Recent trends and future prospects of cross-border agricultural trade in Niger

High rainfall variability, resulting in frequent floods, droughts and locus infestations, undermines Niger’s efforts to ensure its food security. This paper deals with the role of regional trade in fostering the resilience of domestic food markets in Niger. Current trends in agricultural trade betwe...

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Main Authors: Odjo, Sunday P., Badiane, Ousmane
Format: Book Chapter
Language:Inglés
Published: Wageningen Academic Publishers 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/145645
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author Odjo, Sunday P.
Badiane, Ousmane
author_browse Badiane, Ousmane
Odjo, Sunday P.
author_facet Odjo, Sunday P.
Badiane, Ousmane
author_sort Odjo, Sunday P.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description High rainfall variability, resulting in frequent floods, droughts and locus infestations, undermines Niger’s efforts to ensure its food security. This paper deals with the role of regional trade in fostering the resilience of domestic food markets in Niger. Current trends in agricultural trade between Niger and its regional neighbours reveal that the regional market plays a crucial role in stabilising domestic supplies of staple food crops, in addition to serving as the major export outlet for Niger’s cash crops and live animals. An economy-wide multimarket and multi-country model of the West Africa region is used to explore likely changes in cross-border trade flows. Assuming a continuation of current trends in cultivation areas, crop yields, population and nonagricultural income, the projection of future prospects of cross-border agricultural trade reveals that Niger’s participation in regional trade will continue to expand both in terms of net imports and exports. Simulation results suggest that the level of participation in the future could be affected considerably by potential changes in policy and productivity such as a modest reduction in general trading costs, the removal of cross-border trade obstacles, or a slight increase in yields. Such policy changes would have important implications not just for the country’s trade with the rest of the region but also for it ability to improve food security for its population.
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spelling CGSpace1456452025-02-24T06:46:24Z Recent trends and future prospects of cross-border agricultural trade in Niger Odjo, Sunday P. Badiane, Ousmane simulation models food supply trade domestic markets agricultural trade High rainfall variability, resulting in frequent floods, droughts and locus infestations, undermines Niger’s efforts to ensure its food security. This paper deals with the role of regional trade in fostering the resilience of domestic food markets in Niger. Current trends in agricultural trade between Niger and its regional neighbours reveal that the regional market plays a crucial role in stabilising domestic supplies of staple food crops, in addition to serving as the major export outlet for Niger’s cash crops and live animals. An economy-wide multimarket and multi-country model of the West Africa region is used to explore likely changes in cross-border trade flows. Assuming a continuation of current trends in cultivation areas, crop yields, population and nonagricultural income, the projection of future prospects of cross-border agricultural trade reveals that Niger’s participation in regional trade will continue to expand both in terms of net imports and exports. Simulation results suggest that the level of participation in the future could be affected considerably by potential changes in policy and productivity such as a modest reduction in general trading costs, the removal of cross-border trade obstacles, or a slight increase in yields. Such policy changes would have important implications not just for the country’s trade with the rest of the region but also for it ability to improve food security for its population. 2018-08-08 2024-06-21T09:04:47Z 2024-06-21T09:04:47Z Book Chapter https://hdl.handle.net/10568/145645 en https://doi.org/10.3920/978-90-8686-873-5 Open Access Wageningen Academic Publishers Odjo, Sunday; and Badiane, Ousmane. 2018. Recent trends and future prospects of cross-border agricultural trade in Niger. In Fostering transformation and growth in Niger’s agricultural sector, eds. Fleur Stephanie Wouterse and Ousmane Badiane. Chapter 8, Pp. 165-184. https://doi.org/10.3920/978-90-8686-873-5_8
spellingShingle simulation models
food supply
trade
domestic markets
agricultural trade
Odjo, Sunday P.
Badiane, Ousmane
Recent trends and future prospects of cross-border agricultural trade in Niger
title Recent trends and future prospects of cross-border agricultural trade in Niger
title_full Recent trends and future prospects of cross-border agricultural trade in Niger
title_fullStr Recent trends and future prospects of cross-border agricultural trade in Niger
title_full_unstemmed Recent trends and future prospects of cross-border agricultural trade in Niger
title_short Recent trends and future prospects of cross-border agricultural trade in Niger
title_sort recent trends and future prospects of cross border agricultural trade in niger
topic simulation models
food supply
trade
domestic markets
agricultural trade
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/145645
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