Welfare effects of policy-induced rising food prices on farm households in Nigeria

Domestic policies in Nigeria have been linked to high, volatile, and rising food prices in the country. In light of these linkages, this paper empirically examines the transmission of key monetary policy variables to domestic food prices and the resulting welfare impacts. Estimates of policy-induced...

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Autores principales: Shittu, Adebayo M., Obayelu, Oluwakemi A., Salman, Kabir K.
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2015
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/150557
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author Shittu, Adebayo M.
Obayelu, Oluwakemi A.
Salman, Kabir K.
author_browse Obayelu, Oluwakemi A.
Salman, Kabir K.
Shittu, Adebayo M.
author_facet Shittu, Adebayo M.
Obayelu, Oluwakemi A.
Salman, Kabir K.
author_sort Shittu, Adebayo M.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Domestic policies in Nigeria have been linked to high, volatile, and rising food prices in the country. In light of these linkages, this paper empirically examines the transmission of key monetary policy variables to domestic food prices and the resulting welfare impacts. Estimates of policy-induced price changes from estimated cointegrating relations between commodity prices and policy variables as well as demand elasticities from estimated quadratic almost ideal demand system (QUAIDS) of households’ consumption expenditures, were employed to estimate the welfare impact (compensating variation) of the policy-induced price changes. The study found that government management of exchange rates and money supplies as well as withdrawal of subsidies on petroleum products have been the main driver of rising food prices in the country. While the average farm household benefited from these price increases, with the mean (median) compensating variation estimated -7.8% (-0.2%) of the household budget, a sizeable proportion (44.1 – 55.5%) of the households suffered welfare losses from various policy induced price changes. These include, notably households of smallholders (14.3 – 84.2%) and female-headed households (34.1 – 62.8%). Overall, while domestic policy actions relating to money supply and subsidy removal were Kaldor–Hicks efficient, exchange rate devaluation was not.
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spelling CGSpace1505572025-11-06T06:37:11Z Welfare effects of policy-induced rising food prices on farm households in Nigeria Shittu, Adebayo M. Obayelu, Oluwakemi A. Salman, Kabir K. households food prices Domestic policies in Nigeria have been linked to high, volatile, and rising food prices in the country. In light of these linkages, this paper empirically examines the transmission of key monetary policy variables to domestic food prices and the resulting welfare impacts. Estimates of policy-induced price changes from estimated cointegrating relations between commodity prices and policy variables as well as demand elasticities from estimated quadratic almost ideal demand system (QUAIDS) of households’ consumption expenditures, were employed to estimate the welfare impact (compensating variation) of the policy-induced price changes. The study found that government management of exchange rates and money supplies as well as withdrawal of subsidies on petroleum products have been the main driver of rising food prices in the country. While the average farm household benefited from these price increases, with the mean (median) compensating variation estimated -7.8% (-0.2%) of the household budget, a sizeable proportion (44.1 – 55.5%) of the households suffered welfare losses from various policy induced price changes. These include, notably households of smallholders (14.3 – 84.2%) and female-headed households (34.1 – 62.8%). Overall, while domestic policy actions relating to money supply and subsidy removal were Kaldor–Hicks efficient, exchange rate devaluation was not. 2015-12-14 2024-08-01T02:52:19Z 2024-08-01T02:52:19Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/150557 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Shittu, Adebayo M.; Obayelu, Oluwakemi A.; and Salman, Kabir K. 2015. Welfare effects of policy-induced rising food prices on farm households in Nigeria. AGRODEP Working Paper 10. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/150557
spellingShingle households
food prices
Shittu, Adebayo M.
Obayelu, Oluwakemi A.
Salman, Kabir K.
Welfare effects of policy-induced rising food prices on farm households in Nigeria
title Welfare effects of policy-induced rising food prices on farm households in Nigeria
title_full Welfare effects of policy-induced rising food prices on farm households in Nigeria
title_fullStr Welfare effects of policy-induced rising food prices on farm households in Nigeria
title_full_unstemmed Welfare effects of policy-induced rising food prices on farm households in Nigeria
title_short Welfare effects of policy-induced rising food prices on farm households in Nigeria
title_sort welfare effects of policy induced rising food prices on farm households in nigeria
topic households
food prices
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/150557
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