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2015 |
| publishDateRange | 2015 |
| publishDateSort | 2015 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| publisherStr | Wiley |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1514062024-11-15T08:52:34Z Effects of treatment beyond the treated: A general equilibrium impact evaluation of Lesotho's cash grants program Filipski, Mateusz J. Taylor, J. Edward Thome, Karen Davis, Benjamin simulation cash transfers gender equity impact assessment Africa's social cash transfer programs target the most resource‐constrained households, unlikely to expand supply in response to transfer‐induced demand. We propose a local economy‐wide impact evaluation model and use it to evaluate local spillovers from Lesotho's Child Grants Program. We report Monte‐Carlo confidence bounds around impact‐simulation results. We find significant spillovers to nonrecipient households and significant real income multipliers, although the latter are dampened if factor supply constraints generate excessive inflationary pressures. Our findings raise questions about how to measure the impacts of cash transfers. Evaluations focusing only on eligible households are likely to significantly understate program impacts. 2015-12-03 2024-08-01T02:57:07Z 2024-08-01T02:57:07Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/151406 en Limited Access Wiley Filipski, Mateusz J.; Taylor, J. Edward; Thome, Karen; and Davis, Benjamin. 2015. Effects of treatment beyond the treated: A general equilibrium impact evaluation of Lesotho's cash grants program. Agricultural Economics 24(2): 227 - 243. https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.12153 |
| spellingShingle | simulation cash transfers gender equity impact assessment Filipski, Mateusz J. Taylor, J. Edward Thome, Karen Davis, Benjamin Effects of treatment beyond the treated: A general equilibrium impact evaluation of Lesotho's cash grants program |
| title | Effects of treatment beyond the treated: A general equilibrium impact evaluation of Lesotho's cash grants program |
| title_full | Effects of treatment beyond the treated: A general equilibrium impact evaluation of Lesotho's cash grants program |
| title_fullStr | Effects of treatment beyond the treated: A general equilibrium impact evaluation of Lesotho's cash grants program |
| title_full_unstemmed | Effects of treatment beyond the treated: A general equilibrium impact evaluation of Lesotho's cash grants program |
| title_short | Effects of treatment beyond the treated: A general equilibrium impact evaluation of Lesotho's cash grants program |
| title_sort | effects of treatment beyond the treated a general equilibrium impact evaluation of lesotho s cash grants program |
| topic | simulation cash transfers gender equity impact assessment |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/151406 |
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