Climate change, agriculture, and potential crop yields in Central Asia
Agriculture in Central Asia is vulnerable to climate change due to rising aridity, declining availability of water resources for irrigation, and low adaptive capacity. We use climate data from CMIP5 with RCP8.5 for greenhouse gas emissions and the DSSAT crop model to investigate how yields of key cr...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Artículo preliminar |
| Language: | Inglés |
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International Food Policy Research Institute
2021
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/143480 |
| _version_ | 1855516200465858560 |
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| author | Thomas, Timothy S. Akramov, Kamiljon T. Robertson, Richard D. Nazareth, Vijay Ilyasov, Jarilkasin |
| author_browse | Akramov, Kamiljon T. Ilyasov, Jarilkasin Nazareth, Vijay Robertson, Richard D. Thomas, Timothy S. |
| author_facet | Thomas, Timothy S. Akramov, Kamiljon T. Robertson, Richard D. Nazareth, Vijay Ilyasov, Jarilkasin |
| author_sort | Thomas, Timothy S. |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Agriculture in Central Asia is vulnerable to climate change due to rising aridity, declining availability of water resources for irrigation, and low adaptive capacity. We use climate data from CMIP5 with RCP8.5 for greenhouse gas emissions and the DSSAT crop model to investigate how yields of key crops in Central Asia will be affected by climate change. We distinguish changes in yields between spring and winter plantings, between irrigated and rainfed crops, and between crops grown with high and low amounts of fertilizer. The results suggest that countries (and areas within countries) that either have moderate summers or grow a number of crops in a relatively cold winter will benefit from climate change, while countries that grow many of the crops in the summer will experience losses. |
| format | Artículo preliminar |
| id | CGSpace143480 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2021 |
| publishDateRange | 2021 |
| publishDateSort | 2021 |
| publisher | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| publisherStr | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1434802025-12-02T21:03:13Z Climate change, agriculture, and potential crop yields in Central Asia Thomas, Timothy S. Akramov, Kamiljon T. Robertson, Richard D. Nazareth, Vijay Ilyasov, Jarilkasin greenhouse gas emissions crops modelling capacity development agriculture yields land reform crop modelling climate change Agriculture in Central Asia is vulnerable to climate change due to rising aridity, declining availability of water resources for irrigation, and low adaptive capacity. We use climate data from CMIP5 with RCP8.5 for greenhouse gas emissions and the DSSAT crop model to investigate how yields of key crops in Central Asia will be affected by climate change. We distinguish changes in yields between spring and winter plantings, between irrigated and rainfed crops, and between crops grown with high and low amounts of fertilizer. The results suggest that countries (and areas within countries) that either have moderate summers or grow a number of crops in a relatively cold winter will benefit from climate change, while countries that grow many of the crops in the summer will experience losses. 2021-12-30 2024-05-22T12:14:25Z 2024-05-22T12:14:25Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/143480 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Thomas, Timothy S.; Akramov, Kamiljon T.; Robertson, Richard D.; Nazareth, Vijay; and Ilyasov, Jarilkasin. 2021. Climate change, agriculture, and potential crop yields in Central Asia. IFPRI Discussion Paper 2081. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.134920. |
| spellingShingle | greenhouse gas emissions crops modelling capacity development agriculture yields land reform crop modelling climate change Thomas, Timothy S. Akramov, Kamiljon T. Robertson, Richard D. Nazareth, Vijay Ilyasov, Jarilkasin Climate change, agriculture, and potential crop yields in Central Asia |
| title | Climate change, agriculture, and potential crop yields in Central Asia |
| title_full | Climate change, agriculture, and potential crop yields in Central Asia |
| title_fullStr | Climate change, agriculture, and potential crop yields in Central Asia |
| title_full_unstemmed | Climate change, agriculture, and potential crop yields in Central Asia |
| title_short | Climate change, agriculture, and potential crop yields in Central Asia |
| title_sort | climate change agriculture and potential crop yields in central asia |
| topic | greenhouse gas emissions crops modelling capacity development agriculture yields land reform crop modelling climate change |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/143480 |
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