Impacts of the 2016/17 food insecurity response program on maize prices in Malawi
In early 2016, Malawi suffered its second consecutive year of harvest failure. An emergency was declared in April 2016 and the resulting humanitarian response, known as the Food Insecurity Response Program (FIRP), was of unprecedented scale: almost 40 percent of the population received in-kind food...
| Main Authors: | , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Artículo preliminar |
| Language: | Inglés |
| Published: |
International Food Policy Research Institute
2018
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/147225 |
| _version_ | 1855519482749911040 |
|---|---|
| author | Baulch, Bob Gondwe, Anderson Chafuwa, Chiyembekezo |
| author_browse | Baulch, Bob Chafuwa, Chiyembekezo Gondwe, Anderson |
| author_facet | Baulch, Bob Gondwe, Anderson Chafuwa, Chiyembekezo |
| author_sort | Baulch, Bob |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | In early 2016, Malawi suffered its second consecutive year of harvest failure. An emergency was declared in April 2016 and the resulting humanitarian response, known as the Food Insecurity Response Program (FIRP), was of unprecedented scale: almost 40 percent of the population received in-kind food or cash transfers (or both) at an estimated cost of US$ 287 million. Yet despite the extensive nature of the response, prices for the main food staple, maize, stayed relatively ‘flat’ throughout most of the year and then declined during the pre-harvest lean season. This paper examines this paradox, focusing on why in-kind food distribution did not depress maize prices while cash transfers did not raise them. Using daily information on maize prices, and food and cash transfers from ten major markets during the height of the FIRP, we employ time series methods to analyze the properties of the series and model the formation of maize prices using autoregressive distributed lag models. |
| format | Artículo preliminar |
| id | CGSpace147225 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2018 |
| publishDateRange | 2018 |
| publishDateSort | 2018 |
| publisher | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| publisherStr | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1472252025-11-06T05:40:03Z Impacts of the 2016/17 food insecurity response program on maize prices in Malawi Baulch, Bob Gondwe, Anderson Chafuwa, Chiyembekezo market prices social protection maize agricultural prices cash transfers food aid In early 2016, Malawi suffered its second consecutive year of harvest failure. An emergency was declared in April 2016 and the resulting humanitarian response, known as the Food Insecurity Response Program (FIRP), was of unprecedented scale: almost 40 percent of the population received in-kind food or cash transfers (or both) at an estimated cost of US$ 287 million. Yet despite the extensive nature of the response, prices for the main food staple, maize, stayed relatively ‘flat’ throughout most of the year and then declined during the pre-harvest lean season. This paper examines this paradox, focusing on why in-kind food distribution did not depress maize prices while cash transfers did not raise them. Using daily information on maize prices, and food and cash transfers from ten major markets during the height of the FIRP, we employ time series methods to analyze the properties of the series and model the formation of maize prices using autoregressive distributed lag models. 2018-03-28 2024-06-21T09:12:24Z 2024-06-21T09:12:24Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/147225 en https://doi.org/10.2499/1037800854 Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Baulch, Bob; Gondwe, Anderson; and Chafuwa, Chiyembekezo. 2018. Impacts of the 2016/17 food insecurity response program on maize prices in Malawi. MaSSP Working Paper 22. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://hdl.handle.net/10568/147225 |
| spellingShingle | market prices social protection maize agricultural prices cash transfers food aid Baulch, Bob Gondwe, Anderson Chafuwa, Chiyembekezo Impacts of the 2016/17 food insecurity response program on maize prices in Malawi |
| title | Impacts of the 2016/17 food insecurity response program on maize prices in Malawi |
| title_full | Impacts of the 2016/17 food insecurity response program on maize prices in Malawi |
| title_fullStr | Impacts of the 2016/17 food insecurity response program on maize prices in Malawi |
| title_full_unstemmed | Impacts of the 2016/17 food insecurity response program on maize prices in Malawi |
| title_short | Impacts of the 2016/17 food insecurity response program on maize prices in Malawi |
| title_sort | impacts of the 2016 17 food insecurity response program on maize prices in malawi |
| topic | market prices social protection maize agricultural prices cash transfers food aid |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/147225 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT baulchbob impactsofthe201617foodinsecurityresponseprogramonmaizepricesinmalawi AT gondweanderson impactsofthe201617foodinsecurityresponseprogramonmaizepricesinmalawi AT chafuwachiyembekezo impactsofthe201617foodinsecurityresponseprogramonmaizepricesinmalawi |