Improving effective use of seasonal forecasts in South Africa
The study showed that El Niño no longer strikes the same fear as it used to, even in the agricultural sector where the negative impacts of the 1997-98 and 1982-83 events are within living memory. The widespread drought associated with the El Niño event of 2015/16 (subsequent to this study) may, howe...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Brief |
| Language: | Inglés |
| Published: |
International Food Policy Research Institute
2016
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/147821 |
| _version_ | 1855530852342038528 |
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| author | Vincent, Katharine Cull, Tracy van Garderen, Emma Archer Conway, Declan Dalin, Carole Deryng, Delphine Dorling, Steve Fallon, Amy Landman, Willem |
| author_browse | Conway, Declan Cull, Tracy Dalin, Carole Deryng, Delphine Dorling, Steve Fallon, Amy Landman, Willem Vincent, Katharine van Garderen, Emma Archer |
| author_facet | Vincent, Katharine Cull, Tracy van Garderen, Emma Archer Conway, Declan Dalin, Carole Deryng, Delphine Dorling, Steve Fallon, Amy Landman, Willem |
| author_sort | Vincent, Katharine |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | The study showed that El Niño no longer strikes the same fear as it used to, even in the agricultural sector where the negative impacts of the 1997-98 and 1982-83 events are within living memory. The widespread drought associated with the El Niño event of 2015/16 (subsequent to this study) may, however, reverse this trend and promote greater interest in the role of ENSOs in seasonal forecasts. There is little demand for El Niño-specific forecasts outside of agricultural research. However there is evidence for the use of seasonal forecasts in the agriculture, water and disaster preparedness and response sectors in South Africa. |
| format | Brief |
| id | CGSpace147821 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2016 |
| publishDateRange | 2016 |
| publishDateSort | 2016 |
| publisher | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| publisherStr | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1478212025-11-06T06:47:27Z Improving effective use of seasonal forecasts in South Africa Vincent, Katharine Cull, Tracy van Garderen, Emma Archer Conway, Declan Dalin, Carole Deryng, Delphine Dorling, Steve Fallon, Amy Landman, Willem forecasting periodicity seasonality rainfall patterns weather drought shock resilience el niño The study showed that El Niño no longer strikes the same fear as it used to, even in the agricultural sector where the negative impacts of the 1997-98 and 1982-83 events are within living memory. The widespread drought associated with the El Niño event of 2015/16 (subsequent to this study) may, however, reverse this trend and promote greater interest in the role of ENSOs in seasonal forecasts. There is little demand for El Niño-specific forecasts outside of agricultural research. However there is evidence for the use of seasonal forecasts in the agriculture, water and disaster preparedness and response sectors in South Africa. 2016-05-12 2024-06-21T09:23:22Z 2024-06-21T09:23:22Z Brief https://hdl.handle.net/10568/147821 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Vincent, Katharine; Cull, Tracy; van Garderen, Emma Archer; Conway, Declan; Dalin, Carole; Deryng, Delphine; Dorling, Steve; Fallon, Amy; and Landman, Willem. 2016. Improving effective use of seasonal forecasts in South Africa. SAWHEWS Project Note 1. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://hdl.handle.net/10568/147821 |
| spellingShingle | forecasting periodicity seasonality rainfall patterns weather drought shock resilience el niño Vincent, Katharine Cull, Tracy van Garderen, Emma Archer Conway, Declan Dalin, Carole Deryng, Delphine Dorling, Steve Fallon, Amy Landman, Willem Improving effective use of seasonal forecasts in South Africa |
| title | Improving effective use of seasonal forecasts in South Africa |
| title_full | Improving effective use of seasonal forecasts in South Africa |
| title_fullStr | Improving effective use of seasonal forecasts in South Africa |
| title_full_unstemmed | Improving effective use of seasonal forecasts in South Africa |
| title_short | Improving effective use of seasonal forecasts in South Africa |
| title_sort | improving effective use of seasonal forecasts in south africa |
| topic | forecasting periodicity seasonality rainfall patterns weather drought shock resilience el niño |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/147821 |
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