Climate change, agriculture, and adaptation options for Colombia

Climate change is already affecting the global economy between catastrophic losses from extreme weather events to the subtler losses in agricultural productivity. In the decades to come, the effects of climate change will increase. Now is the time for policymakers to better understand the potential...

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Autores principales: Boshell, Francisco, Thomas, Timothy S., Nazareth, Vijay, Cenacchi, Nicola
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2019
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146591
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author Boshell, Francisco
Thomas, Timothy S.
Nazareth, Vijay
Cenacchi, Nicola
author_browse Boshell, Francisco
Cenacchi, Nicola
Nazareth, Vijay
Thomas, Timothy S.
author_facet Boshell, Francisco
Thomas, Timothy S.
Nazareth, Vijay
Cenacchi, Nicola
author_sort Boshell, Francisco
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Climate change is already affecting the global economy between catastrophic losses from extreme weather events to the subtler losses in agricultural productivity. In the decades to come, the effects of climate change will increase. Now is the time for policymakers to better understand the potential impacts of climate change on agriculture so that they might make appropriate investments and implement effective policies to help farmers better adapt to climate change. This discussion paper uses multiple models to assess the impact of climate change on agriculture in Colombia up to 2050. Some of the analysis is at a very fine geographic resolution, while other is at the national level. The biophysical models used here project modest impacts of climate change on rice and maize, at a cost of around 10 percent of national production. Losses to sugarcane are projected to be much higher, at around 28 percent. Recommendations are made for how policymakers might reduce the losses to these crops and others included in the analysis presented in this paper.
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spelling CGSpace1465912025-11-06T07:05:51Z Climate change, agriculture, and adaptation options for Colombia Boshell, Francisco Thomas, Timothy S. Nazareth, Vijay Cenacchi, Nicola mathematical models agricultural policies sugar cane maize climate change adaptation coffee yields food security crop modelling climate change Climate change is already affecting the global economy between catastrophic losses from extreme weather events to the subtler losses in agricultural productivity. In the decades to come, the effects of climate change will increase. Now is the time for policymakers to better understand the potential impacts of climate change on agriculture so that they might make appropriate investments and implement effective policies to help farmers better adapt to climate change. This discussion paper uses multiple models to assess the impact of climate change on agriculture in Colombia up to 2050. Some of the analysis is at a very fine geographic resolution, while other is at the national level. The biophysical models used here project modest impacts of climate change on rice and maize, at a cost of around 10 percent of national production. Losses to sugarcane are projected to be much higher, at around 28 percent. Recommendations are made for how policymakers might reduce the losses to these crops and others included in the analysis presented in this paper. 2019-01-01 2024-06-21T09:07:39Z 2024-06-21T09:07:39Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146591 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Boshell, Francisco; Thomas, Timothy S.; Nazareth, Vijay; and Cenacchi, Nicola. 2018. Climate change, agriculture, and adaptation options for Colombia. IFPRI Discussion Paper 1790. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146591
spellingShingle mathematical models
agricultural policies
sugar cane
maize
climate change adaptation
coffee
yields
food security
crop modelling
climate change
Boshell, Francisco
Thomas, Timothy S.
Nazareth, Vijay
Cenacchi, Nicola
Climate change, agriculture, and adaptation options for Colombia
title Climate change, agriculture, and adaptation options for Colombia
title_full Climate change, agriculture, and adaptation options for Colombia
title_fullStr Climate change, agriculture, and adaptation options for Colombia
title_full_unstemmed Climate change, agriculture, and adaptation options for Colombia
title_short Climate change, agriculture, and adaptation options for Colombia
title_sort climate change agriculture and adaptation options for colombia
topic mathematical models
agricultural policies
sugar cane
maize
climate change adaptation
coffee
yields
food security
crop modelling
climate change
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146591
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AT nazarethvijay climatechangeagricultureandadaptationoptionsforcolombia
AT cenacchinicola climatechangeagricultureandadaptationoptionsforcolombia