Economic growth, convergence, and world food demand and supply
In recent years, developing countries have been growing much more rapidly than the industrial countries. This growth convergence has potentially very important implications for world food demand and for world agriculture because of the increase in demand for agricultural resources as diets shift awa...
| Autores principales: | , |
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| Formato: | Journal Article |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Elsevier
2020
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/142958 |
| _version_ | 1855528430765867008 |
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| author | Fukase, Emiko Martin, Will |
| author_browse | Fukase, Emiko Martin, Will |
| author_facet | Fukase, Emiko Martin, Will |
| author_sort | Fukase, Emiko |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | In recent years, developing countries have been growing much more rapidly than the industrial countries. This growth convergence has potentially very important implications for world food demand and for world agriculture because of the increase in demand for agricultural resources as diets shift away from starchy staples and towards animal-based products and fruits and vegetables. Using a resource-based measure of food production and consumption that accounts for the much higher production costs associated with animal-based foods, this article finds per capita demand growth to be a more important driver of food demand than population growth between now and 2050. Using the middle-ground Shared Socioeconomic Pathway scenario to 2050 from the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, which assumes continued income convergence, the article finds that the increase in food demand (102 percent) would be about a third greater than under a hypothetical scenario of all countries growing at the same rate (78 percent). As convergence increases the growth of food supply by less than demand, it appears to be a driver of upward pressure on world food prices. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace142958 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2020 |
| publishDateRange | 2020 |
| publishDateSort | 2020 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| publisherStr | Elsevier |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1429582025-02-24T06:49:01Z Economic growth, convergence, and world food demand and supply Fukase, Emiko Martin, Will income income generation economic growth supply balance demand food supply food security In recent years, developing countries have been growing much more rapidly than the industrial countries. This growth convergence has potentially very important implications for world food demand and for world agriculture because of the increase in demand for agricultural resources as diets shift away from starchy staples and towards animal-based products and fruits and vegetables. Using a resource-based measure of food production and consumption that accounts for the much higher production costs associated with animal-based foods, this article finds per capita demand growth to be a more important driver of food demand than population growth between now and 2050. Using the middle-ground Shared Socioeconomic Pathway scenario to 2050 from the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, which assumes continued income convergence, the article finds that the increase in food demand (102 percent) would be about a third greater than under a hypothetical scenario of all countries growing at the same rate (78 percent). As convergence increases the growth of food supply by less than demand, it appears to be a driver of upward pressure on world food prices. 2020-08-01 2024-05-22T12:11:23Z 2024-05-22T12:11:23Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/142958 en https://hdl.handle.net/10986/28918 Open Access Elsevier Fukase, Emiko; and Martin, Will. 2020. Economic growth, convergence, and world food demand and supply. World Development 132(August 2020): 104954. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2020.104954 |
| spellingShingle | income income generation economic growth supply balance demand food supply food security Fukase, Emiko Martin, Will Economic growth, convergence, and world food demand and supply |
| title | Economic growth, convergence, and world food demand and supply |
| title_full | Economic growth, convergence, and world food demand and supply |
| title_fullStr | Economic growth, convergence, and world food demand and supply |
| title_full_unstemmed | Economic growth, convergence, and world food demand and supply |
| title_short | Economic growth, convergence, and world food demand and supply |
| title_sort | economic growth convergence and world food demand and supply |
| topic | income income generation economic growth supply balance demand food supply food security |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/142958 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT fukaseemiko economicgrowthconvergenceandworldfooddemandandsupply AT martinwill economicgrowthconvergenceandworldfooddemandandsupply |