Megatrends and the future of African economies
This article argues that these projections about Africa’s future are a good deal less certain than the conventional wisdom might suggest. Foresighting exercises are often based on tenuous evidence of key underlying trends and tenuous assumptions about the degree to which these trends are inevitable...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Book Chapter |
| Language: | Inglés |
| Published: |
International Food Policy Research Institute
2015
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/149852 |
| _version_ | 1855532826234978304 |
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| author | Traub, Lulama Yeboah, Felix K. Meyer, Ferdinand Jayne, Thomas S. |
| author_browse | Jayne, Thomas S. Meyer, Ferdinand Traub, Lulama Yeboah, Felix K. |
| author_facet | Traub, Lulama Yeboah, Felix K. Meyer, Ferdinand Jayne, Thomas S. |
| author_sort | Traub, Lulama |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | This article argues that these projections about Africa’s future are a good deal less certain than the conventional wisdom might suggest. Foresighting exercises are often based on tenuous evidence of key underlying trends and tenuous assumptions about the degree to which these trends are inevitable exogenous forces. Most current trends are neither irreversible nor inevitable. Just as the current trends being observed in African food systems are the outcomes of the policies and public investment patterns of prior decades, the future will be shaped and transformed by today’s policy actions—either those taken proactively or those taken passively as a result of no action (Seidman 1973). This point may be underappreciated by development thinkers who speak in terms of inevitable transformations |
| format | Book Chapter |
| id | CGSpace149852 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2015 |
| publishDateRange | 2015 |
| publishDateSort | 2015 |
| publisher | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| publisherStr | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1498522025-11-06T04:11:41Z Megatrends and the future of African economies Traub, Lulama Yeboah, Felix K. Meyer, Ferdinand Jayne, Thomas S. economic development agricultural research agricultural development This article argues that these projections about Africa’s future are a good deal less certain than the conventional wisdom might suggest. Foresighting exercises are often based on tenuous evidence of key underlying trends and tenuous assumptions about the degree to which these trends are inevitable exogenous forces. Most current trends are neither irreversible nor inevitable. Just as the current trends being observed in African food systems are the outcomes of the policies and public investment patterns of prior decades, the future will be shaped and transformed by today’s policy actions—either those taken proactively or those taken passively as a result of no action (Seidman 1973). This point may be underappreciated by development thinkers who speak in terms of inevitable transformations 2015-12-21 2024-08-01T02:50:05Z 2024-08-01T02:50:05Z Book Chapter https://hdl.handle.net/10568/149852 en https://doi.org/10.2499/9780896298927 Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Traub, Lulama; Yeboah, Felix K.; Meyer, Ferdinand; and Jayne, Thomas S. 2015. Megatrends and the future of African economies. In Beyond a Middle Income Africa: Transforming African Economies for Sustained Growth with Rising Employment and Incomes. Chapter 3. (Eds) Badiane, Ousmane and Makombe, Tsitsi. ReSAKSS Annual trends and outlook report 2014. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/149852 |
| spellingShingle | economic development agricultural research agricultural development Traub, Lulama Yeboah, Felix K. Meyer, Ferdinand Jayne, Thomas S. Megatrends and the future of African economies |
| title | Megatrends and the future of African economies |
| title_full | Megatrends and the future of African economies |
| title_fullStr | Megatrends and the future of African economies |
| title_full_unstemmed | Megatrends and the future of African economies |
| title_short | Megatrends and the future of African economies |
| title_sort | megatrends and the future of african economies |
| topic | economic development agricultural research agricultural development |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/149852 |
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