The impact of large-scale social protection interventions on grain prices in poor countries: Evidence from Ethiopia

There has long been concern that cash and in-kind transfers might affect prices in developing country food markets. While there have been a number of studies at highly aggregated levels, much less is known about the effects of cash transfers on local food prices and even less about how they compare...

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Main Authors: Hoddinott, John F., Stifel, David, Hirvonen, Kalle, Minten, Bart
Format: Artículo preliminar
Language:Inglés
Published: International Food Policy Research Institute 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/145922
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author Hoddinott, John F.
Stifel, David
Hirvonen, Kalle
Minten, Bart
author_browse Hirvonen, Kalle
Hoddinott, John F.
Minten, Bart
Stifel, David
author_facet Hoddinott, John F.
Stifel, David
Hirvonen, Kalle
Minten, Bart
author_sort Hoddinott, John F.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description There has long been concern that cash and in-kind transfers might affect prices in developing country food markets. While there have been a number of studies at highly aggregated levels, much less is known about the effects of cash transfers on local food prices and even less about how they compare to food transfers. We consider this issue in the context of a large social protection intervention, Ethiopia’s Productive Safety Net Programme. Using 12 months of price data from 233 localities and controlling for temporal, location, and market characteristics we find: Cash transfers have no effect on food prices. There is some evidence that food transfers reduce food prices. Maize transfers reduce aggregate grain prices, wheat transfers reduce the price of maize, and the negative effect of food transfers on food prices is larger in more remote markets. However, the magnitudes of these effects are trivially small, both in absolute and percentage terms.
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spelling CGSpace1459222025-11-06T05:20:14Z The impact of large-scale social protection interventions on grain prices in poor countries: Evidence from Ethiopia Hoddinott, John F. Stifel, David Hirvonen, Kalle Minten, Bart nutrition policies food policies social protection food security cash transfers food prices poverty There has long been concern that cash and in-kind transfers might affect prices in developing country food markets. While there have been a number of studies at highly aggregated levels, much less is known about the effects of cash transfers on local food prices and even less about how they compare to food transfers. We consider this issue in the context of a large social protection intervention, Ethiopia’s Productive Safety Net Programme. Using 12 months of price data from 233 localities and controlling for temporal, location, and market characteristics we find: Cash transfers have no effect on food prices. There is some evidence that food transfers reduce food prices. Maize transfers reduce aggregate grain prices, wheat transfers reduce the price of maize, and the negative effect of food transfers on food prices is larger in more remote markets. However, the magnitudes of these effects are trivially small, both in absolute and percentage terms. 2018-03-22 2024-06-21T09:05:21Z 2024-06-21T09:05:21Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/145922 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Ethiopian Development Research Institute Hoddinott, John F.; Stifel, David; Hirvonen, Kalle; and Minten, Bart. 2018.The impact of large-scale social protection interventions on grain prices in poor countries: Evidence from Ethiopia. ESSP Working Paper 116. Washington, DC and Addis Ababa, Ethiopia: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) and Ethiopian Development Research Institute (EDRI). https://hdl.handle.net/10568/145922
spellingShingle nutrition policies
food policies
social protection
food security
cash transfers
food prices
poverty
Hoddinott, John F.
Stifel, David
Hirvonen, Kalle
Minten, Bart
The impact of large-scale social protection interventions on grain prices in poor countries: Evidence from Ethiopia
title The impact of large-scale social protection interventions on grain prices in poor countries: Evidence from Ethiopia
title_full The impact of large-scale social protection interventions on grain prices in poor countries: Evidence from Ethiopia
title_fullStr The impact of large-scale social protection interventions on grain prices in poor countries: Evidence from Ethiopia
title_full_unstemmed The impact of large-scale social protection interventions on grain prices in poor countries: Evidence from Ethiopia
title_short The impact of large-scale social protection interventions on grain prices in poor countries: Evidence from Ethiopia
title_sort impact of large scale social protection interventions on grain prices in poor countries evidence from ethiopia
topic nutrition policies
food policies
social protection
food security
cash transfers
food prices
poverty
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/145922
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