Estimating the cost and affordability of healthy diets: How much do methods matter?

Recently developed cost and affordability of healthy diet (CoAHD) metrics have quickly become mainstream food security indicators. However, published research on the sensitivity of estimation methods is limited. This paper focuses on two important innovations in CoAHD measurement at the global level...

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Autores principales: Headey, Derek D., Hirvonen, Kalle, Alderman, Harold
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Elsevier 2024
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/145261
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author Headey, Derek D.
Hirvonen, Kalle
Alderman, Harold
author_browse Alderman, Harold
Headey, Derek D.
Hirvonen, Kalle
author_facet Headey, Derek D.
Hirvonen, Kalle
Alderman, Harold
author_sort Headey, Derek D.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Recently developed cost and affordability of healthy diet (CoAHD) metrics have quickly become mainstream food security indicators. However, published research on the sensitivity of estimation methods is limited. This paper focuses on two important innovations in CoAHD measurement at the global level. First, we develop a demographic scaling factor to adjust healthy diet costs for cross-country differences in age structures, since younger populations generally require fewer calories than older populations. Second, we improve the way in which household expenditure available for purchasing food (“food budgets”) are derived. In addition, we explore sensitivity of global CoAHD estimates to potential problems with the representativeness and food product coverage of global food price data and vary assumptions for activity levels that shape energy expenditure requirements. We apply these explorations to the EAT-Lancet reference diet in 137 countries using price data from 2017. Relative to the conventional methods, we find that demographic scaling and improved food budget derivation substantially reduces the estimated population who cannot afford a healthy diet, from 3.02 to 2.13 billion. Adjustments for low product coverage can lead to modest reductions for specific regions and food groups, while higher physical activity assumptions increase the share of people who cannot afford a healthy diet, though perhaps implausibly so. Methods clearly matter in CoAHD estimation, and more accurate and timelier CoAHD estimates have substantial scope to improve policy analysis, design and targeting.
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spelling CGSpace1452612025-10-26T12:51:18Z Estimating the cost and affordability of healthy diets: How much do methods matter? Headey, Derek D. Hirvonen, Kalle Alderman, Harold affordability food security healthy diets prices Recently developed cost and affordability of healthy diet (CoAHD) metrics have quickly become mainstream food security indicators. However, published research on the sensitivity of estimation methods is limited. This paper focuses on two important innovations in CoAHD measurement at the global level. First, we develop a demographic scaling factor to adjust healthy diet costs for cross-country differences in age structures, since younger populations generally require fewer calories than older populations. Second, we improve the way in which household expenditure available for purchasing food (“food budgets”) are derived. In addition, we explore sensitivity of global CoAHD estimates to potential problems with the representativeness and food product coverage of global food price data and vary assumptions for activity levels that shape energy expenditure requirements. We apply these explorations to the EAT-Lancet reference diet in 137 countries using price data from 2017. Relative to the conventional methods, we find that demographic scaling and improved food budget derivation substantially reduces the estimated population who cannot afford a healthy diet, from 3.02 to 2.13 billion. Adjustments for low product coverage can lead to modest reductions for specific regions and food groups, while higher physical activity assumptions increase the share of people who cannot afford a healthy diet, though perhaps implausibly so. Methods clearly matter in CoAHD estimation, and more accurate and timelier CoAHD estimates have substantial scope to improve policy analysis, design and targeting. 2024-07 2024-06-14T17:17:48Z 2024-06-14T17:17:48Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/145261 en https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140327 https://hdl.handle.net/10568/142772 Open Access Elsevier Headey, Derek D.; Hirvonen, Kalle; and Alderman, Harold. 2024. Estimating the cost and affordability of healthy diets: How much do methods matter? Food Policy 126(July 2024): 102654. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2024.102654
spellingShingle affordability
food security
healthy diets
prices
Headey, Derek D.
Hirvonen, Kalle
Alderman, Harold
Estimating the cost and affordability of healthy diets: How much do methods matter?
title Estimating the cost and affordability of healthy diets: How much do methods matter?
title_full Estimating the cost and affordability of healthy diets: How much do methods matter?
title_fullStr Estimating the cost and affordability of healthy diets: How much do methods matter?
title_full_unstemmed Estimating the cost and affordability of healthy diets: How much do methods matter?
title_short Estimating the cost and affordability of healthy diets: How much do methods matter?
title_sort estimating the cost and affordability of healthy diets how much do methods matter
topic affordability
food security
healthy diets
prices
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/145261
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