Variance structure of aflatoxin contaminated maize in incoming trucks at commercial mills in Kenya

Aflatoxin contamination in maize represents a significant food safety hazard in Kenya. To manage this risk, millers need to properly sample incoming bags of maize. In this study, three firms allowed researchers access to sample three incoming trucks each to quantify sources of variability using a hi...

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Autores principales: Fisher, Karen, Herrman, Timothy, Hoffmann, Vivian, Lee, Kyung-Min
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Office of the Texas State Chemist 2019
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146064
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author Fisher, Karen
Herrman, Timothy
Hoffmann, Vivian
Lee, Kyung-Min
author_browse Fisher, Karen
Herrman, Timothy
Hoffmann, Vivian
Lee, Kyung-Min
author_facet Fisher, Karen
Herrman, Timothy
Hoffmann, Vivian
Lee, Kyung-Min
author_sort Fisher, Karen
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Aflatoxin contamination in maize represents a significant food safety hazard in Kenya. To manage this risk, millers need to properly sample incoming bags of maize. In this study, three firms allowed researchers access to sample three incoming trucks each to quantify sources of variability using a hierarchical sampling design. A total of 180 samples consisting of two samples per bag, ten bags per truck, three trucks per mill, and three mills were sampled in April of 2014 and analyzed for aflatoxins using the Romer-FluorQuant test method. Samples from three trucks were analyzed twice for aflatoxin to define intra-bag variability, and extracts were analyzed in duplicate to quantify analytical variability. The variance was partitioned as follows: mill (1.9%), truck (4.1%), bag (60.8%), in-bag (26.6%), analytical error (6.3%) and residual error (0.3%). Using these data, a power study was conducted to optimize the number of bags per truck that should be sampled. The power test, depicted using a power curve, indicated that 20 bags provided a statistical probability of 0.83. This study characterizes the sources of variability in sampling, and the inclusion of a power study highlights the tradeoffs in the number of bags sampled and the ability to detect small effects in estimating the level of aflatoxin contamination in maize.
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spelling CGSpace1460642024-10-25T08:04:03Z Variance structure of aflatoxin contaminated maize in incoming trucks at commercial mills in Kenya Fisher, Karen Herrman, Timothy Hoffmann, Vivian Lee, Kyung-Min risk management mills agencies maize capacity development food safety aflatoxins trucks Aflatoxin contamination in maize represents a significant food safety hazard in Kenya. To manage this risk, millers need to properly sample incoming bags of maize. In this study, three firms allowed researchers access to sample three incoming trucks each to quantify sources of variability using a hierarchical sampling design. A total of 180 samples consisting of two samples per bag, ten bags per truck, three trucks per mill, and three mills were sampled in April of 2014 and analyzed for aflatoxins using the Romer-FluorQuant test method. Samples from three trucks were analyzed twice for aflatoxin to define intra-bag variability, and extracts were analyzed in duplicate to quantify analytical variability. The variance was partitioned as follows: mill (1.9%), truck (4.1%), bag (60.8%), in-bag (26.6%), analytical error (6.3%) and residual error (0.3%). Using these data, a power study was conducted to optimize the number of bags per truck that should be sampled. The power test, depicted using a power curve, indicated that 20 bags provided a statistical probability of 0.83. This study characterizes the sources of variability in sampling, and the inclusion of a power study highlights the tradeoffs in the number of bags sampled and the ability to detect small effects in estimating the level of aflatoxin contamination in maize. 2019-11-08 2024-06-21T09:05:43Z 2024-06-21T09:05:43Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146064 en Open Access Office of the Texas State Chemist Fisher, Karen; Herrman, Timothy J. ; Hoffmann, Vivian; and Lee, Kyung-Min. 2019. Variance structure of aflatoxin contaminated maize in incoming trucks at commercial mills in Kenya. Journal of Regulatory Science 7: 1-5. https://doi.org/10.21423/jrs-v07fischer
spellingShingle risk management
mills
agencies
maize
capacity development
food safety
aflatoxins
trucks
Fisher, Karen
Herrman, Timothy
Hoffmann, Vivian
Lee, Kyung-Min
Variance structure of aflatoxin contaminated maize in incoming trucks at commercial mills in Kenya
title Variance structure of aflatoxin contaminated maize in incoming trucks at commercial mills in Kenya
title_full Variance structure of aflatoxin contaminated maize in incoming trucks at commercial mills in Kenya
title_fullStr Variance structure of aflatoxin contaminated maize in incoming trucks at commercial mills in Kenya
title_full_unstemmed Variance structure of aflatoxin contaminated maize in incoming trucks at commercial mills in Kenya
title_short Variance structure of aflatoxin contaminated maize in incoming trucks at commercial mills in Kenya
title_sort variance structure of aflatoxin contaminated maize in incoming trucks at commercial mills in kenya
topic risk management
mills
agencies
maize
capacity development
food safety
aflatoxins
trucks
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146064
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