The impact of investment in agricultural research and development and agricultural productivity

This study was conducted to determine the impact on world prices, agricultural commodities production, and food security and nutrition of raising the annual growth in agricultural total factor productivity (TFP) from the current estimate of 1.6 percent to 2 percent by 2030 through investment in agri...

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Autores principales: Perez, Nicostrato D., Rosegrant, Mark W.
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2015
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/150373
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author Perez, Nicostrato D.
Rosegrant, Mark W.
author_browse Perez, Nicostrato D.
Rosegrant, Mark W.
author_facet Perez, Nicostrato D.
Rosegrant, Mark W.
author_sort Perez, Nicostrato D.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This study was conducted to determine the impact on world prices, agricultural commodities production, and food security and nutrition of raising the annual growth in agricultural total factor productivity (TFP) from the current estimate of 1.6 percent to 2 percent by 2030 through investment in agricultural research and development (R&D). The study also compared three R&D investment strategies: (1) gradual TFP increase, (2) accelerated TFP increase, and (3) developing-countries-only TFP increase. Results show that compared with the baseline scenario of business as usual, R&D investment strategies to increase TFP to 2 percent can lower world prices of cereals and meat by as much as 17 and 15 percent, respectively, as well as increase area planted in crops by 2.4 percent and crop yields by 8.5 percent by 2030. World cereal and meat production can also be increased by 12.5 and 3.9 percent, respectively, and consumption by 4.5 and 3.9 percent, respectively. The number of malnourished children can be reduced by 7 million (5.4 percent), and the population at risk of hunger can be reduced by 160 million (23.2 percent).
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spelling CGSpace1503732025-11-06T07:19:43Z The impact of investment in agricultural research and development and agricultural productivity Perez, Nicostrato D. Rosegrant, Mark W. resource management technological changes undernutrition agricultural products economic development investment commodities agricultural research research hunger malnutrition macroeconomics nutrition trade food supply productivity children yields food security risk commodity markets prices climate change This study was conducted to determine the impact on world prices, agricultural commodities production, and food security and nutrition of raising the annual growth in agricultural total factor productivity (TFP) from the current estimate of 1.6 percent to 2 percent by 2030 through investment in agricultural research and development (R&D). The study also compared three R&D investment strategies: (1) gradual TFP increase, (2) accelerated TFP increase, and (3) developing-countries-only TFP increase. Results show that compared with the baseline scenario of business as usual, R&D investment strategies to increase TFP to 2 percent can lower world prices of cereals and meat by as much as 17 and 15 percent, respectively, as well as increase area planted in crops by 2.4 percent and crop yields by 8.5 percent by 2030. World cereal and meat production can also be increased by 12.5 and 3.9 percent, respectively, and consumption by 4.5 and 3.9 percent, respectively. The number of malnourished children can be reduced by 7 million (5.4 percent), and the population at risk of hunger can be reduced by 160 million (23.2 percent). 2015-06-25 2024-08-01T02:51:36Z 2024-08-01T02:51:36Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/150373 en https://hdl.handle.net/10568/144974 https://hdl.handle.net/10568/150356 https://hdl.handle.net/10568/149636 Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Perez, Nicostrato D. and Rosegrant, Mark W. 2015. The impact of investment in agricultural research and development and agricultural productivity. IFPRI Discussion Paper 1447. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/150373
spellingShingle resource management
technological changes
undernutrition
agricultural products
economic development
investment
commodities
agricultural research
research
hunger
malnutrition
macroeconomics
nutrition
trade
food supply
productivity
children
yields
food security
risk
commodity markets
prices
climate change
Perez, Nicostrato D.
Rosegrant, Mark W.
The impact of investment in agricultural research and development and agricultural productivity
title The impact of investment in agricultural research and development and agricultural productivity
title_full The impact of investment in agricultural research and development and agricultural productivity
title_fullStr The impact of investment in agricultural research and development and agricultural productivity
title_full_unstemmed The impact of investment in agricultural research and development and agricultural productivity
title_short The impact of investment in agricultural research and development and agricultural productivity
title_sort impact of investment in agricultural research and development and agricultural productivity
topic resource management
technological changes
undernutrition
agricultural products
economic development
investment
commodities
agricultural research
research
hunger
malnutrition
macroeconomics
nutrition
trade
food supply
productivity
children
yields
food security
risk
commodity markets
prices
climate change
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/150373
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