Who is poor this year? Understanding fluctuations in poverty status in three Chinese villages

We shed light on poverty dynamics by analyzing a census-like survey of three villages of Guizhou province during 2004 to 2011. While the absolute poverty rate is decreasing sharply in the sample, households are highly vulnerable to shocks, and rates of entry or re-entry into poverty are high. We dec...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Zhang, Yumei, Filipski, Mateusz J., Chen, Kevin Z., Diao, Xinshen
Formato: Conference Paper
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Association of Agricultural Economists 2015
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/150577
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author Zhang, Yumei
Filipski, Mateusz J.
Chen, Kevin Z.
Diao, Xinshen
author_browse Chen, Kevin Z.
Diao, Xinshen
Filipski, Mateusz J.
Zhang, Yumei
author_facet Zhang, Yumei
Filipski, Mateusz J.
Chen, Kevin Z.
Diao, Xinshen
author_sort Zhang, Yumei
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description We shed light on poverty dynamics by analyzing a census-like survey of three villages of Guizhou province during 2004 to 2011. While the absolute poverty rate is decreasing sharply in the sample, households are highly vulnerable to shocks, and rates of entry or re-entry into poverty are high. We decompose measures of wealth to reveal the proximate causes of poverty entry or exit, then use logistic regression and multivariate hazard models to look for underlying causes. Agricultural income contributes most to changes in poverty status. Poverty entry and exit are both related to household characteristics, assets, and social capital. Rural-urban migration strongly increases the probability of poverty exit, as do government transfers. The frequent changes in poverty status highlight the importance of improving policy targeting and/or implementing village-wide poverty-alleviation strategies. Zhang, Yumei; Filipski, Mateusz; Chen, Kevin Z.; Diao, Xinshen
format Conference Paper
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publishDate 2015
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publisherStr International Association of Agricultural Economists
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spelling CGSpace1505772024-11-13T12:23:14Z Who is poor this year? Understanding fluctuations in poverty status in three Chinese villages Zhang, Yumei Filipski, Mateusz J. Chen, Kevin Z. Diao, Xinshen less favoured areas hazards poverty We shed light on poverty dynamics by analyzing a census-like survey of three villages of Guizhou province during 2004 to 2011. While the absolute poverty rate is decreasing sharply in the sample, households are highly vulnerable to shocks, and rates of entry or re-entry into poverty are high. We decompose measures of wealth to reveal the proximate causes of poverty entry or exit, then use logistic regression and multivariate hazard models to look for underlying causes. Agricultural income contributes most to changes in poverty status. Poverty entry and exit are both related to household characteristics, assets, and social capital. Rural-urban migration strongly increases the probability of poverty exit, as do government transfers. The frequent changes in poverty status highlight the importance of improving policy targeting and/or implementing village-wide poverty-alleviation strategies. Zhang, Yumei; Filipski, Mateusz; Chen, Kevin Z.; Diao, Xinshen 2015-12-21 2024-08-01T02:52:24Z 2024-08-01T02:52:24Z Conference Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/150577 en Open Access International Association of Agricultural Economists Zhang, Yumei; Filipski, Mateusz; Chen, Kevin Z.; and Diao, Xinshen. 2015. Who is poor this year? Understanding fluctuations in poverty status in three Chinese villages. Presented at the 29th Triennial International Conference of Agricultural Economists (ICAE), August 8 -14, 2015 in Milan, Italy. https://purl.umn.edu/212604
spellingShingle less favoured areas
hazards
poverty
Zhang, Yumei
Filipski, Mateusz J.
Chen, Kevin Z.
Diao, Xinshen
Who is poor this year? Understanding fluctuations in poverty status in three Chinese villages
title Who is poor this year? Understanding fluctuations in poverty status in three Chinese villages
title_full Who is poor this year? Understanding fluctuations in poverty status in three Chinese villages
title_fullStr Who is poor this year? Understanding fluctuations in poverty status in three Chinese villages
title_full_unstemmed Who is poor this year? Understanding fluctuations in poverty status in three Chinese villages
title_short Who is poor this year? Understanding fluctuations in poverty status in three Chinese villages
title_sort who is poor this year understanding fluctuations in poverty status in three chinese villages
topic less favoured areas
hazards
poverty
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/150577
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