Assessing population exposure to coastal flooding due to sea level rise
The exposure of populations to sea-level rise (SLR) is a leading indicator assessing the impact of future climate change on coastal regions. SLR exposes coastal populations to a spectrum of impacts with broad spatial and temporal heterogeneity, but exposure assessments often narrowly define the spat...
| Autores principales: | , , , , , |
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| Formato: | Journal Article |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Nature Publishing Group
2021
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/142810 |
| _version_ | 1855526047876907008 |
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| author | Hauer, Mathew E. Hardy, Dean Kulp, Scott A. Mueller, Valerie Wrathall, David J. Clark, Peter U. |
| author_browse | Clark, Peter U. Hardy, Dean Hauer, Mathew E. Kulp, Scott A. Mueller, Valerie Wrathall, David J. |
| author_facet | Hauer, Mathew E. Hardy, Dean Kulp, Scott A. Mueller, Valerie Wrathall, David J. Clark, Peter U. |
| author_sort | Hauer, Mathew E. |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | The exposure of populations to sea-level rise (SLR) is a leading indicator assessing the impact of future climate change on coastal regions. SLR exposes coastal populations to a spectrum of impacts with broad spatial and temporal heterogeneity, but exposure assessments often narrowly define the spatial zone of flooding. Here we show how choice of zone results in differential exposure estimates across space and time. Further, we apply a spatio-temporal flood-modeling approach that integrates across these spatial zones to assess the annual probability of population exposure. We apply our model to the coastal United States to demonstrate a more robust assessment of population exposure to flooding from SLR in any given year. Our results suggest that more explicit decisions regarding spatial zone (and associated temporal implication) will improve adaptation planning and policies by indicating the relative chance and magnitude of coastal populations to be affected by future SLR. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace142810 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2021 |
| publishDateRange | 2021 |
| publishDateSort | 2021 |
| publisher | Nature Publishing Group |
| publisherStr | Nature Publishing Group |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1428102025-02-19T13:42:22Z Assessing population exposure to coastal flooding due to sea level rise Hauer, Mathew E. Hardy, Dean Kulp, Scott A. Mueller, Valerie Wrathall, David J. Clark, Peter U. flooding population assessment coastal climate sea level climate change The exposure of populations to sea-level rise (SLR) is a leading indicator assessing the impact of future climate change on coastal regions. SLR exposes coastal populations to a spectrum of impacts with broad spatial and temporal heterogeneity, but exposure assessments often narrowly define the spatial zone of flooding. Here we show how choice of zone results in differential exposure estimates across space and time. Further, we apply a spatio-temporal flood-modeling approach that integrates across these spatial zones to assess the annual probability of population exposure. We apply our model to the coastal United States to demonstrate a more robust assessment of population exposure to flooding from SLR in any given year. Our results suggest that more explicit decisions regarding spatial zone (and associated temporal implication) will improve adaptation planning and policies by indicating the relative chance and magnitude of coastal populations to be affected by future SLR. 2021-11-25 2024-05-22T12:11:06Z 2024-05-22T12:11:06Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/142810 en Open Access Nature Publishing Group Hauer, Mathew E.; Hardy, Dean; Kulp, Scott A.; Mueller, Valerie; Wrathall, David J.; and Clark, Peter U. 2021. Assessing population exposure to coastal flooding due to sea level rise. Nature Communications 12: 6900. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-27260-1 |
| spellingShingle | flooding population assessment coastal climate sea level climate change Hauer, Mathew E. Hardy, Dean Kulp, Scott A. Mueller, Valerie Wrathall, David J. Clark, Peter U. Assessing population exposure to coastal flooding due to sea level rise |
| title | Assessing population exposure to coastal flooding due to sea level rise |
| title_full | Assessing population exposure to coastal flooding due to sea level rise |
| title_fullStr | Assessing population exposure to coastal flooding due to sea level rise |
| title_full_unstemmed | Assessing population exposure to coastal flooding due to sea level rise |
| title_short | Assessing population exposure to coastal flooding due to sea level rise |
| title_sort | assessing population exposure to coastal flooding due to sea level rise |
| topic | flooding population assessment coastal climate sea level climate change |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/142810 |
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