Assessing the impacts of COVID-19 on Myanmar’s economy: A Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) multiplier approach

The measures taken by the Government of Myanmar to contain the transmission of COVID-19 are a necessary and appropriate response. In-depth analysis of measures of this magnitude on firms, households, government, and the economy as a whole is key to the design of policy interventions that can mitigat...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Diao, Xinshen, Aung, Nilar, Lwin, Wuit Yi, Zone, Phoo Pye, Nyunt, Khin Maung, Thurlow, James
Format: Brief
Language:Inglés
Burmese
Published: International Food Policy Research Institute 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/143812
_version_ 1855543708358803456
author Diao, Xinshen
Aung, Nilar
Lwin, Wuit Yi
Zone, Phoo Pye
Nyunt, Khin Maung
Thurlow, James
author_browse Aung, Nilar
Diao, Xinshen
Lwin, Wuit Yi
Nyunt, Khin Maung
Thurlow, James
Zone, Phoo Pye
author_facet Diao, Xinshen
Aung, Nilar
Lwin, Wuit Yi
Zone, Phoo Pye
Nyunt, Khin Maung
Thurlow, James
author_sort Diao, Xinshen
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description The measures taken by the Government of Myanmar to contain the transmission of COVID-19 are a necessary and appropriate response. In-depth analysis of measures of this magnitude on firms, households, government, and the economy as a whole is key to the design of policy interventions that can mitigate the economic losses and support a sustained and robust recovery. The economic losses to Myanmar’s economy in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic will be huge – a drop in production on the order of between 6.4 and 9.0 trillion Kyat – and likely will push the economy into a recession or lead to stagnant growth, at best, for the year. Although lockdown policies provide exemptions for most agricultural activities, linkages to other sectors indirectly affect the agri-food sector significantly. The agricultural sector is expected to contract by between 1.1 and 2.4 percent in 2020, and recovery will be slow. Closure of factories will have a large negative economic impact due to the strong linkage effects between manufacturing and upstream primary agriculture and downstream marketing services. Reopening the manufacturing sector is crucial for economic recovery in Myanmar.
format Brief
id CGSpace143812
institution CGIAR Consortium
language Inglés
Burmese
publishDate 2020
publishDateRange 2020
publishDateSort 2020
publisher International Food Policy Research Institute
publisherStr International Food Policy Research Institute
record_format dspace
spelling CGSpace1438122025-11-06T07:50:07Z Assessing the impacts of COVID-19 on Myanmar’s economy: A Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) multiplier approach Diao, Xinshen Aung, Nilar Lwin, Wuit Yi Zone, Phoo Pye Nyunt, Khin Maung Thurlow, James models service industry economic impact secondary sector policies covid-19 tourism remittances mining agriculture trade disease prevention agrifood systems gross national product multipliers The measures taken by the Government of Myanmar to contain the transmission of COVID-19 are a necessary and appropriate response. In-depth analysis of measures of this magnitude on firms, households, government, and the economy as a whole is key to the design of policy interventions that can mitigate the economic losses and support a sustained and robust recovery. The economic losses to Myanmar’s economy in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic will be huge – a drop in production on the order of between 6.4 and 9.0 trillion Kyat – and likely will push the economy into a recession or lead to stagnant growth, at best, for the year. Although lockdown policies provide exemptions for most agricultural activities, linkages to other sectors indirectly affect the agri-food sector significantly. The agricultural sector is expected to contract by between 1.1 and 2.4 percent in 2020, and recovery will be slow. Closure of factories will have a large negative economic impact due to the strong linkage effects between manufacturing and upstream primary agriculture and downstream marketing services. Reopening the manufacturing sector is crucial for economic recovery in Myanmar. 2020-04-01 2024-05-22T12:17:07Z 2024-05-22T12:17:07Z Brief https://hdl.handle.net/10568/143812 en my https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.133742 https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.133789 Open Access application/pdf application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Diao, Xinshen; Aung, Nilar; Lwin, Wuit Yi; Zone, Phoo Pye; Nyunt, Khin Maung; and Thurlow, James. Assessing the impacts of COVID-19 on Myanmar’s economy: A Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) multiplier approach. Myanmar SSP Policy Note 5. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.133745.
spellingShingle models
service industry
economic impact
secondary sector
policies
covid-19
tourism
remittances
mining
agriculture
trade
disease prevention
agrifood systems
gross national product
multipliers
Diao, Xinshen
Aung, Nilar
Lwin, Wuit Yi
Zone, Phoo Pye
Nyunt, Khin Maung
Thurlow, James
Assessing the impacts of COVID-19 on Myanmar’s economy: A Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) multiplier approach
title Assessing the impacts of COVID-19 on Myanmar’s economy: A Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) multiplier approach
title_full Assessing the impacts of COVID-19 on Myanmar’s economy: A Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) multiplier approach
title_fullStr Assessing the impacts of COVID-19 on Myanmar’s economy: A Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) multiplier approach
title_full_unstemmed Assessing the impacts of COVID-19 on Myanmar’s economy: A Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) multiplier approach
title_short Assessing the impacts of COVID-19 on Myanmar’s economy: A Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) multiplier approach
title_sort assessing the impacts of covid 19 on myanmar s economy a social accounting matrix sam multiplier approach
topic models
service industry
economic impact
secondary sector
policies
covid-19
tourism
remittances
mining
agriculture
trade
disease prevention
agrifood systems
gross national product
multipliers
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/143812
work_keys_str_mv AT diaoxinshen assessingtheimpactsofcovid19onmyanmarseconomyasocialaccountingmatrixsammultiplierapproach
AT aungnilar assessingtheimpactsofcovid19onmyanmarseconomyasocialaccountingmatrixsammultiplierapproach
AT lwinwuityi assessingtheimpactsofcovid19onmyanmarseconomyasocialaccountingmatrixsammultiplierapproach
AT zonephoopye assessingtheimpactsofcovid19onmyanmarseconomyasocialaccountingmatrixsammultiplierapproach
AT nyuntkhinmaung assessingtheimpactsofcovid19onmyanmarseconomyasocialaccountingmatrixsammultiplierapproach
AT thurlowjames assessingtheimpactsofcovid19onmyanmarseconomyasocialaccountingmatrixsammultiplierapproach