Effects of the 2008 flood on economic performance and food security in Yemen: A simulation analysis

Extreme weather events such as floods and droughts can have devastating consequences for individual well being and economic development, in particular in poor societies with limited availability of coping mechanisms. Combining a dynamic computable general equilibrium model of the Yemeni economy with...

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Autores principales: Breisinger, Clemens, Ecker, Olivier, Thiele, Rainer, Wiebelt, Manfred
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Wiley 2016
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/147534
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author Breisinger, Clemens
Ecker, Olivier
Thiele, Rainer
Wiebelt, Manfred
author_browse Breisinger, Clemens
Ecker, Olivier
Thiele, Rainer
Wiebelt, Manfred
author_facet Breisinger, Clemens
Ecker, Olivier
Thiele, Rainer
Wiebelt, Manfred
author_sort Breisinger, Clemens
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Extreme weather events such as floods and droughts can have devastating consequences for individual well being and economic development, in particular in poor societies with limited availability of coping mechanisms. Combining a dynamic computable general equilibrium model of the Yemeni economy with a household‐level calorie consumption simulation model, this paper assesses the economy‐wide, agricultural and food security effects of the 2008 tropical storm and flash flood that hit the Hadramout and Al‐Mahrah governorates. The estimation results suggest that agricultural value added, farm household incomes and rural food security deteriorated long term in the flood‐affected areas. Due to economic spillover effects, significant income losses and increases in food insecurity also occurred in areas that were unaffected by flooding. This finding suggests that while most relief efforts are typically concentrated in directly affected areas, future efforts should also consider surrounding areas and indirectly affected people.
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spelling CGSpace1475342024-10-25T07:58:32Z Effects of the 2008 flood on economic performance and food security in Yemen: A simulation analysis Breisinger, Clemens Ecker, Olivier Thiele, Rainer Wiebelt, Manfred flooding macroeconomics computable general equilibrium models extreme weather events food security Extreme weather events such as floods and droughts can have devastating consequences for individual well being and economic development, in particular in poor societies with limited availability of coping mechanisms. Combining a dynamic computable general equilibrium model of the Yemeni economy with a household‐level calorie consumption simulation model, this paper assesses the economy‐wide, agricultural and food security effects of the 2008 tropical storm and flash flood that hit the Hadramout and Al‐Mahrah governorates. The estimation results suggest that agricultural value added, farm household incomes and rural food security deteriorated long term in the flood‐affected areas. Due to economic spillover effects, significant income losses and increases in food insecurity also occurred in areas that were unaffected by flooding. This finding suggests that while most relief efforts are typically concentrated in directly affected areas, future efforts should also consider surrounding areas and indirectly affected people. 2016-01-01 2024-06-21T09:23:00Z 2024-06-21T09:23:00Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/147534 en Wiley Breisinger, Clemens; Ecker, Olivier; Thiele, Rainer; Wiebelt, Manfred. 2016. Effects of the 2008 flood on economic performance and food security in Yemen: A simulation analysis. Disasters 40(2): 304 - 326. https://doi.org/10.1111/disa.12147
spellingShingle flooding
macroeconomics
computable general equilibrium models
extreme weather events
food security
Breisinger, Clemens
Ecker, Olivier
Thiele, Rainer
Wiebelt, Manfred
Effects of the 2008 flood on economic performance and food security in Yemen: A simulation analysis
title Effects of the 2008 flood on economic performance and food security in Yemen: A simulation analysis
title_full Effects of the 2008 flood on economic performance and food security in Yemen: A simulation analysis
title_fullStr Effects of the 2008 flood on economic performance and food security in Yemen: A simulation analysis
title_full_unstemmed Effects of the 2008 flood on economic performance and food security in Yemen: A simulation analysis
title_short Effects of the 2008 flood on economic performance and food security in Yemen: A simulation analysis
title_sort effects of the 2008 flood on economic performance and food security in yemen a simulation analysis
topic flooding
macroeconomics
computable general equilibrium models
extreme weather events
food security
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/147534
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