Cropland expansion in Ethiopia: Economic and climatic considerations for highland agriculture

Agricultural GDP in Ethiopia grew at an average 7.3 percent per year between 2001/02 and 2012/13. Most of this dynamism occurred in the highlands, where high population density and land scarcity begs the question of how future agricultural output can be maintained to sustain the previous decade’s mo...

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Main Authors: Schmidt, Emily, Thomas, Timothy S.
Format: Artículo preliminar
Language:Inglés
Published: International Food Policy Research Institute 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146724
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author Schmidt, Emily
Thomas, Timothy S.
author_browse Schmidt, Emily
Thomas, Timothy S.
author_facet Schmidt, Emily
Thomas, Timothy S.
author_sort Schmidt, Emily
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Agricultural GDP in Ethiopia grew at an average 7.3 percent per year between 2001/02 and 2012/13. Most of this dynamism occurred in the highlands, where high population density and land scarcity begs the question of how future agricultural output can be maintained to sustain the previous decade’s momentum. This paper uses a spatial regression approach to calculate the maximum crop area potential of each kebele in Ethiopia. We find that although the highlands have a greater potential for cropped area, there is little room to expand. A substantial share of the highlands has limited economic potential to expand the land base devoted to agriculture. In fact, many areas may be reaching an environmental threshold that will require the local agricultural land area to contract to maintain the agricultural productivity outcomes realized in previous years.
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spelling CGSpace1467242025-11-06T06:32:14Z Cropland expansion in Ethiopia: Economic and climatic considerations for highland agriculture Schmidt, Emily Thomas, Timothy S. highlands agricultural growth farmland population growth population density land use cultivated land Agricultural GDP in Ethiopia grew at an average 7.3 percent per year between 2001/02 and 2012/13. Most of this dynamism occurred in the highlands, where high population density and land scarcity begs the question of how future agricultural output can be maintained to sustain the previous decade’s momentum. This paper uses a spatial regression approach to calculate the maximum crop area potential of each kebele in Ethiopia. We find that although the highlands have a greater potential for cropped area, there is little room to expand. A substantial share of the highlands has limited economic potential to expand the land base devoted to agriculture. In fact, many areas may be reaching an environmental threshold that will require the local agricultural land area to contract to maintain the agricultural productivity outcomes realized in previous years. 2018-11-22 2024-06-21T09:08:29Z 2024-06-21T09:08:29Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146724 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Ethiopian Development Research Institute Schmidt, Emily and Thomas, Timothy S. 2018. Cropland expansion in Ethiopia: Economic and climatic considerations for highland agriculture. ESSP Working Paper 127. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146724
spellingShingle highlands
agricultural growth
farmland
population growth
population density
land use
cultivated land
Schmidt, Emily
Thomas, Timothy S.
Cropland expansion in Ethiopia: Economic and climatic considerations for highland agriculture
title Cropland expansion in Ethiopia: Economic and climatic considerations for highland agriculture
title_full Cropland expansion in Ethiopia: Economic and climatic considerations for highland agriculture
title_fullStr Cropland expansion in Ethiopia: Economic and climatic considerations for highland agriculture
title_full_unstemmed Cropland expansion in Ethiopia: Economic and climatic considerations for highland agriculture
title_short Cropland expansion in Ethiopia: Economic and climatic considerations for highland agriculture
title_sort cropland expansion in ethiopia economic and climatic considerations for highland agriculture
topic highlands
agricultural growth
farmland
population growth
population density
land use
cultivated land
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146724
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