Stakeholder-designed scenarios for global food security assessments

To guide policymaking, decision makers require a good understanding of the long-term drivers of food security and their interactions. Scenario analysis is widely considered as the appropriate tool to assess ‘wicked problems’, such as ensuring global food security, that are characterized by a high le...

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Autores principales: van Dijk, Michiel, Gramberger, Marc, Laborde Debucquet, David, Mandryk, Maryia, Shutes, Lindsay, Stehfest, Elke, Valin, Hugo, Faradsch, Katharina
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Elsevier 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/142612
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author van Dijk, Michiel
Gramberger, Marc
Laborde Debucquet, David
Mandryk, Maryia
Shutes, Lindsay
Stehfest, Elke
Valin, Hugo
Faradsch, Katharina
author_browse Faradsch, Katharina
Gramberger, Marc
Laborde Debucquet, David
Mandryk, Maryia
Shutes, Lindsay
Stehfest, Elke
Valin, Hugo
van Dijk, Michiel
author_facet van Dijk, Michiel
Gramberger, Marc
Laborde Debucquet, David
Mandryk, Maryia
Shutes, Lindsay
Stehfest, Elke
Valin, Hugo
Faradsch, Katharina
author_sort van Dijk, Michiel
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description To guide policymaking, decision makers require a good understanding of the long-term drivers of food security and their interactions. Scenario analysis is widely considered as the appropriate tool to assess ‘wicked problems’, such as ensuring global food security, that are characterized by a high level of complexity and uncertainty. This paper describes the development process, storylines and drivers of four new global scenarios that are specifically designed to explore global food security up to the year 2050. To ensure the relevance, credibility and legitimacy of the scenarios, they have been developed using a participatory process, involving a diverse group of stakeholders. The scenarios consist of storylines and a scenario database that presents projections for key drivers, which can be used as an input into global simulation models.
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spelling CGSpace1426122025-02-26T13:42:07Z Stakeholder-designed scenarios for global food security assessments van Dijk, Michiel Gramberger, Marc Laborde Debucquet, David Mandryk, Maryia Shutes, Lindsay Stehfest, Elke Valin, Hugo Faradsch, Katharina simulation models policies stakeholders food security decision making To guide policymaking, decision makers require a good understanding of the long-term drivers of food security and their interactions. Scenario analysis is widely considered as the appropriate tool to assess ‘wicked problems’, such as ensuring global food security, that are characterized by a high level of complexity and uncertainty. This paper describes the development process, storylines and drivers of four new global scenarios that are specifically designed to explore global food security up to the year 2050. To ensure the relevance, credibility and legitimacy of the scenarios, they have been developed using a participatory process, involving a diverse group of stakeholders. The scenarios consist of storylines and a scenario database that presents projections for key drivers, which can be used as an input into global simulation models. 2020-03-01 2024-05-22T12:10:45Z 2024-05-22T12:10:45Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/142612 en Open Access Elsevier van Dijk, Michiel; Gramberger, Marc; Laborde, David; Mandryk, Maryia; Shutes, Lindsay; Stehfest, Elke; Valin, Hugo; and Faradsch, Katharina. 2020. Stakeholder-designed scenarios for global food security assessments. Global Food Security Volume 24 (March 2020): 100352. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2020.100352
spellingShingle simulation models
policies
stakeholders
food security
decision making
van Dijk, Michiel
Gramberger, Marc
Laborde Debucquet, David
Mandryk, Maryia
Shutes, Lindsay
Stehfest, Elke
Valin, Hugo
Faradsch, Katharina
Stakeholder-designed scenarios for global food security assessments
title Stakeholder-designed scenarios for global food security assessments
title_full Stakeholder-designed scenarios for global food security assessments
title_fullStr Stakeholder-designed scenarios for global food security assessments
title_full_unstemmed Stakeholder-designed scenarios for global food security assessments
title_short Stakeholder-designed scenarios for global food security assessments
title_sort stakeholder designed scenarios for global food security assessments
topic simulation models
policies
stakeholders
food security
decision making
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/142612
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