Climate change and hunger: Estimating costs of adaptation in the agrifood system

This report assesses the cost of adaptation to climate change across a range of future climate scenarios and investment options. We focus on offsetting climate change impacts on hunger through investment in agricultural research, water management, and rural infrastructure in developing countries. We...

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Autores principales: Sulser, Timothy, Wiebe, Keith D., Dunston, Shahnila, Cenacchi, Nicola, Nin-Pratt, Alejandro, Mason-D’Croz, Daniel, Robertson, Richard D., Willenbockel, Dirk, Rosegrant, Mark W.
Formato: Informe técnico
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/143296
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author Sulser, Timothy
Wiebe, Keith D.
Dunston, Shahnila
Cenacchi, Nicola
Nin-Pratt, Alejandro
Mason-D’Croz, Daniel
Robertson, Richard D.
Willenbockel, Dirk
Rosegrant, Mark W.
author_browse Cenacchi, Nicola
Dunston, Shahnila
Mason-D’Croz, Daniel
Nin-Pratt, Alejandro
Robertson, Richard D.
Rosegrant, Mark W.
Sulser, Timothy
Wiebe, Keith D.
Willenbockel, Dirk
author_facet Sulser, Timothy
Wiebe, Keith D.
Dunston, Shahnila
Cenacchi, Nicola
Nin-Pratt, Alejandro
Mason-D’Croz, Daniel
Robertson, Richard D.
Willenbockel, Dirk
Rosegrant, Mark W.
author_sort Sulser, Timothy
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This report assesses the cost of adaptation to climate change across a range of future climate scenarios and investment options. We focus on offsetting climate change impacts on hunger through investment in agricultural research, water management, and rural infrastructure in developing countries. We link climate, crop, water, and economic models to (1) analyze scenarios of future change in the agriculture sector to 2050 and (2) assess trade-offs for these investments across key Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) for poverty, hunger, and water. Our reference projections show that climate change slows progress toward eliminating hunger, with an additional 78 million people facing chronic hunger in 2050 relative to a no-climate-change future, over half of them in Africa south of the Sahara. Increased investments can offset these impacts. Achieving this would require that annual investment in international agricultural research increase from US$1.62 billion to US$2.77 billion per year between 2015 and 2050. Additional water and infrastructure investments are estimated to be more expensive than agricultural R&D at about US$12.7 billion and US$10.8 billion per year, respectively, but these address key gaps to support transformation toward food system resiliency. Findings on ranges of costs and trade-offs and complementarities across SDGs will help policymakers make better-informed choices between alternative investment strategies.
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spelling CGSpace1432962025-11-06T07:37:53Z Climate change and hunger: Estimating costs of adaptation in the agrifood system Sulser, Timothy Wiebe, Keith D. Dunston, Shahnila Cenacchi, Nicola Nin-Pratt, Alejandro Mason-D’Croz, Daniel Robertson, Richard D. Willenbockel, Dirk Rosegrant, Mark W. costs investment hunger agriculture agrifood systems food security food systems climate change This report assesses the cost of adaptation to climate change across a range of future climate scenarios and investment options. We focus on offsetting climate change impacts on hunger through investment in agricultural research, water management, and rural infrastructure in developing countries. We link climate, crop, water, and economic models to (1) analyze scenarios of future change in the agriculture sector to 2050 and (2) assess trade-offs for these investments across key Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) for poverty, hunger, and water. Our reference projections show that climate change slows progress toward eliminating hunger, with an additional 78 million people facing chronic hunger in 2050 relative to a no-climate-change future, over half of them in Africa south of the Sahara. Increased investments can offset these impacts. Achieving this would require that annual investment in international agricultural research increase from US$1.62 billion to US$2.77 billion per year between 2015 and 2050. Additional water and infrastructure investments are estimated to be more expensive than agricultural R&D at about US$12.7 billion and US$10.8 billion per year, respectively, but these address key gaps to support transformation toward food system resiliency. Findings on ranges of costs and trade-offs and complementarities across SDGs will help policymakers make better-informed choices between alternative investment strategies. 2021-06-01 2024-05-22T12:12:57Z 2024-05-22T12:12:57Z Report https://hdl.handle.net/10568/143296 en https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.135065 https://doi.org/10.2499/0896295354 Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Sulser, Timothy; Wiebe, Keith D.; Dunston, Shahnila; Cenacchi, Nicola; Nin-Pratt, Alejandro; Mason-D’Croz, Daniel; Robertson, Richard D.; Willenbockel, Dirk; and Rosegrant, Mark W. 2021. Climate change and hunger: Estimating costs of adaptation in the agrifood system. Food Policy Report June 2021. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://doi.org/10.2499/9780896294165.
spellingShingle costs
investment
hunger
agriculture
agrifood systems
food security
food systems
climate change
Sulser, Timothy
Wiebe, Keith D.
Dunston, Shahnila
Cenacchi, Nicola
Nin-Pratt, Alejandro
Mason-D’Croz, Daniel
Robertson, Richard D.
Willenbockel, Dirk
Rosegrant, Mark W.
Climate change and hunger: Estimating costs of adaptation in the agrifood system
title Climate change and hunger: Estimating costs of adaptation in the agrifood system
title_full Climate change and hunger: Estimating costs of adaptation in the agrifood system
title_fullStr Climate change and hunger: Estimating costs of adaptation in the agrifood system
title_full_unstemmed Climate change and hunger: Estimating costs of adaptation in the agrifood system
title_short Climate change and hunger: Estimating costs of adaptation in the agrifood system
title_sort climate change and hunger estimating costs of adaptation in the agrifood system
topic costs
investment
hunger
agriculture
agrifood systems
food security
food systems
climate change
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/143296
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