Food price volatility in sub-Saharan Africa: Has it really increased?
The food price crisis of 2007–2008 and recent resurgence of food prices have focused increasing attention on the causes and consequences of food price volatility in international food markets and the developing world, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa. In this paper, we examine the patterns and tre...
| Autor principal: | |
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| Formato: | Journal Article |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
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Elsevier
2014
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| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/149401 |
| _version_ | 1855536634720681984 |
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| author | Minot, Nicholas |
| author_browse | Minot, Nicholas |
| author_facet | Minot, Nicholas |
| author_sort | Minot, Nicholas |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | The food price crisis of 2007–2008 and recent resurgence of food prices have focused increasing attention on the causes and consequences of food price volatility in international food markets and the developing world, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa. In this paper, we examine the patterns and trends in food price volatility using an unusually rich database of African staple food prices. We find that international grain prices have become more volatile in recent years (2007–2010) but no evidence that food price volatility has increased in the region. This contrasts with the widespread view that food prices have become more volatile in the region since the global food crisis of 2007–2008. In addition, the results suggest that price volatility is lower for processed and tradable food than for nontradable food, that volatility is lower in the major cities than in secondary cities, and that maize price volatility is actually higher in countries with the most active intervention to stabilize maize prices. These findings suggest that greater attention should be given to the (high) level of food prices in the region rather than volatility per se, that regional and international trade can play a useful role in reducing food price volatility, and that traditional food price stabilization efforts may be counterproductive. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace149401 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2014 |
| publishDateRange | 2014 |
| publishDateSort | 2014 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| publisherStr | Elsevier |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1494012025-09-25T13:01:45Z Food price volatility in sub-Saharan Africa: Has it really increased? Minot, Nicholas volatility maize marketing price stabilization food prices The food price crisis of 2007–2008 and recent resurgence of food prices have focused increasing attention on the causes and consequences of food price volatility in international food markets and the developing world, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa. In this paper, we examine the patterns and trends in food price volatility using an unusually rich database of African staple food prices. We find that international grain prices have become more volatile in recent years (2007–2010) but no evidence that food price volatility has increased in the region. This contrasts with the widespread view that food prices have become more volatile in the region since the global food crisis of 2007–2008. In addition, the results suggest that price volatility is lower for processed and tradable food than for nontradable food, that volatility is lower in the major cities than in secondary cities, and that maize price volatility is actually higher in countries with the most active intervention to stabilize maize prices. These findings suggest that greater attention should be given to the (high) level of food prices in the region rather than volatility per se, that regional and international trade can play a useful role in reducing food price volatility, and that traditional food price stabilization efforts may be counterproductive. 2014-04 2024-08-01T02:49:20Z 2024-08-01T02:49:20Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/149401 en Open Access Elsevier Minot, Nicholas. 2014. Food price volatility in sub-Saharan Africa: Has it really increased? Food Policy 45(April 2014): 45-56. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2013.12.008 |
| spellingShingle | volatility maize marketing price stabilization food prices Minot, Nicholas Food price volatility in sub-Saharan Africa: Has it really increased? |
| title | Food price volatility in sub-Saharan Africa: Has it really increased? |
| title_full | Food price volatility in sub-Saharan Africa: Has it really increased? |
| title_fullStr | Food price volatility in sub-Saharan Africa: Has it really increased? |
| title_full_unstemmed | Food price volatility in sub-Saharan Africa: Has it really increased? |
| title_short | Food price volatility in sub-Saharan Africa: Has it really increased? |
| title_sort | food price volatility in sub saharan africa has it really increased |
| topic | volatility maize marketing price stabilization food prices |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/149401 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT minotnicholas foodpricevolatilityinsubsaharanafricahasitreallyincreased |