Industrial water pollution discharge taxes in China: A multi-sector dynamic analysis

We explore how water pollution policy reforms in China could reduce industrial wastewater pollution with minimum adverse impact on GDP growth. We use a multi-sector dynamic Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model, jointly developed by Harvard University and Tsinghua University, to examine the lon...

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Autores principales: Guo, Xiaolin, Ho, Mun Sing, You, Liangzhi, Cao, Jing, Fang, Yu, Tu, Taotao, Hong, Yang
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: MDPI 2018
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/147256
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author Guo, Xiaolin
Ho, Mun Sing
You, Liangzhi
Cao, Jing
Fang, Yu
Tu, Taotao
Hong, Yang
author_browse Cao, Jing
Fang, Yu
Guo, Xiaolin
Ho, Mun Sing
Hong, Yang
Tu, Taotao
You, Liangzhi
author_facet Guo, Xiaolin
Ho, Mun Sing
You, Liangzhi
Cao, Jing
Fang, Yu
Tu, Taotao
Hong, Yang
author_sort Guo, Xiaolin
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description We explore how water pollution policy reforms in China could reduce industrial wastewater pollution with minimum adverse impact on GDP growth. We use a multi-sector dynamic Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model, jointly developed by Harvard University and Tsinghua University, to examine the long-term impact of pollution taxes. A firm-level dataset of wastewater and COD discharge is compiled and aggregated to provide COD-intensities for 22 industrial sectors. We simulated the impact of 4 different sets of Pigovian taxes on the output of these industrial sectors, where the tax rate depends on the COD-output intensity. In the baseline low rate of COD tax, COD discharge is projected to rise from 36 million tons in 2018 to 48 million in 2030, while GDP grows at 6.9% per year. We find that raising the COD tax by 8 times will lower COD discharge by 1.6% by 2030, while a high 20-times tax will cut it by 4.0%. The most COD-intensive sectors—textile goods, apparel, and food products—have the biggest reduction in output and emissions. The additional tax revenue is recycled by cutting existing taxes, including taxes on profits, leading to higher investment. This shift from consumption to investment leads to a slightly higher GDP over time.
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publishDate 2018
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spelling CGSpace1472562025-12-08T10:29:22Z Industrial water pollution discharge taxes in China: A multi-sector dynamic analysis Guo, Xiaolin Ho, Mun Sing You, Liangzhi Cao, Jing Fang, Yu Tu, Taotao Hong, Yang wastewater water management water pollution taxes water policies pollution fiscal policies industrial cod discharge computable general equilibrium model pollution prevention We explore how water pollution policy reforms in China could reduce industrial wastewater pollution with minimum adverse impact on GDP growth. We use a multi-sector dynamic Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model, jointly developed by Harvard University and Tsinghua University, to examine the long-term impact of pollution taxes. A firm-level dataset of wastewater and COD discharge is compiled and aggregated to provide COD-intensities for 22 industrial sectors. We simulated the impact of 4 different sets of Pigovian taxes on the output of these industrial sectors, where the tax rate depends on the COD-output intensity. In the baseline low rate of COD tax, COD discharge is projected to rise from 36 million tons in 2018 to 48 million in 2030, while GDP grows at 6.9% per year. We find that raising the COD tax by 8 times will lower COD discharge by 1.6% by 2030, while a high 20-times tax will cut it by 4.0%. The most COD-intensive sectors—textile goods, apparel, and food products—have the biggest reduction in output and emissions. The additional tax revenue is recycled by cutting existing taxes, including taxes on profits, leading to higher investment. This shift from consumption to investment leads to a slightly higher GDP over time. 2018-11-28 2024-06-21T09:12:40Z 2024-06-21T09:12:40Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/147256 en Open Access MDPI Guo, Xiaolin; Ho, Mun Sing; You, Liangzhi; Cao, Jing; Fang, Yu; Tu, Taotao; and Hong, Yang. 2018. Industrial water pollution discharge taxes in China: A multi-sector dynamic analysis. Water 10(12), 1742. https://doi.org/10.3390/w10121742
spellingShingle wastewater
water management
water pollution
taxes
water policies
pollution
fiscal policies
industrial cod discharge
computable general equilibrium model
pollution prevention
Guo, Xiaolin
Ho, Mun Sing
You, Liangzhi
Cao, Jing
Fang, Yu
Tu, Taotao
Hong, Yang
Industrial water pollution discharge taxes in China: A multi-sector dynamic analysis
title Industrial water pollution discharge taxes in China: A multi-sector dynamic analysis
title_full Industrial water pollution discharge taxes in China: A multi-sector dynamic analysis
title_fullStr Industrial water pollution discharge taxes in China: A multi-sector dynamic analysis
title_full_unstemmed Industrial water pollution discharge taxes in China: A multi-sector dynamic analysis
title_short Industrial water pollution discharge taxes in China: A multi-sector dynamic analysis
title_sort industrial water pollution discharge taxes in china a multi sector dynamic analysis
topic wastewater
water management
water pollution
taxes
water policies
pollution
fiscal policies
industrial cod discharge
computable general equilibrium model
pollution prevention
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/147256
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AT homunsing industrialwaterpollutiondischargetaxesinchinaamultisectordynamicanalysis
AT youliangzhi industrialwaterpollutiondischargetaxesinchinaamultisectordynamicanalysis
AT caojing industrialwaterpollutiondischargetaxesinchinaamultisectordynamicanalysis
AT fangyu industrialwaterpollutiondischargetaxesinchinaamultisectordynamicanalysis
AT tutaotao industrialwaterpollutiondischargetaxesinchinaamultisectordynamicanalysis
AT hongyang industrialwaterpollutiondischargetaxesinchinaamultisectordynamicanalysis