Structural change and poverty reduction in Ethiopia: Economy-wide analysis of the evolving role of agriculture
This paper explores these issues for Ethiopia utilizing an economy-wide computable general equilibrium (CGE) model based on a detailed social accounting matrix (SAM). We present the results of four alternative investment scenarios -- faster investment in i) cities; ii) crop agriculture; iii) the rur...
| Autores principales: | , , , , |
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| Formato: | Artículo preliminar |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
International Food Policy Research Institute
2018
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/145801 |
| _version_ | 1855523566815019008 |
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| author | Dorosh, Paul A. Thurlow, James Kebede, Frehiwot Worku Ferede, Tadele Taffesse, Alemayehu Seyoum |
| author_browse | Dorosh, Paul A. Ferede, Tadele Kebede, Frehiwot Worku Taffesse, Alemayehu Seyoum Thurlow, James |
| author_facet | Dorosh, Paul A. Thurlow, James Kebede, Frehiwot Worku Ferede, Tadele Taffesse, Alemayehu Seyoum |
| author_sort | Dorosh, Paul A. |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | This paper explores these issues for Ethiopia utilizing an economy-wide computable general equilibrium (CGE) model based on a detailed social accounting matrix (SAM). We present the results of four alternative investment scenarios -- faster investment in i) cities; ii) crop agriculture; iii) the rural non-farm sector and agro-industry; and iv) livestock. The simulations suggest that investments in cities generate faster economic growth and structural transformation. However, given the large share of the population with incomes linked to agriculture and the rural economy, investments in the rural economy are likely to continue to be more pro-poor than urban public investments through the mid-2020s. After the mid-2020s, investments in cities become more pro-poor. In short, though rapid economic growth and structural transformation have diminished the relative importance of the agricultural sector in Ethiopia’s economy, continued public investments in agriculture and the broader agri-food system remain crucial for equity and poverty alleviation in Ethiopia, as well as for reducing food import dependency. |
| format | Artículo preliminar |
| id | CGSpace145801 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2018 |
| publishDateRange | 2018 |
| publishDateSort | 2018 |
| publisher | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| publisherStr | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1458012025-11-06T06:03:27Z Structural change and poverty reduction in Ethiopia: Economy-wide analysis of the evolving role of agriculture Dorosh, Paul A. Thurlow, James Kebede, Frehiwot Worku Ferede, Tadele Taffesse, Alemayehu Seyoum rural urban relations public investment economic growth agricultural sector computable general equilibrium model poverty This paper explores these issues for Ethiopia utilizing an economy-wide computable general equilibrium (CGE) model based on a detailed social accounting matrix (SAM). We present the results of four alternative investment scenarios -- faster investment in i) cities; ii) crop agriculture; iii) the rural non-farm sector and agro-industry; and iv) livestock. The simulations suggest that investments in cities generate faster economic growth and structural transformation. However, given the large share of the population with incomes linked to agriculture and the rural economy, investments in the rural economy are likely to continue to be more pro-poor than urban public investments through the mid-2020s. After the mid-2020s, investments in cities become more pro-poor. In short, though rapid economic growth and structural transformation have diminished the relative importance of the agricultural sector in Ethiopia’s economy, continued public investments in agriculture and the broader agri-food system remain crucial for equity and poverty alleviation in Ethiopia, as well as for reducing food import dependency. 2018-09-06 2024-06-21T09:05:04Z 2024-06-21T09:05:04Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/145801 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Ethiopian Development Research Institute Dorosh, Paul; Thurlow, James; Kebede, Frehiwot Worku; Ferede, Tadele; and Taffesse, Alemayehu Seyoum. 2018. Structural change and poverty reduction in Ethiopia: Economy-wide analysis of the evolving role of agriculture. ESSP Working Paper 123. Washington, DC and Addis Ababa, Ethiopia: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) and Ethiopian Development Research Institute (EDRI). https://hdl.handle.net/10568/145801 |
| spellingShingle | rural urban relations public investment economic growth agricultural sector computable general equilibrium model poverty Dorosh, Paul A. Thurlow, James Kebede, Frehiwot Worku Ferede, Tadele Taffesse, Alemayehu Seyoum Structural change and poverty reduction in Ethiopia: Economy-wide analysis of the evolving role of agriculture |
| title | Structural change and poverty reduction in Ethiopia: Economy-wide analysis of the evolving role of agriculture |
| title_full | Structural change and poverty reduction in Ethiopia: Economy-wide analysis of the evolving role of agriculture |
| title_fullStr | Structural change and poverty reduction in Ethiopia: Economy-wide analysis of the evolving role of agriculture |
| title_full_unstemmed | Structural change and poverty reduction in Ethiopia: Economy-wide analysis of the evolving role of agriculture |
| title_short | Structural change and poverty reduction in Ethiopia: Economy-wide analysis of the evolving role of agriculture |
| title_sort | structural change and poverty reduction in ethiopia economy wide analysis of the evolving role of agriculture |
| topic | rural urban relations public investment economic growth agricultural sector computable general equilibrium model poverty |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/145801 |
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