Projected shifts in coffee production and sustainability due to climate changes

Climate change has emerged as a key concern for coffee production. An ever-growing body of research demonstrates potential impacts at all scales from plant to sector. We show that the literature for the most part frames climate change as a geospatial phenomenon. Global and regional projections robus...

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Main Authors: Rahn, Eric, Bunn, Christian, Craparo, Alessandro
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: Elsevier 2025
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/145173
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author Rahn, Eric
Bunn, Christian
Craparo, Alessandro
author_browse Bunn, Christian
Craparo, Alessandro
Rahn, Eric
author_facet Rahn, Eric
Bunn, Christian
Craparo, Alessandro
author_sort Rahn, Eric
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Climate change has emerged as a key concern for coffee production. An ever-growing body of research demonstrates potential impacts at all scales from plant to sector. We show that the literature for the most part frames climate change as a geospatial phenomenon. Global and regional projections robustly show an overall reduction in potential area climatically suitable for coffee, with shifts towards higher elevations and relative winners and losers. Research which looked at other dimensions of climate change, such as the potential impacts of climate variability and climate trends by using detailed survey data and statistical models, show a more diverse, albeit mixed, image of shifts in coffee production. However, there are several limitations in used methodologies and the way the results are communicated, which require increased attention to advance scientific framing of potential climate change impacts in the different coffee origins to better guide adaptation planning. We suggest that future research would benefit from a social-ecological resilience lens with greater integration of empirical analyses and process-based modelling approaches. Future responses to climate change will initially be less of a geographical shift but rather major changes to agronomic management, producer’s economic strategies and physical and informational fluxes. Such a framing would better capture the complexity of climate impacts and consequently the ability to support adaptation planning.
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spelling CGSpace1451732025-12-12T15:54:27Z Projected shifts in coffee production and sustainability due to climate changes Rahn, Eric Bunn, Christian Craparo, Alessandro farmers agronomic practices climate change adaptation coffee poverty alleviation Climate change has emerged as a key concern for coffee production. An ever-growing body of research demonstrates potential impacts at all scales from plant to sector. We show that the literature for the most part frames climate change as a geospatial phenomenon. Global and regional projections robustly show an overall reduction in potential area climatically suitable for coffee, with shifts towards higher elevations and relative winners and losers. Research which looked at other dimensions of climate change, such as the potential impacts of climate variability and climate trends by using detailed survey data and statistical models, show a more diverse, albeit mixed, image of shifts in coffee production. However, there are several limitations in used methodologies and the way the results are communicated, which require increased attention to advance scientific framing of potential climate change impacts in the different coffee origins to better guide adaptation planning. We suggest that future research would benefit from a social-ecological resilience lens with greater integration of empirical analyses and process-based modelling approaches. Future responses to climate change will initially be less of a geographical shift but rather major changes to agronomic management, producer’s economic strategies and physical and informational fluxes. Such a framing would better capture the complexity of climate impacts and consequently the ability to support adaptation planning. 2025 2024-06-12T06:30:25Z 2024-06-12T06:30:25Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/145173 en Limited Access Elsevier Rahn, E.; Bunn, C.; Craparo, A. (2024) Projected shifts in coffee production and sustainability due to climate changes. Advances in Botanical Research, Online first paper (2024-05-31). ISSN: 0065-2296
spellingShingle farmers
agronomic practices
climate change adaptation
coffee
poverty alleviation
Rahn, Eric
Bunn, Christian
Craparo, Alessandro
Projected shifts in coffee production and sustainability due to climate changes
title Projected shifts in coffee production and sustainability due to climate changes
title_full Projected shifts in coffee production and sustainability due to climate changes
title_fullStr Projected shifts in coffee production and sustainability due to climate changes
title_full_unstemmed Projected shifts in coffee production and sustainability due to climate changes
title_short Projected shifts in coffee production and sustainability due to climate changes
title_sort projected shifts in coffee production and sustainability due to climate changes
topic farmers
agronomic practices
climate change adaptation
coffee
poverty alleviation
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/145173
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AT craparoalessandro projectedshiftsincoffeeproductionandsustainabilityduetoclimatechanges