Economic shocks and child wasting

In developing countries macroeconomic volatility is common, and severe negative economic shocks can substantially increase poverty and food insecurity. Less well understood are the implications of these contractions for child acute malnutrition (wasting), a major risk factor for under-5 mortality. T...

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Autores principales: Headey, Derek D., Ruel, Marie T.
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/143523
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author Headey, Derek D.
Ruel, Marie T.
author_browse Headey, Derek D.
Ruel, Marie T.
author_facet Headey, Derek D.
Ruel, Marie T.
author_sort Headey, Derek D.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description In developing countries macroeconomic volatility is common, and severe negative economic shocks can substantially increase poverty and food insecurity. Less well understood are the implications of these contractions for child acute malnutrition (wasting), a major risk factor for under-5 mortality. This study explores the nutritional impacts of growth shocks over 1990-2018 by linking wasting outcomes collected for 1.256 million children from 52 countries to lagged annual changes in national income. Difference-in-difference estimates suggest that a 10% annual decline in national income increases moderate/severe (WHZ<-2) and severe wasting (WHZ<-3) by 14 and 22 percent. An exploration of possible mechanisms suggests negative economic shocks increase risks of diarrhea, fever, and maternal underweight prevalence, and reduce child dietary diversity. Applying these results to the predicted economic impacts of COVID-19 suggests that millions of pre-school children are at increased risk of wasting and wasting-related morbidity and mortality unless urgent preventative action is taken.
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spelling CGSpace1435232025-12-02T21:02:41Z Economic shocks and child wasting Headey, Derek D. Ruel, Marie T. models child nutrition economic growth shock covid-19 linear models nutrition wasting disease (nutritional disorder) mortality In developing countries macroeconomic volatility is common, and severe negative economic shocks can substantially increase poverty and food insecurity. Less well understood are the implications of these contractions for child acute malnutrition (wasting), a major risk factor for under-5 mortality. This study explores the nutritional impacts of growth shocks over 1990-2018 by linking wasting outcomes collected for 1.256 million children from 52 countries to lagged annual changes in national income. Difference-in-difference estimates suggest that a 10% annual decline in national income increases moderate/severe (WHZ<-2) and severe wasting (WHZ<-3) by 14 and 22 percent. An exploration of possible mechanisms suggests negative economic shocks increase risks of diarrhea, fever, and maternal underweight prevalence, and reduce child dietary diversity. Applying these results to the predicted economic impacts of COVID-19 suggests that millions of pre-school children are at increased risk of wasting and wasting-related morbidity and mortality unless urgent preventative action is taken. 2020-05-01 2024-05-22T12:14:50Z 2024-05-22T12:14:50Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/143523 en https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-021-00319-4 https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-021-00323-8 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-29755-x Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Headey, Derek D.; and Ruel, Marie T. 2020. Economic shocks and child wasting. IFPRI Discussion Paper 1941. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.133786.
spellingShingle models
child nutrition
economic growth
shock
covid-19
linear models
nutrition
wasting disease (nutritional disorder)
mortality
Headey, Derek D.
Ruel, Marie T.
Economic shocks and child wasting
title Economic shocks and child wasting
title_full Economic shocks and child wasting
title_fullStr Economic shocks and child wasting
title_full_unstemmed Economic shocks and child wasting
title_short Economic shocks and child wasting
title_sort economic shocks and child wasting
topic models
child nutrition
economic growth
shock
covid-19
linear models
nutrition
wasting disease (nutritional disorder)
mortality
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/143523
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