Farm households in Egypt: A typology for assessing vulnerability to climate change
Using governorate-level national data and household survey data, we build a typology of farm households in Egypt that allows us to describe how different farm households behave in response to policy and environmental changes affecting their resources, welfare, and opportunities in output and input m...
| Autores principales: | , , |
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| Formato: | Artículo preliminar |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
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International Food Policy Research Institute
2018
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| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146966 |
| _version_ | 1855536868752359424 |
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| author | Nin-Pratt, Alejandro ElDidi, Hagar Breisinger, Clemens |
| author_browse | Breisinger, Clemens ElDidi, Hagar Nin-Pratt, Alejandro |
| author_facet | Nin-Pratt, Alejandro ElDidi, Hagar Breisinger, Clemens |
| author_sort | Nin-Pratt, Alejandro |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Using governorate-level national data and household survey data, we build a typology of farm households in Egypt that allows us to describe how different farm households behave in response to policy and environmental changes affecting their resources, welfare, and opportunities in output and input markets. One of the major contributions of this study is the building of a unique dataset that combines various data sources at different levels of aggregation, providing the information needed to model the farm typology. We used this dataset as the input of a multi-step procedure that includes the use of principal components and cluster analyses to identify 14 household types. To illustrate possible uses of the typology, we look at the vulnerability of the different types of households to projected changes in temperature, water availability, and water demand from crops due to climate change, and discuss which farmers, production systems, and regions will be most affected by climate shocks. We assumed that increased temperatures by 2050 would result in increased water demand and reduced yields for most crops due to heat stress and harsher growing conditions. We define three climate change scenarios that differ in the expected water flows of the Nile into the Aswan High Dam. Results of simulations using a household model suggest that Egypt is likely to experience a significant reduction in output, agricultural labor demand, and cultivated area because of climate change, although the severity of this outcome will depend on the magnitude of changes in the Nile’s flow. Most affected by these changes will be small and average households producing field crops. Our results suggest that to mitigate the risks and possible future impacts of climate change, the country will need to: Move away from policies supporting production of cereals and water-inefficient crops towards diversification of production into water-efficient high-value crops; facilitate the access of skilled resource-poor producers to capital and markets; and create opportunities for off-farm employment and income for smallholders that are using resources inefficiently. |
| format | Artículo preliminar |
| id | CGSpace146966 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2018 |
| publishDateRange | 2018 |
| publishDateSort | 2018 |
| publisher | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| publisherStr | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1469662025-11-06T07:23:08Z Farm households in Egypt: A typology for assessing vulnerability to climate change Nin-Pratt, Alejandro ElDidi, Hagar Breisinger, Clemens households capacity development crop yield typology climate change adaptation food security climate change Using governorate-level national data and household survey data, we build a typology of farm households in Egypt that allows us to describe how different farm households behave in response to policy and environmental changes affecting their resources, welfare, and opportunities in output and input markets. One of the major contributions of this study is the building of a unique dataset that combines various data sources at different levels of aggregation, providing the information needed to model the farm typology. We used this dataset as the input of a multi-step procedure that includes the use of principal components and cluster analyses to identify 14 household types. To illustrate possible uses of the typology, we look at the vulnerability of the different types of households to projected changes in temperature, water availability, and water demand from crops due to climate change, and discuss which farmers, production systems, and regions will be most affected by climate shocks. We assumed that increased temperatures by 2050 would result in increased water demand and reduced yields for most crops due to heat stress and harsher growing conditions. We define three climate change scenarios that differ in the expected water flows of the Nile into the Aswan High Dam. Results of simulations using a household model suggest that Egypt is likely to experience a significant reduction in output, agricultural labor demand, and cultivated area because of climate change, although the severity of this outcome will depend on the magnitude of changes in the Nile’s flow. Most affected by these changes will be small and average households producing field crops. Our results suggest that to mitigate the risks and possible future impacts of climate change, the country will need to: Move away from policies supporting production of cereals and water-inefficient crops towards diversification of production into water-efficient high-value crops; facilitate the access of skilled resource-poor producers to capital and markets; and create opportunities for off-farm employment and income for smallholders that are using resources inefficiently. 2018-09-06 2024-06-21T09:10:01Z 2024-06-21T09:10:01Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146966 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Nin-Pratt, Alejandro; ElDidi, Hagar; and Breisinger, Clemens. 2018. Farm households in Egypt: A typology for assessing vulnerability to climate change. MENA RP Working Paper 12. Washington, DC and Cairo, Egypt: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146966 |
| spellingShingle | households capacity development crop yield typology climate change adaptation food security climate change Nin-Pratt, Alejandro ElDidi, Hagar Breisinger, Clemens Farm households in Egypt: A typology for assessing vulnerability to climate change |
| title | Farm households in Egypt: A typology for assessing vulnerability to climate change |
| title_full | Farm households in Egypt: A typology for assessing vulnerability to climate change |
| title_fullStr | Farm households in Egypt: A typology for assessing vulnerability to climate change |
| title_full_unstemmed | Farm households in Egypt: A typology for assessing vulnerability to climate change |
| title_short | Farm households in Egypt: A typology for assessing vulnerability to climate change |
| title_sort | farm households in egypt a typology for assessing vulnerability to climate change |
| topic | households capacity development crop yield typology climate change adaptation food security climate change |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146966 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT ninprattalejandro farmhouseholdsinegyptatypologyforassessingvulnerabilitytoclimatechange AT eldidihagar farmhouseholdsinegyptatypologyforassessingvulnerabilitytoclimatechange AT breisingerclemens farmhouseholdsinegyptatypologyforassessingvulnerabilitytoclimatechange |