Climate change impacts and household resilience: Prospects for 2050 in Brazil, Mexico, and Peru

This food policy report is a response to growing concerns about the impacts of climate change on Latin American economies, agriculture, and people. It assesses both local and global effects of changing agricultural yields on the economy, subnational regions, and different household types, including...

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Autores principales: Andersen, Lykke E., Breisinger, Clemens, Jemio, Luis Carlos, Mason-D'Croz, Daniel, Ringler, Claudia, Robertson, Richard D., Verner, Dorte, Wiebelt, Manfred
Formato: Informe técnico
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2016
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146481
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author Andersen, Lykke E.
Breisinger, Clemens
Jemio, Luis Carlos
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
Ringler, Claudia
Robertson, Richard D.
Verner, Dorte
Wiebelt, Manfred
author_browse Andersen, Lykke E.
Breisinger, Clemens
Jemio, Luis Carlos
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
Ringler, Claudia
Robertson, Richard D.
Verner, Dorte
Wiebelt, Manfred
author_facet Andersen, Lykke E.
Breisinger, Clemens
Jemio, Luis Carlos
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
Ringler, Claudia
Robertson, Richard D.
Verner, Dorte
Wiebelt, Manfred
author_sort Andersen, Lykke E.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This food policy report is a response to growing concerns about the impacts of climate change on Latin American economies, agriculture, and people. It assesses both local and global effects of changing agricultural yields on the economy, subnational regions, and different household types, including male- and female-headed households in Brazil, Mexico, and Peru. The three countries reflect economic and geographic diversity in Latin America and more than half of the region’s population. Climate change impacts tend to be relatively small at an economywide level in all three countries. However, sectoral and household-level economic impacts tend to be diverse across countries and subnational levels. They mainly depend on projected changes in agricultural yields, the share of agriculture in regional gross domestic product (GDP), crop-specific international trade balances, net food buyer/seller position, and income diversification of households. As for gender, results from this study suggest that female-headed households may be less vulnerable than male-headed households to the effects of climate change, highlighting the importance of considering women as a source for solutions for building resilience to climate change. Given the relatively small impacts of climate change and the degree of uncertainty associated with them, it is too early to define specific policy recommendations. All three countries should try to maximize the benefits that may come with higher agricultural world market prices and to minimize the losses from reductions in agricultural yields.
format Informe técnico
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spelling CGSpace1464812025-11-06T06:28:49Z Climate change impacts and household resilience: Prospects for 2050 in Brazil, Mexico, and Peru Andersen, Lykke E. Breisinger, Clemens Jemio, Luis Carlos Mason-D'Croz, Daniel Ringler, Claudia Robertson, Richard D. Verner, Dorte Wiebelt, Manfred models gender forecasting agricultural sector shock households agricultural policies modelling socioeconomic development economic policies macroeconomics trade policies trade productivity yields prices resilience climate change This food policy report is a response to growing concerns about the impacts of climate change on Latin American economies, agriculture, and people. It assesses both local and global effects of changing agricultural yields on the economy, subnational regions, and different household types, including male- and female-headed households in Brazil, Mexico, and Peru. The three countries reflect economic and geographic diversity in Latin America and more than half of the region’s population. Climate change impacts tend to be relatively small at an economywide level in all three countries. However, sectoral and household-level economic impacts tend to be diverse across countries and subnational levels. They mainly depend on projected changes in agricultural yields, the share of agriculture in regional gross domestic product (GDP), crop-specific international trade balances, net food buyer/seller position, and income diversification of households. As for gender, results from this study suggest that female-headed households may be less vulnerable than male-headed households to the effects of climate change, highlighting the importance of considering women as a source for solutions for building resilience to climate change. Given the relatively small impacts of climate change and the degree of uncertainty associated with them, it is too early to define specific policy recommendations. All three countries should try to maximize the benefits that may come with higher agricultural world market prices and to minimize the losses from reductions in agricultural yields. 2016-04-07 2024-06-21T09:07:13Z 2024-06-21T09:07:13Z Report https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146481 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Andersen, Lykke E.; Breisinger, Clemens; Jemio, Luis Carlos; Mason-D’Croz, Daniel; Ringler, Claudia; Robertson, Richard D.; Verner, Dorte; and Wiebelt, Manfred. 2016. Climate change impacts and household resilience: Prospects for 2050 in Brazil, Mexico, and Peru. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://doi.org/10.2499/9780896295810.
spellingShingle models
gender
forecasting
agricultural sector
shock
households
agricultural policies
modelling
socioeconomic development
economic policies
macroeconomics
trade policies
trade
productivity
yields
prices
resilience
climate change
Andersen, Lykke E.
Breisinger, Clemens
Jemio, Luis Carlos
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
Ringler, Claudia
Robertson, Richard D.
Verner, Dorte
Wiebelt, Manfred
Climate change impacts and household resilience: Prospects for 2050 in Brazil, Mexico, and Peru
title Climate change impacts and household resilience: Prospects for 2050 in Brazil, Mexico, and Peru
title_full Climate change impacts and household resilience: Prospects for 2050 in Brazil, Mexico, and Peru
title_fullStr Climate change impacts and household resilience: Prospects for 2050 in Brazil, Mexico, and Peru
title_full_unstemmed Climate change impacts and household resilience: Prospects for 2050 in Brazil, Mexico, and Peru
title_short Climate change impacts and household resilience: Prospects for 2050 in Brazil, Mexico, and Peru
title_sort climate change impacts and household resilience prospects for 2050 in brazil mexico and peru
topic models
gender
forecasting
agricultural sector
shock
households
agricultural policies
modelling
socioeconomic development
economic policies
macroeconomics
trade policies
trade
productivity
yields
prices
resilience
climate change
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146481
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