Ethiopian wheat yield and yield gap estimation: A spatially explicit small area integrated data approach

Despite the routine collection of annual agricultural surveys and significant advances in GIS and remote sensing products, little econometric research has integrated these data sources in estimating developing nations’ agricultural yields. In this paper, we explore the determinants of wheat output p...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Mann, Michael L., Warner, James
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Elsevier 2017
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/147571
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author Mann, Michael L.
Warner, James
author_browse Mann, Michael L.
Warner, James
author_facet Mann, Michael L.
Warner, James
author_sort Mann, Michael L.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Despite the routine collection of annual agricultural surveys and significant advances in GIS and remote sensing products, little econometric research has integrated these data sources in estimating developing nations’ agricultural yields. In this paper, we explore the determinants of wheat output per hectare in Ethiopia during the 2011–2013 principal Meher crop seasons at the kebele administrative area. Using a panel data approach, combining national agricultural field surveys with relevant GIS and remote sensing products, the model explains nearly 40% of the total variation in wheat output per hectare across the country. Reflecting on the high interannual variability in output per hectare, we explore whether these changes can be explained by weather, shocks to, and management of rain-fed agricultural systems. The model identifies specific contributors to wheat yields that include farm management techniques (e.g. area planted, improved seed, fertilizer, and irrigation), weather (e.g. rainfall), water availability (e.g. vegetation and moisture deficit indexes) and policy intervention. Our findings suggest that woredas produce between 9.8 and 86.5% of their locally attainable wheat yields given their altitude, weather conditions, terrain, and plant health. In conclusion, we believe the combination of field surveys with spatial data can be used to identify management priorities for improving production at a variety of administrative levels.
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spelling CGSpace1475712025-03-25T19:33:22Z Ethiopian wheat yield and yield gap estimation: A spatially explicit small area integrated data approach Mann, Michael L. Warner, James spatial data geographical information systems yield gap remote sensing smallholders productivity yields economic indicators wheat Despite the routine collection of annual agricultural surveys and significant advances in GIS and remote sensing products, little econometric research has integrated these data sources in estimating developing nations’ agricultural yields. In this paper, we explore the determinants of wheat output per hectare in Ethiopia during the 2011–2013 principal Meher crop seasons at the kebele administrative area. Using a panel data approach, combining national agricultural field surveys with relevant GIS and remote sensing products, the model explains nearly 40% of the total variation in wheat output per hectare across the country. Reflecting on the high interannual variability in output per hectare, we explore whether these changes can be explained by weather, shocks to, and management of rain-fed agricultural systems. The model identifies specific contributors to wheat yields that include farm management techniques (e.g. area planted, improved seed, fertilizer, and irrigation), weather (e.g. rainfall), water availability (e.g. vegetation and moisture deficit indexes) and policy intervention. Our findings suggest that woredas produce between 9.8 and 86.5% of their locally attainable wheat yields given their altitude, weather conditions, terrain, and plant health. In conclusion, we believe the combination of field surveys with spatial data can be used to identify management priorities for improving production at a variety of administrative levels. 2017-02 2024-06-21T09:23:03Z 2024-06-21T09:23:03Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/147571 en Open Access Elsevier Mann, Michael L.; and Waner, James M. 2017. Ethiopian wheat yield and yield gap estimation: A spatially explicit small area integrated data approach. Field Crops Research 201(1 February 2017): 60-74. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2016.10.014
spellingShingle spatial data
geographical information systems
yield gap
remote sensing
smallholders
productivity
yields
economic indicators
wheat
Mann, Michael L.
Warner, James
Ethiopian wheat yield and yield gap estimation: A spatially explicit small area integrated data approach
title Ethiopian wheat yield and yield gap estimation: A spatially explicit small area integrated data approach
title_full Ethiopian wheat yield and yield gap estimation: A spatially explicit small area integrated data approach
title_fullStr Ethiopian wheat yield and yield gap estimation: A spatially explicit small area integrated data approach
title_full_unstemmed Ethiopian wheat yield and yield gap estimation: A spatially explicit small area integrated data approach
title_short Ethiopian wheat yield and yield gap estimation: A spatially explicit small area integrated data approach
title_sort ethiopian wheat yield and yield gap estimation a spatially explicit small area integrated data approach
topic spatial data
geographical information systems
yield gap
remote sensing
smallholders
productivity
yields
economic indicators
wheat
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/147571
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