Prioritizing agricultural value chains for reviving the food system in Yemen: Input for an agricultural strategy update
In addition to the unprecedented humanitarian crisis and the creation of space for militant groups, the conflict in Yemen is also taking a heavy toll on the economy. According to estimates from the International Monetary Fund (IMF 2018) together with information on physical damages from the World Ba...
| Autores principales: | , , |
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| Formato: | Brief |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
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International Food Policy Research Institute
2020
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| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/143760 |
| _version_ | 1855530910394351616 |
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| author | Breisinger, Clemens Raouf, Mariam Wiebelt, Manfred |
| author_browse | Breisinger, Clemens Raouf, Mariam Wiebelt, Manfred |
| author_facet | Breisinger, Clemens Raouf, Mariam Wiebelt, Manfred |
| author_sort | Breisinger, Clemens |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | In addition to the unprecedented humanitarian crisis and the creation of space for militant groups, the conflict in Yemen is also taking a heavy toll on the economy. According to estimates from the International Monetary Fund (IMF 2018) together with information on physical damages from the World Bank-led Yemen Dynamic Damage and Needs Assessment (World Bank et al. 2018), the accumulated impact of the conflict from 2015 to 2018 is estimated to be USD47 billion (in 2014 prices), nearly one and a half times total GDP in 2014. The poverty headcount for Yemen is estimated to have increased from 49 percent in 2014 to 77 percent in 2018. The results of economic recovery scenarios run within a recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium (DCGE) model of the Yemeni economy suggest that unless significant support is provided by the international community for reconstruction, poverty in coming years, even if the conflict ends, will remain high or increase even further. Poverty outcomes of alternative post-conflict transition options range between a national poverty rate of 84 percent in the worst-case scenario of economic stagnation and 50 percent in the best-case scenario that involves the recovery of physical capital, total factor productivity (TFP) growth increases in all sectors, and significant inflows of foreign aid. Under a recovery scenario with lower foreign aid, the poverty headcount is projected to fall, but only modestly. Only under a recovery scenario with high aid inflows are poverty levels projected to be below pre-conflict levels by 2025. |
| format | Brief |
| id | CGSpace143760 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2020 |
| publishDateRange | 2020 |
| publishDateSort | 2020 |
| publisher | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| publisherStr | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1437602025-11-06T06:47:46Z Prioritizing agricultural value chains for reviving the food system in Yemen: Input for an agricultural strategy update Breisinger, Clemens Raouf, Mariam Wiebelt, Manfred supply chains agriculture agrifood systems poverty food systems In addition to the unprecedented humanitarian crisis and the creation of space for militant groups, the conflict in Yemen is also taking a heavy toll on the economy. According to estimates from the International Monetary Fund (IMF 2018) together with information on physical damages from the World Bank-led Yemen Dynamic Damage and Needs Assessment (World Bank et al. 2018), the accumulated impact of the conflict from 2015 to 2018 is estimated to be USD47 billion (in 2014 prices), nearly one and a half times total GDP in 2014. The poverty headcount for Yemen is estimated to have increased from 49 percent in 2014 to 77 percent in 2018. The results of economic recovery scenarios run within a recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium (DCGE) model of the Yemeni economy suggest that unless significant support is provided by the international community for reconstruction, poverty in coming years, even if the conflict ends, will remain high or increase even further. Poverty outcomes of alternative post-conflict transition options range between a national poverty rate of 84 percent in the worst-case scenario of economic stagnation and 50 percent in the best-case scenario that involves the recovery of physical capital, total factor productivity (TFP) growth increases in all sectors, and significant inflows of foreign aid. Under a recovery scenario with lower foreign aid, the poverty headcount is projected to fall, but only modestly. Only under a recovery scenario with high aid inflows are poverty levels projected to be below pre-conflict levels by 2025. 2020-01-01 2024-05-22T12:16:40Z 2024-05-22T12:16:40Z Brief https://hdl.handle.net/10568/143760 en https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.133736 https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.134258 Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Breisinger, Clemens; Raouf, Mariam; and Wiebelt, Manfred. 2020. Prioritizing agricultural value chains for reviving the food system in Yemen: Input for an agricultural strategy update. MENA Policy Note 3. Washington, DC and Cairo, Egypt: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.133552. |
| spellingShingle | supply chains agriculture agrifood systems poverty food systems Breisinger, Clemens Raouf, Mariam Wiebelt, Manfred Prioritizing agricultural value chains for reviving the food system in Yemen: Input for an agricultural strategy update |
| title | Prioritizing agricultural value chains for reviving the food system in Yemen: Input for an agricultural strategy update |
| title_full | Prioritizing agricultural value chains for reviving the food system in Yemen: Input for an agricultural strategy update |
| title_fullStr | Prioritizing agricultural value chains for reviving the food system in Yemen: Input for an agricultural strategy update |
| title_full_unstemmed | Prioritizing agricultural value chains for reviving the food system in Yemen: Input for an agricultural strategy update |
| title_short | Prioritizing agricultural value chains for reviving the food system in Yemen: Input for an agricultural strategy update |
| title_sort | prioritizing agricultural value chains for reviving the food system in yemen input for an agricultural strategy update |
| topic | supply chains agriculture agrifood systems poverty food systems |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/143760 |
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