Impacts of COVID-19 on food security: Panel data evidence from Nigeria

This paper combines pre-pandemic face-to-face survey data with follow up phone surveys collected in April-May 2020 to quantify the overall and differential impacts of COVID-19 on household food security, labor market participation and local food prices in Nigeria. We exploit spatial variation in exp...

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Autores principales: Amare, Mulubrhan, Abay, Kibrom A., Tiberti, Luca, Chamberlin, Jordan
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/143539
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author Amare, Mulubrhan
Abay, Kibrom A.
Tiberti, Luca
Chamberlin, Jordan
author_browse Abay, Kibrom A.
Amare, Mulubrhan
Chamberlin, Jordan
Tiberti, Luca
author_facet Amare, Mulubrhan
Abay, Kibrom A.
Tiberti, Luca
Chamberlin, Jordan
author_sort Amare, Mulubrhan
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This paper combines pre-pandemic face-to-face survey data with follow up phone surveys collected in April-May 2020 to quantify the overall and differential impacts of COVID-19 on household food security, labor market participation and local food prices in Nigeria. We exploit spatial variation in exposure to COVID-19 related infections and lockdown measures along with temporal differences in our outcomes of interest using a difference-in-difference approach. We find that those households exposed to higher COVID-19 cases or mobility lockdowns experience a significant increase in measures of food insecurity. Examining possible transmission channels for this effect, we find that COVID-19 significantly reduces labor market participation and increases food prices. We find that impacts differ by economic activities and households. For instance, lockdown measures increased households' experience of food insecurity by 12 percentage points and reduced the probability of participation in non-farm business activities by 13 percentage points. These lockdown measures have smaller impacts on wage-related activities and farming activities. In terms of food security, households relying on non-farm businesses, poorer households, those with school-aged children, and those living in remote and conflicted-affected zones have experienced relatively larger deteriorations in food insecurity. These findings can help inform immediate and medium-term policy responses, including social protection policies aiming at ameliorating the impacts of the pandemic, as well as guide targeting strategies of governments and international donor agencies by identifying the most impacted sub-populations.
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spelling CGSpace1435392025-12-02T21:02:52Z Impacts of COVID-19 on food security: Panel data evidence from Nigeria Amare, Mulubrhan Abay, Kibrom A. Tiberti, Luca Chamberlin, Jordan labour market surveys covid-19 households social protection food security food prices poverty farming systems food systems This paper combines pre-pandemic face-to-face survey data with follow up phone surveys collected in April-May 2020 to quantify the overall and differential impacts of COVID-19 on household food security, labor market participation and local food prices in Nigeria. We exploit spatial variation in exposure to COVID-19 related infections and lockdown measures along with temporal differences in our outcomes of interest using a difference-in-difference approach. We find that those households exposed to higher COVID-19 cases or mobility lockdowns experience a significant increase in measures of food insecurity. Examining possible transmission channels for this effect, we find that COVID-19 significantly reduces labor market participation and increases food prices. We find that impacts differ by economic activities and households. For instance, lockdown measures increased households' experience of food insecurity by 12 percentage points and reduced the probability of participation in non-farm business activities by 13 percentage points. These lockdown measures have smaller impacts on wage-related activities and farming activities. In terms of food security, households relying on non-farm businesses, poorer households, those with school-aged children, and those living in remote and conflicted-affected zones have experienced relatively larger deteriorations in food insecurity. These findings can help inform immediate and medium-term policy responses, including social protection policies aiming at ameliorating the impacts of the pandemic, as well as guide targeting strategies of governments and international donor agencies by identifying the most impacted sub-populations. 2020-07-01 2024-05-22T12:14:56Z 2024-05-22T12:14:56Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/143539 en https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.134179 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2021.102099 https://doi.org/10.1093/jn/nxab100 Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Amare, Mulubrhan; Abay, Kibrom A.; Tiberti, Luca; and Chamberlin, Jordan. 2020. Impacts of COVID-19 on food security: Panel data evidence from Nigeria. IFPRI Discussion Paper 1956. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.133866.
spellingShingle labour market
surveys
covid-19
households
social protection
food security
food prices
poverty
farming systems
food systems
Amare, Mulubrhan
Abay, Kibrom A.
Tiberti, Luca
Chamberlin, Jordan
Impacts of COVID-19 on food security: Panel data evidence from Nigeria
title Impacts of COVID-19 on food security: Panel data evidence from Nigeria
title_full Impacts of COVID-19 on food security: Panel data evidence from Nigeria
title_fullStr Impacts of COVID-19 on food security: Panel data evidence from Nigeria
title_full_unstemmed Impacts of COVID-19 on food security: Panel data evidence from Nigeria
title_short Impacts of COVID-19 on food security: Panel data evidence from Nigeria
title_sort impacts of covid 19 on food security panel data evidence from nigeria
topic labour market
surveys
covid-19
households
social protection
food security
food prices
poverty
farming systems
food systems
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/143539
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AT chamberlinjordan impactsofcovid19onfoodsecuritypaneldataevidencefromnigeria