Measuring the impacts of global trade reform with optimal aggregators of distortions

Aggregation of trade distortion measures is essential in applied work, but traditional trade-weighted average measures are egregiously flawed. This paper shows how appropriate tariff aggregation can overcome underestimation of both efficiency and terms-of-trade gains from reform. The improvement is...

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Main Authors: Laborde Debucquet, David, Martin, Will, van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: Wiley 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/148004
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author Laborde Debucquet, David
Martin, Will
van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique
author_browse Laborde Debucquet, David
Martin, Will
van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique
author_facet Laborde Debucquet, David
Martin, Will
van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique
author_sort Laborde Debucquet, David
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Aggregation of trade distortion measures is essential in applied work, but traditional trade-weighted average measures are egregiously flawed. This paper shows how appropriate tariff aggregation can overcome underestimation of both efficiency and terms-of-trade gains from reform. The improvement is shown to result from better measurement of a distortion effect that is most important in the early stages of reform and a weighting effect that becomes more important as protection is reduced. Applications confirm that the technique can be applied relatively easily, and—with elasticity estimates suggested by the available econometric evidence—point to close to a doubling of the global welfare gains from global trade reform, and dramatic changes in the measured welfare impacts in many individual cases. Sensitivity analysis suggests that, for global trade reform, the ease of substitution between tariff lines is much more important than that between varieties from different countries. We provide an online aggregation tool to allow replication of our analysis or investigation of alternative scenarios for global reform. We hope that this paper will contribute both to wider use of optimal aggregators and improved estimates of the key elasticity parameters.
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spelling CGSpace1480042024-10-25T07:55:09Z Measuring the impacts of global trade reform with optimal aggregators of distortions Laborde Debucquet, David Martin, Will van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique aggregate data trade agreements tariff agreements Aggregation of trade distortion measures is essential in applied work, but traditional trade-weighted average measures are egregiously flawed. This paper shows how appropriate tariff aggregation can overcome underestimation of both efficiency and terms-of-trade gains from reform. The improvement is shown to result from better measurement of a distortion effect that is most important in the early stages of reform and a weighting effect that becomes more important as protection is reduced. Applications confirm that the technique can be applied relatively easily, and—with elasticity estimates suggested by the available econometric evidence—point to close to a doubling of the global welfare gains from global trade reform, and dramatic changes in the measured welfare impacts in many individual cases. Sensitivity analysis suggests that, for global trade reform, the ease of substitution between tariff lines is much more important than that between varieties from different countries. We provide an online aggregation tool to allow replication of our analysis or investigation of alternative scenarios for global reform. We hope that this paper will contribute both to wider use of optimal aggregators and improved estimates of the key elasticity parameters. 2017 2024-06-21T09:23:39Z 2024-06-21T09:23:39Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/148004 en Open Access Wiley Laborde Debucquet, David; Martin, Will; and van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique. 2017. Measuring the impacts of global trade reform with optimal aggregators of distortions. Review of International Economics 25 (2) pp. 403-425: https://doi.org/10.1111/roie.12271
spellingShingle aggregate data
trade agreements
tariff agreements
Laborde Debucquet, David
Martin, Will
van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique
Measuring the impacts of global trade reform with optimal aggregators of distortions
title Measuring the impacts of global trade reform with optimal aggregators of distortions
title_full Measuring the impacts of global trade reform with optimal aggregators of distortions
title_fullStr Measuring the impacts of global trade reform with optimal aggregators of distortions
title_full_unstemmed Measuring the impacts of global trade reform with optimal aggregators of distortions
title_short Measuring the impacts of global trade reform with optimal aggregators of distortions
title_sort measuring the impacts of global trade reform with optimal aggregators of distortions
topic aggregate data
trade agreements
tariff agreements
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/148004
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