The future ain’t what it used to be: Growth models, structural change, and history
In this paper I focus only on medium- to long-term trends for economic growth, considering first the global historical experience and discussing then projections for future growth utilized in some important exercises of prospective. A conclusion is that many projections suggest further acceleration...
| Autor principal: | |
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| Formato: | Artículo preliminar |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
International Food Policy Research Institute
2016
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/148431 |
| _version_ | 1855542949415223296 |
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| author | Díaz-Bonilla, Eugenio |
| author_browse | Díaz-Bonilla, Eugenio |
| author_facet | Díaz-Bonilla, Eugenio |
| author_sort | Díaz-Bonilla, Eugenio |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | In this paper I focus only on medium- to long-term trends for economic growth, considering first the global historical experience and discussing then projections for future growth utilized in some important exercises of prospective. A conclusion is that many projections suggest further acceleration of world economic growth at levels that do not seem to be in line with historical experience. This paper then speculates about possible reasons for that discrepancy. |
| format | Artículo preliminar |
| id | CGSpace148431 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2016 |
| publishDateRange | 2016 |
| publishDateSort | 2016 |
| publisher | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| publisherStr | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1484312025-11-06T07:47:04Z The future ain’t what it used to be: Growth models, structural change, and history Díaz-Bonilla, Eugenio forecasting economic growth modelling macroeconomics trade demography infrastructure economic indicators poverty In this paper I focus only on medium- to long-term trends for economic growth, considering first the global historical experience and discussing then projections for future growth utilized in some important exercises of prospective. A conclusion is that many projections suggest further acceleration of world economic growth at levels that do not seem to be in line with historical experience. This paper then speculates about possible reasons for that discrepancy. 2016-04-18 2024-06-21T09:24:40Z 2024-06-21T09:24:40Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/148431 en https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146731 Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Díaz-Bonilla, Eugenio. The future ain’t what it used to be: Growth models, structural change, and history. 2016. MTID Working Paper. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://hdl.handle.net/10568/148431 |
| spellingShingle | forecasting economic growth modelling macroeconomics trade demography infrastructure economic indicators poverty Díaz-Bonilla, Eugenio The future ain’t what it used to be: Growth models, structural change, and history |
| title | The future ain’t what it used to be: Growth models, structural change, and history |
| title_full | The future ain’t what it used to be: Growth models, structural change, and history |
| title_fullStr | The future ain’t what it used to be: Growth models, structural change, and history |
| title_full_unstemmed | The future ain’t what it used to be: Growth models, structural change, and history |
| title_short | The future ain’t what it used to be: Growth models, structural change, and history |
| title_sort | future ain t what it used to be growth models structural change and history |
| topic | forecasting economic growth modelling macroeconomics trade demography infrastructure economic indicators poverty |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/148431 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT diazbonillaeugenio thefutureaintwhatitusedtobegrowthmodelsstructuralchangeandhistory AT diazbonillaeugenio futureaintwhatitusedtobegrowthmodelsstructuralchangeandhistory |