Impact of COVID-19 on the Jordanian economy: Economic sectors, food systems, and households

Economic growth in Jordan potentially will come to a halt this year. This comes as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic outbreak. Government imposed an economic lockdown which restricted non-essential economic activities and people’s movement in order to contain the virus. A SAM multiplier model was us...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Raouf, Mariam, Elsabbagh, Dalia, Wiebelt, Manfred
Formato: Brief
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/143766
_version_ 1855538192233529344
author Raouf, Mariam
Elsabbagh, Dalia
Wiebelt, Manfred
author_browse Elsabbagh, Dalia
Raouf, Mariam
Wiebelt, Manfred
author_facet Raouf, Mariam
Elsabbagh, Dalia
Wiebelt, Manfred
author_sort Raouf, Mariam
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Economic growth in Jordan potentially will come to a halt this year. This comes as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic outbreak. Government imposed an economic lockdown which restricted non-essential economic activities and people’s movement in order to contain the virus. A SAM multiplier model was used to estimate the economic impact of the lockdown and to explore potential recovery pathways for the Jordanian economy. Some of the key findings from this modeling exercise are: • National GDP is estimated to have fallen by 23 percent during the lockdown period. The services sector was hardest hit, seeing an estimated drop in output of almost 30 percent. • Food systems in Jordan are estimated to have experienced a reduction in output by almost 40 percent. • Employment losses during the lockdown were estimated at over 20 percent, mainly driven by job losses in services, followed by agriculture. • Household income fell on average by around one-fifth due to the lockdown, mainly driven by contraction in service sector activities, by slowdown in manufacturing activity, and by lower remittances from abroad. • GDP growth rates for Jordan’s economy will continue to be negative through 2020, ranging from -5.7 to -7.4 percent, depending on the speed of economic recovery. A slow pace of recovery is expected. This economic recovery offers opportunities for fostering sustainable economic transformation and structural change. Economic policies and incentives should be directed towards more economic diversification, greater resilience to withstand economic shocks, and job creation.
format Brief
id CGSpace143766
institution CGIAR Consortium
language Inglés
publishDate 2020
publishDateRange 2020
publishDateSort 2020
publisher International Food Policy Research Institute
publisherStr International Food Policy Research Institute
record_format dspace
spelling CGSpace1437662025-11-06T07:28:59Z Impact of COVID-19 on the Jordanian economy: Economic sectors, food systems, and households Raouf, Mariam Elsabbagh, Dalia Wiebelt, Manfred models economic growth covid-19 households employment economic sectors multipliers food systems Economic growth in Jordan potentially will come to a halt this year. This comes as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic outbreak. Government imposed an economic lockdown which restricted non-essential economic activities and people’s movement in order to contain the virus. A SAM multiplier model was used to estimate the economic impact of the lockdown and to explore potential recovery pathways for the Jordanian economy. Some of the key findings from this modeling exercise are: • National GDP is estimated to have fallen by 23 percent during the lockdown period. The services sector was hardest hit, seeing an estimated drop in output of almost 30 percent. • Food systems in Jordan are estimated to have experienced a reduction in output by almost 40 percent. • Employment losses during the lockdown were estimated at over 20 percent, mainly driven by job losses in services, followed by agriculture. • Household income fell on average by around one-fifth due to the lockdown, mainly driven by contraction in service sector activities, by slowdown in manufacturing activity, and by lower remittances from abroad. • GDP growth rates for Jordan’s economy will continue to be negative through 2020, ranging from -5.7 to -7.4 percent, depending on the speed of economic recovery. A slow pace of recovery is expected. This economic recovery offers opportunities for fostering sustainable economic transformation and structural change. Economic policies and incentives should be directed towards more economic diversification, greater resilience to withstand economic shocks, and job creation. 2020-11-01 2024-05-22T12:16:43Z 2024-05-22T12:16:43Z Brief https://hdl.handle.net/10568/143766 en https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.133764 https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.133737 https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.134261 Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Raouf, Mariam; Elsabbagh, Dalia; and Wiebelt, Manfred. 2020. Impact of COVID-19 on the Jordanian economy: Economic sectors, food systems, and households. MENA Policy Note 9. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.134132.
spellingShingle models
economic growth
covid-19
households
employment
economic sectors
multipliers
food systems
Raouf, Mariam
Elsabbagh, Dalia
Wiebelt, Manfred
Impact of COVID-19 on the Jordanian economy: Economic sectors, food systems, and households
title Impact of COVID-19 on the Jordanian economy: Economic sectors, food systems, and households
title_full Impact of COVID-19 on the Jordanian economy: Economic sectors, food systems, and households
title_fullStr Impact of COVID-19 on the Jordanian economy: Economic sectors, food systems, and households
title_full_unstemmed Impact of COVID-19 on the Jordanian economy: Economic sectors, food systems, and households
title_short Impact of COVID-19 on the Jordanian economy: Economic sectors, food systems, and households
title_sort impact of covid 19 on the jordanian economy economic sectors food systems and households
topic models
economic growth
covid-19
households
employment
economic sectors
multipliers
food systems
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/143766
work_keys_str_mv AT raoufmariam impactofcovid19onthejordanianeconomyeconomicsectorsfoodsystemsandhouseholds
AT elsabbaghdalia impactofcovid19onthejordanianeconomyeconomicsectorsfoodsystemsandhouseholds
AT wiebeltmanfred impactofcovid19onthejordanianeconomyeconomicsectorsfoodsystemsandhouseholds