Impact of climate change on agriculture in Kazakhstan
Using the Global IMPACT model, we investigate the probable effect of climate change on the performance of agriculture and socio-economic conditions in Kazakhstan under five climate-change scenarios. These include a baseline and four climate-change scenarios (MIROC, Hadgem, GFDL, and IPSL) from the I...
| Autores principales: | , , , |
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| Formato: | Journal Article |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
University of Westminster Press
2020
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| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/142903 |
| _version_ | 1855543729406869504 |
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| author | Islyami, Aidan Aldashev, Alisher Thomas, Timothy S. Dunston, Shahnila |
| author_browse | Aldashev, Alisher Dunston, Shahnila Islyami, Aidan Thomas, Timothy S. |
| author_facet | Islyami, Aidan Aldashev, Alisher Thomas, Timothy S. Dunston, Shahnila |
| author_sort | Islyami, Aidan |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Using the Global IMPACT model, we investigate the probable effect of climate change on the performance of agriculture and socio-economic conditions in Kazakhstan under five climate-change scenarios. These include a baseline and four climate-change scenarios (MIROC, Hadgem, GFDL, and IPSL) from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). More specifically, we focus on climate-change impact on the production of wheat, potatoes, cotton, maize, rice, and barley. The results suggest that increased temperatures and precipitation will hurt spring crop yields such as wheat and barley. Climate change will probably positively impact the yields of winter varieties of wheat and barley and enable farmers to practise multiple cropping during a farming season. Rice yield is also expected to increase due to climate change, but the yield of potatoes is projected to be adversely affected. Therefore, climate change will be one of the critical challenges for improving agricultural productivity, household welfare, and ensuring food and nutrition security in Kazakhstan. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace142903 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2020 |
| publishDateRange | 2020 |
| publishDateSort | 2020 |
| publisher | University of Westminster Press |
| publisherStr | University of Westminster Press |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1429032025-02-19T13:42:59Z Impact of climate change on agriculture in Kazakhstan Islyami, Aidan Aldashev, Alisher Thomas, Timothy S. Dunston, Shahnila models potatoes policies food policies cotton households crops rice maize agriculture nutrition food security yields agricultural productivity climate change Using the Global IMPACT model, we investigate the probable effect of climate change on the performance of agriculture and socio-economic conditions in Kazakhstan under five climate-change scenarios. These include a baseline and four climate-change scenarios (MIROC, Hadgem, GFDL, and IPSL) from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). More specifically, we focus on climate-change impact on the production of wheat, potatoes, cotton, maize, rice, and barley. The results suggest that increased temperatures and precipitation will hurt spring crop yields such as wheat and barley. Climate change will probably positively impact the yields of winter varieties of wheat and barley and enable farmers to practise multiple cropping during a farming season. Rice yield is also expected to increase due to climate change, but the yield of potatoes is projected to be adversely affected. Therefore, climate change will be one of the critical challenges for improving agricultural productivity, household welfare, and ensuring food and nutrition security in Kazakhstan. 2020-12-04 2024-05-22T12:11:17Z 2024-05-22T12:11:17Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/142903 en Open Access University of Westminster Press Islyami, Aidan; Aldashev, Alisher; Thomas, Timothy S.; and Dunston, Shahnila. 2020. Impact of climate change on agriculture in Kazakhstan. Silk Road: A Journal of Eurasian Development 2(1): 66–88. https://doi.org/10.16997/srjed.19 |
| spellingShingle | models potatoes policies food policies cotton households crops rice maize agriculture nutrition food security yields agricultural productivity climate change Islyami, Aidan Aldashev, Alisher Thomas, Timothy S. Dunston, Shahnila Impact of climate change on agriculture in Kazakhstan |
| title | Impact of climate change on agriculture in Kazakhstan |
| title_full | Impact of climate change on agriculture in Kazakhstan |
| title_fullStr | Impact of climate change on agriculture in Kazakhstan |
| title_full_unstemmed | Impact of climate change on agriculture in Kazakhstan |
| title_short | Impact of climate change on agriculture in Kazakhstan |
| title_sort | impact of climate change on agriculture in kazakhstan |
| topic | models potatoes policies food policies cotton households crops rice maize agriculture nutrition food security yields agricultural productivity climate change |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/142903 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT islyamiaidan impactofclimatechangeonagricultureinkazakhstan AT aldashevalisher impactofclimatechangeonagricultureinkazakhstan AT thomastimothys impactofclimatechangeonagricultureinkazakhstan AT dunstonshahnila impactofclimatechangeonagricultureinkazakhstan |