Implications of the global growth slowdown for rural poverty

Unfortunately, projected growth rates have fallen in recent years; this paper examines the impact of this slowdown on the poor, particularly the rural poor. It first uses a global model to assess the impacts of lower productivity on key price and income variables. It then uses microsimulation models...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Laborde Debucquet, David, Martin, Will
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Wiley 2018
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/147232
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author Laborde Debucquet, David
Martin, Will
author_browse Laborde Debucquet, David
Martin, Will
author_facet Laborde Debucquet, David
Martin, Will
author_sort Laborde Debucquet, David
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Unfortunately, projected growth rates have fallen in recent years; this paper examines the impact of this slowdown on the poor, particularly the rural poor. It first uses a global model to assess the impacts of lower productivity on key price and income variables. It then uses microsimulation models for almost 300,000 households to assess the impacts on their real incomes. Although poverty rates overall are projected to fall substantially, the poorest countries see the greatest slowdown in poverty reduction, with over 5 percent of their population projected to remain below the poverty line. In addition, poverty rates will remain alarmingly high in many countries. By 2030, average extreme poverty in rural areas is now projected at about 7.5 percent, rather than previous estimates of 7.1 percent.
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spelling CGSpace1472322025-12-08T10:29:22Z Implications of the global growth slowdown for rural poverty Laborde Debucquet, David Martin, Will economic recesstion rural population economic growth rural poverty poverty alleviation developing countries economic growth rate Unfortunately, projected growth rates have fallen in recent years; this paper examines the impact of this slowdown on the poor, particularly the rural poor. It first uses a global model to assess the impacts of lower productivity on key price and income variables. It then uses microsimulation models for almost 300,000 households to assess the impacts on their real incomes. Although poverty rates overall are projected to fall substantially, the poorest countries see the greatest slowdown in poverty reduction, with over 5 percent of their population projected to remain below the poverty line. In addition, poverty rates will remain alarmingly high in many countries. By 2030, average extreme poverty in rural areas is now projected at about 7.5 percent, rather than previous estimates of 7.1 percent. 2018-04-05 2024-06-21T09:12:28Z 2024-06-21T09:12:28Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/147232 en Open Access Wiley Laborde Debucquet, David; and Martin, Will. 2018. Implications of the global growth slowdown for rural poverty. Agricultural Economics 49(3): 325-338. https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.12419
spellingShingle economic recesstion
rural population
economic growth
rural poverty
poverty alleviation
developing countries
economic growth rate
Laborde Debucquet, David
Martin, Will
Implications of the global growth slowdown for rural poverty
title Implications of the global growth slowdown for rural poverty
title_full Implications of the global growth slowdown for rural poverty
title_fullStr Implications of the global growth slowdown for rural poverty
title_full_unstemmed Implications of the global growth slowdown for rural poverty
title_short Implications of the global growth slowdown for rural poverty
title_sort implications of the global growth slowdown for rural poverty
topic economic recesstion
rural population
economic growth
rural poverty
poverty alleviation
developing countries
economic growth rate
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/147232
work_keys_str_mv AT labordedebucquetdavid implicationsoftheglobalgrowthslowdownforruralpoverty
AT martinwill implicationsoftheglobalgrowthslowdownforruralpoverty