Climate change, agriculture, and adaptation options for Guatemala
Climate change will be a significant challenge to farmers in Guatemala. In this report, we use climate models, crop models, and economic models to evaluate the impact of climate change at 50-kilometer resolution inside Guatemala and at the national level. We find that both maize and beans will likel...
| Autores principales: | , , |
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| Formato: | Artículo preliminar |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
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International Food Policy Research Institute
2019
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146593 |
| _version_ | 1855534005061943296 |
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| author | Castellanos, Edwin J. Thomas, Timothy S. Dunston, Shahnila |
| author_browse | Castellanos, Edwin J. Dunston, Shahnila Thomas, Timothy S. |
| author_facet | Castellanos, Edwin J. Thomas, Timothy S. Dunston, Shahnila |
| author_sort | Castellanos, Edwin J. |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Climate change will be a significant challenge to farmers in Guatemala. In this report, we use climate models, crop models, and economic models to evaluate the impact of climate change at 50-kilometer resolution inside Guatemala and at the national level. We find that both maize and beans will likely have their yields set back by around 14 percent by climate change by 2050. Sugarcane could lose quite a bit more, maybe as high as 35 percent. And that there could be considerable disruption to coffee production, as coffee grown in lower elevations today will likely be not economically viable by 2050. Much can be done to reduce the adverse impact of climate change, and as a result of the analysis done here, we make recommendations to policymakers for actions that they should take to help farmers adapt to the changing climate. |
| format | Artículo preliminar |
| id | CGSpace146593 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2019 |
| publishDateRange | 2019 |
| publishDateSort | 2019 |
| publisher | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| publisherStr | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1465932025-11-06T07:07:29Z Climate change, agriculture, and adaptation options for Guatemala Castellanos, Edwin J. Thomas, Timothy S. Dunston, Shahnila mathematical models agricultural policies sugar cane maize climate change adaptation coffee yields food security crop modelling climate change Climate change will be a significant challenge to farmers in Guatemala. In this report, we use climate models, crop models, and economic models to evaluate the impact of climate change at 50-kilometer resolution inside Guatemala and at the national level. We find that both maize and beans will likely have their yields set back by around 14 percent by climate change by 2050. Sugarcane could lose quite a bit more, maybe as high as 35 percent. And that there could be considerable disruption to coffee production, as coffee grown in lower elevations today will likely be not economically viable by 2050. Much can be done to reduce the adverse impact of climate change, and as a result of the analysis done here, we make recommendations to policymakers for actions that they should take to help farmers adapt to the changing climate. 2019-01-01 2024-06-21T09:07:40Z 2024-06-21T09:07:40Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146593 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Castellanos, Edwin J.; Thomas, Timothy S.; and Dunston, Shanila. 2018. Climate change, agriculture, and adaptation options for Guatemala. IFPRI Discussion Paper 1789. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146593 |
| spellingShingle | mathematical models agricultural policies sugar cane maize climate change adaptation coffee yields food security crop modelling climate change Castellanos, Edwin J. Thomas, Timothy S. Dunston, Shahnila Climate change, agriculture, and adaptation options for Guatemala |
| title | Climate change, agriculture, and adaptation options for Guatemala |
| title_full | Climate change, agriculture, and adaptation options for Guatemala |
| title_fullStr | Climate change, agriculture, and adaptation options for Guatemala |
| title_full_unstemmed | Climate change, agriculture, and adaptation options for Guatemala |
| title_short | Climate change, agriculture, and adaptation options for Guatemala |
| title_sort | climate change agriculture and adaptation options for guatemala |
| topic | mathematical models agricultural policies sugar cane maize climate change adaptation coffee yields food security crop modelling climate change |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146593 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT castellanosedwinj climatechangeagricultureandadaptationoptionsforguatemala AT thomastimothys climatechangeagricultureandadaptationoptionsforguatemala AT dunstonshahnila climatechangeagricultureandadaptationoptionsforguatemala |