Climate change effects on agriculture and food security in Tajikistan

Climate change is one of the main challenges for Tajikistan’s agricultural development and food security both in the medium and longer term. It is considered one of the key obstacles to achieving the country’s strategic objectives as defined in the National Development Strategy for 2016–2030, which...

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Main Authors: Khakimov, Parviz, Aliev, Jovidon, Thomas, Timothy S., Ilyasov, Jarilkasin, Dunston, Shahnila
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: University of Westminster Press 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/142901
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author Khakimov, Parviz
Aliev, Jovidon
Thomas, Timothy S.
Ilyasov, Jarilkasin
Dunston, Shahnila
author_browse Aliev, Jovidon
Dunston, Shahnila
Ilyasov, Jarilkasin
Khakimov, Parviz
Thomas, Timothy S.
author_facet Khakimov, Parviz
Aliev, Jovidon
Thomas, Timothy S.
Ilyasov, Jarilkasin
Dunston, Shahnila
author_sort Khakimov, Parviz
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Climate change is one of the main challenges for Tajikistan’s agricultural development and food security both in the medium and longer term. It is considered one of the key obstacles to achieving the country’s strategic objectives as defined in the National Development Strategy for 2016–2030, which includes ensuring food security and access to quality nutrition by 2030. Using IFPRI’s International Model for Policy Analysis of Agricultural Commodities and Trade (IMPACT), this article examines the effects of climate change on agriculture and food security in Tajikistan. The model simulation results show that yields of some major crops will decline significantly and project an overall negative effect of climate change on the agriculture sector in the country. Climate change will be one of the main challenges for food security, leading to an increased number of people at risk of hunger, malnourishment, especially among children and other vulnerable groups, and insufficient per capita calorie intake. Lower food availability may lead to higher food prices, which would negatively affect the livelihood of the population.
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spelling CGSpace1429012025-02-19T13:42:56Z Climate change effects on agriculture and food security in Tajikistan Khakimov, Parviz Aliev, Jovidon Thomas, Timothy S. Ilyasov, Jarilkasin Dunston, Shahnila models crops population agriculture nutrition food security yields climate change Climate change is one of the main challenges for Tajikistan’s agricultural development and food security both in the medium and longer term. It is considered one of the key obstacles to achieving the country’s strategic objectives as defined in the National Development Strategy for 2016–2030, which includes ensuring food security and access to quality nutrition by 2030. Using IFPRI’s International Model for Policy Analysis of Agricultural Commodities and Trade (IMPACT), this article examines the effects of climate change on agriculture and food security in Tajikistan. The model simulation results show that yields of some major crops will decline significantly and project an overall negative effect of climate change on the agriculture sector in the country. Climate change will be one of the main challenges for food security, leading to an increased number of people at risk of hunger, malnourishment, especially among children and other vulnerable groups, and insufficient per capita calorie intake. Lower food availability may lead to higher food prices, which would negatively affect the livelihood of the population. 2020-12-01 2024-05-22T12:11:16Z 2024-05-22T12:11:16Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/142901 en Open Access University of Westminster Press Khakimov, Parviz; Aliev, Jovidon; Thomas, Timothy S.; Ilyasov, Jarilkasin; and Dunston, Shahnila. 2020. Climate change effects on agriculture and food security in Tajikistan. Silk Road: A Journal of Eurasian Development 2(1): 89–112. https://doi.org/10.16997/srjed.33
spellingShingle models
crops
population
agriculture
nutrition
food security
yields
climate change
Khakimov, Parviz
Aliev, Jovidon
Thomas, Timothy S.
Ilyasov, Jarilkasin
Dunston, Shahnila
Climate change effects on agriculture and food security in Tajikistan
title Climate change effects on agriculture and food security in Tajikistan
title_full Climate change effects on agriculture and food security in Tajikistan
title_fullStr Climate change effects on agriculture and food security in Tajikistan
title_full_unstemmed Climate change effects on agriculture and food security in Tajikistan
title_short Climate change effects on agriculture and food security in Tajikistan
title_sort climate change effects on agriculture and food security in tajikistan
topic models
crops
population
agriculture
nutrition
food security
yields
climate change
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/142901
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