Agricultural prices during drought in Ethiopia: An assessment using national producer data (January 2014 to January 2016)
We analyze the evolution of crop and livestock producer prices and wages of unskilled laborers in Ethiopia over the January 2014 to January 2016 period, during which time the country was massively impacted by El Niño triggered droughts, which started in 2015. The analyses reveal no evidence of wides...
| Autores principales: | , , , |
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| Formato: | Artículo preliminar |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
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International Food Policy Research Institute
2016
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146293 |
| _version_ | 1855541740112445440 |
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| author | Bachewe, Fantu Nisrane Yimer, Feiruz Minten, Bart Dorosh, Paul A. |
| author_browse | Bachewe, Fantu Nisrane Dorosh, Paul A. Minten, Bart Yimer, Feiruz |
| author_facet | Bachewe, Fantu Nisrane Yimer, Feiruz Minten, Bart Dorosh, Paul A. |
| author_sort | Bachewe, Fantu Nisrane |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | We analyze the evolution of crop and livestock producer prices and wages of unskilled laborers in Ethiopia over the January 2014 to January 2016 period, during which time the country was massively impacted by El Niño triggered droughts, which started in 2015. The analyses reveal no evidence of widespread adverse price effects of the drought in the labor and cereal markets. Real prices of the major cereals were lower at the beginning of 2016 compared to two years earlier, especially for maize, sorghum and wheat, the crops that make up the major source of calories in the areas that were most hit by the drought. Conversely, prices of root crops and pulses increased. However, given the large importance attached to cereal consumption, the overall real food consumption basket price has declined compared to two years earlier. In particular, the decline in the cost of cereals in the food basket was estimated at 11.2 percent at the national level. However, the overall declines were lower in drought-affected (decline of 8 percent) than in non-drought affected areas (decline of 14 percent), indicating the adverse effect of failed harvests in the former areas. Considering crop and livestock prices jointly reveals that livestock-cereal terms of trade declined in the worst affected areas, mainly because livestock prices declined faster than cereal prices in such areas. In contrast, the livestock-cereal terms of trade considerably improved in areas less affected by the drought. The fluctuating behavior of cereal prices since January 2015 strikingly contrasts with the situation during the major drought of 1997/98. During that period, cereal production declined by 25 percent compared to the year before, with significant simultaneous real price increases of between 15 and 45 percent. |
| format | Artículo preliminar |
| id | CGSpace146293 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2016 |
| publishDateRange | 2016 |
| publishDateSort | 2016 |
| publisher | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| publisherStr | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1462932025-11-06T07:15:29Z Agricultural prices during drought in Ethiopia: An assessment using national producer data (January 2014 to January 2016) Bachewe, Fantu Nisrane Yimer, Feiruz Minten, Bart Dorosh, Paul A. prices drought livestock crops wages labour commodities pulses tubers cereal crops el niño We analyze the evolution of crop and livestock producer prices and wages of unskilled laborers in Ethiopia over the January 2014 to January 2016 period, during which time the country was massively impacted by El Niño triggered droughts, which started in 2015. The analyses reveal no evidence of widespread adverse price effects of the drought in the labor and cereal markets. Real prices of the major cereals were lower at the beginning of 2016 compared to two years earlier, especially for maize, sorghum and wheat, the crops that make up the major source of calories in the areas that were most hit by the drought. Conversely, prices of root crops and pulses increased. However, given the large importance attached to cereal consumption, the overall real food consumption basket price has declined compared to two years earlier. In particular, the decline in the cost of cereals in the food basket was estimated at 11.2 percent at the national level. However, the overall declines were lower in drought-affected (decline of 8 percent) than in non-drought affected areas (decline of 14 percent), indicating the adverse effect of failed harvests in the former areas. Considering crop and livestock prices jointly reveals that livestock-cereal terms of trade declined in the worst affected areas, mainly because livestock prices declined faster than cereal prices in such areas. In contrast, the livestock-cereal terms of trade considerably improved in areas less affected by the drought. The fluctuating behavior of cereal prices since January 2015 strikingly contrasts with the situation during the major drought of 1997/98. During that period, cereal production declined by 25 percent compared to the year before, with significant simultaneous real price increases of between 15 and 45 percent. 2016-05-11 2024-06-21T09:06:31Z 2024-06-21T09:06:31Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146293 en https://hdl.handle.net/10568/148332 https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146294 Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Ethiopian Development Research Institute Bachewe, Fantu Nisrane; Yimer, Feiruz; Minten, Bart; and Dorosh, Paul A. 2016. Agricultural prices during drought in Ethiopia: An assessment using national producer data (January 2014 to January 2016). ESSP II Working Paper 88. Washington, DC and Addis Ababa, Ethiopia: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) and Ethiopian Development Research Institute (EDRI). https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146293 |
| spellingShingle | prices drought livestock crops wages labour commodities pulses tubers cereal crops el niño Bachewe, Fantu Nisrane Yimer, Feiruz Minten, Bart Dorosh, Paul A. Agricultural prices during drought in Ethiopia: An assessment using national producer data (January 2014 to January 2016) |
| title | Agricultural prices during drought in Ethiopia: An assessment using national producer data (January 2014 to January 2016) |
| title_full | Agricultural prices during drought in Ethiopia: An assessment using national producer data (January 2014 to January 2016) |
| title_fullStr | Agricultural prices during drought in Ethiopia: An assessment using national producer data (January 2014 to January 2016) |
| title_full_unstemmed | Agricultural prices during drought in Ethiopia: An assessment using national producer data (January 2014 to January 2016) |
| title_short | Agricultural prices during drought in Ethiopia: An assessment using national producer data (January 2014 to January 2016) |
| title_sort | agricultural prices during drought in ethiopia an assessment using national producer data january 2014 to january 2016 |
| topic | prices drought livestock crops wages labour commodities pulses tubers cereal crops el niño |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146293 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT bachewefantunisrane agriculturalpricesduringdroughtinethiopiaanassessmentusingnationalproducerdatajanuary2014tojanuary2016 AT yimerfeiruz agriculturalpricesduringdroughtinethiopiaanassessmentusingnationalproducerdatajanuary2014tojanuary2016 AT mintenbart agriculturalpricesduringdroughtinethiopiaanassessmentusingnationalproducerdatajanuary2014tojanuary2016 AT doroshpaula agriculturalpricesduringdroughtinethiopiaanassessmentusingnationalproducerdatajanuary2014tojanuary2016 |