Maize price seasonality in Ethiopia: Does access to improved grain storage technology matter for farmers’ welfare?

African seasonal price variability for cereals is two to three times higher than price variability on the international reference market. Seasonality is even more pronounced when access to storage is limited, leading to low opportunities for price arbitrage. This leads to low incomes and food insecu...

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Autores principales: Negede, Betelhem M., Voors, Maarten, De Groote, Hugo, Minten, Bart
Formato: Conference Paper
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Association of Agricultural Economists 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/143018
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author Negede, Betelhem M.
Voors, Maarten
De Groote, Hugo
Minten, Bart
author_browse De Groote, Hugo
Minten, Bart
Negede, Betelhem M.
Voors, Maarten
author_facet Negede, Betelhem M.
Voors, Maarten
De Groote, Hugo
Minten, Bart
author_sort Negede, Betelhem M.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description African seasonal price variability for cereals is two to three times higher than price variability on the international reference market. Seasonality is even more pronounced when access to storage is limited, leading to low opportunities for price arbitrage. This leads to low incomes and food insecurity for smallholder farmers during the lean season, the “higher price” season. One solution to reduce seasonal stress is the use of improved storage technologies. Using data from a randomized controlled trial, we study the impact of hermetic bags, a technology that protects stored maize grain against insect pests, and helps to store it longer, in a major maizegrowing region of Western Ethiopia. We find considerable price seasonality: maize prices in the lean season are up to 36% higher than maize prices after harvesting. However, we find no evidence that hermetic bags improve welfare, except that these bags allowed for a marginally longer storage period of maize intended for sale. This “near-null” effect is due to the fact that maize storage losses in our study region are not as high as previous studies suggested, but just under 2% of annual storage. To safely store maize, farmers have benefited from the recent advance in access to a cheap but toxic alternative fumigant. Looking at heterogeneity treatment effects, we find that farmers who are cash constrained store 4% less than those who are not. This behavior generates a large scale price seasonality that further lowers farmers’ welfare.
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spelling CGSpace1430182025-12-08T10:06:44Z Maize price seasonality in Ethiopia: Does access to improved grain storage technology matter for farmers’ welfare? Negede, Betelhem M. Voors, Maarten De Groote, Hugo Minten, Bart food storage technology farmers randomized controlled trials welfare maize price volatility food prices grain prices seasonality postharvest losses African seasonal price variability for cereals is two to three times higher than price variability on the international reference market. Seasonality is even more pronounced when access to storage is limited, leading to low opportunities for price arbitrage. This leads to low incomes and food insecurity for smallholder farmers during the lean season, the “higher price” season. One solution to reduce seasonal stress is the use of improved storage technologies. Using data from a randomized controlled trial, we study the impact of hermetic bags, a technology that protects stored maize grain against insect pests, and helps to store it longer, in a major maizegrowing region of Western Ethiopia. We find considerable price seasonality: maize prices in the lean season are up to 36% higher than maize prices after harvesting. However, we find no evidence that hermetic bags improve welfare, except that these bags allowed for a marginally longer storage period of maize intended for sale. This “near-null” effect is due to the fact that maize storage losses in our study region are not as high as previous studies suggested, but just under 2% of annual storage. To safely store maize, farmers have benefited from the recent advance in access to a cheap but toxic alternative fumigant. Looking at heterogeneity treatment effects, we find that farmers who are cash constrained store 4% less than those who are not. This behavior generates a large scale price seasonality that further lowers farmers’ welfare. 2021-11-10 2024-05-22T12:11:34Z 2024-05-22T12:11:34Z Conference Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/143018 en Open Access International Association of Agricultural Economists Negede, Betelhem M.; Voors, Maarten; De Groote, Hugo; and Minten, Bart. 2021. Maize price seasonality in Ethiopia: Does access to improved grain storage technology matter for farmers’ welfare? Presented at the 31st International Conference of Agricultural Economists, New Delhi, India, August 17-31, 2021. https://purl.umn.edu/315240
spellingShingle food storage
technology
farmers
randomized controlled trials
welfare
maize
price volatility
food prices
grain
prices
seasonality
postharvest losses
Negede, Betelhem M.
Voors, Maarten
De Groote, Hugo
Minten, Bart
Maize price seasonality in Ethiopia: Does access to improved grain storage technology matter for farmers’ welfare?
title Maize price seasonality in Ethiopia: Does access to improved grain storage technology matter for farmers’ welfare?
title_full Maize price seasonality in Ethiopia: Does access to improved grain storage technology matter for farmers’ welfare?
title_fullStr Maize price seasonality in Ethiopia: Does access to improved grain storage technology matter for farmers’ welfare?
title_full_unstemmed Maize price seasonality in Ethiopia: Does access to improved grain storage technology matter for farmers’ welfare?
title_short Maize price seasonality in Ethiopia: Does access to improved grain storage technology matter for farmers’ welfare?
title_sort maize price seasonality in ethiopia does access to improved grain storage technology matter for farmers welfare
topic food storage
technology
farmers
randomized controlled trials
welfare
maize
price volatility
food prices
grain
prices
seasonality
postharvest losses
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/143018
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