Trade tensions in LAC: Modeling outcomes

Trade tensions between the major world economies increased in 2018, and US tariff increases triggered reprisals and counter-reprisals. In Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC), trade tensions between the US and China and other US trade partners are expected to generate a mix of opportunities and thr...

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Main Authors: Laborde Debucquet, David, Piñeiro, Valeria
Format: Brief
Language:Inglés
Published: International Food Policy Research Institute 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146002
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author Laborde Debucquet, David
Piñeiro, Valeria
author_browse Laborde Debucquet, David
Piñeiro, Valeria
author_facet Laborde Debucquet, David
Piñeiro, Valeria
author_sort Laborde Debucquet, David
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Trade tensions between the major world economies increased in 2018, and US tariff increases triggered reprisals and counter-reprisals. In Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC), trade tensions between the US and China and other US trade partners are expected to generate a mix of opportunities and threats for exporters of food products. To better understand the likely impacts of global trade tensions for LAC, we modeled a set of four scenarios using the MIRAGRODEP model1. We looked at impacts on exports, imports, production, GDP, household consumption, and adjustment costs through changes in labor markets up to 2030. Impacts will differ across the region’s highly heterogeneous countries, but some broad trends are evident.
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spelling CGSpace1460022025-12-08T10:11:39Z Trade tensions in LAC: Modeling outcomes Laborde Debucquet, David Piñeiro, Valeria modelling trade policies trade international trade Trade tensions between the major world economies increased in 2018, and US tariff increases triggered reprisals and counter-reprisals. In Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC), trade tensions between the US and China and other US trade partners are expected to generate a mix of opportunities and threats for exporters of food products. To better understand the likely impacts of global trade tensions for LAC, we modeled a set of four scenarios using the MIRAGRODEP model1. We looked at impacts on exports, imports, production, GDP, household consumption, and adjustment costs through changes in labor markets up to 2030. Impacts will differ across the region’s highly heterogeneous countries, but some broad trends are evident. 2019-12-31 2024-06-21T09:05:32Z 2024-06-21T09:05:32Z Brief https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146002 en https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146003 Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Laborde Debucquet, David; and Piñeiro, Valeria. 2019. Trade tensions in LAC: Modeling outcomes. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146002
spellingShingle modelling
trade policies
trade
international trade
Laborde Debucquet, David
Piñeiro, Valeria
Trade tensions in LAC: Modeling outcomes
title Trade tensions in LAC: Modeling outcomes
title_full Trade tensions in LAC: Modeling outcomes
title_fullStr Trade tensions in LAC: Modeling outcomes
title_full_unstemmed Trade tensions in LAC: Modeling outcomes
title_short Trade tensions in LAC: Modeling outcomes
title_sort trade tensions in lac modeling outcomes
topic modelling
trade policies
trade
international trade
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146002
work_keys_str_mv AT labordedebucquetdavid tradetensionsinlacmodelingoutcomes
AT pineirovaleria tradetensionsinlacmodelingoutcomes