Climate-mediated dynamics of the northern limit of paddy rice in China

Paddy rice agriculture plays an important role in food security and has a considerable influence on natural systems. In the context of climate change, understanding the nature and drivers of shifts in the northern limit of paddy rice (NLPR) is crucial for adaptation strategies and food security. How...

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Autores principales: Liang, Shefang, Wu, Wenbin, Sun, Jing, Li, Zhipeng, Sun, Xiao, Chen, Hao, Chen, Shi, Fan, Lingling, You, Liangzhi, Yang, Peng
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: IOP Publishing 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/142510
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author Liang, Shefang
Wu, Wenbin
Sun, Jing
Li, Zhipeng
Sun, Xiao
Chen, Hao
Chen, Shi
Fan, Lingling
You, Liangzhi
Yang, Peng
author_browse Chen, Hao
Chen, Shi
Fan, Lingling
Li, Zhipeng
Liang, Shefang
Sun, Jing
Sun, Xiao
Wu, Wenbin
Yang, Peng
You, Liangzhi
author_facet Liang, Shefang
Wu, Wenbin
Sun, Jing
Li, Zhipeng
Sun, Xiao
Chen, Hao
Chen, Shi
Fan, Lingling
You, Liangzhi
Yang, Peng
author_sort Liang, Shefang
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Paddy rice agriculture plays an important role in food security and has a considerable influence on natural systems. In the context of climate change, understanding the nature and drivers of shifts in the northern limit of paddy rice (NLPR) is crucial for adaptation strategies and food security. However, quantitative studies on the effect of climate change on paddy rice distribution shifts have not been well performed. Here, we mapped the NLPR in China using Landsat imagery from 1984 to 2013, analyzed the latitudinal and elevational dynamics of the NLPR using Fishnet analysis, and explored the factors driving the changes in rice area across the NLPR regions using a linear regression model. Our results show that between 1984 and 2013, the NLPR shifted 24.93 km northward (the greatest movement was 88.01 km occurring at approximately 133° E) and elevational limits increased by 39.15 m (the greatest movement was 117.08 m occurring at approximately 129° E). While socioeconomic factors (e.g. benefits, policies, irrigation, and mulch) played significant roles in rice area changes, the changes in rice area across the NLPR regions had the strongest positive association with the increase in the previous temperature, indicating that rice cultivation in the NLPR regions has moved to higher latitudes over the 30 year study period to adapt to climate change. Our study highlighted that quantifying the interactions between climate change and crop production systems can facilitate a better understanding of the human responses to changes in the growing conditions in the face of climate change and ensuring regional and global food security.
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spelling CGSpace1425102025-02-19T13:42:02Z Climate-mediated dynamics of the northern limit of paddy rice in China Liang, Shefang Wu, Wenbin Sun, Jing Li, Zhipeng Sun, Xiao Chen, Hao Chen, Shi Fan, Lingling You, Liangzhi Yang, Peng models agricultural production rice crop yield rice fields climate change adaptation climate change Paddy rice agriculture plays an important role in food security and has a considerable influence on natural systems. In the context of climate change, understanding the nature and drivers of shifts in the northern limit of paddy rice (NLPR) is crucial for adaptation strategies and food security. However, quantitative studies on the effect of climate change on paddy rice distribution shifts have not been well performed. Here, we mapped the NLPR in China using Landsat imagery from 1984 to 2013, analyzed the latitudinal and elevational dynamics of the NLPR using Fishnet analysis, and explored the factors driving the changes in rice area across the NLPR regions using a linear regression model. Our results show that between 1984 and 2013, the NLPR shifted 24.93 km northward (the greatest movement was 88.01 km occurring at approximately 133° E) and elevational limits increased by 39.15 m (the greatest movement was 117.08 m occurring at approximately 129° E). While socioeconomic factors (e.g. benefits, policies, irrigation, and mulch) played significant roles in rice area changes, the changes in rice area across the NLPR regions had the strongest positive association with the increase in the previous temperature, indicating that rice cultivation in the NLPR regions has moved to higher latitudes over the 30 year study period to adapt to climate change. Our study highlighted that quantifying the interactions between climate change and crop production systems can facilitate a better understanding of the human responses to changes in the growing conditions in the face of climate change and ensuring regional and global food security. 2021-11-01 2024-05-22T12:10:36Z 2024-05-22T12:10:36Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/142510 en Open Access IOP Publishing Liang, Shefang; Wu, Wenbin; Sun, Jing; Li, Zhipeng; Sun, Xiao; Chen, Hao; Chen, Shi; Fan, Lingling; You, Liangzhi; and Yang, Peng. 2021. Climate-mediated dynamics of the northern limit of paddy rice in China. Environmental Research Letters 16(6): 064008. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abfac0
spellingShingle models
agricultural production
rice
crop yield
rice fields
climate change adaptation
climate change
Liang, Shefang
Wu, Wenbin
Sun, Jing
Li, Zhipeng
Sun, Xiao
Chen, Hao
Chen, Shi
Fan, Lingling
You, Liangzhi
Yang, Peng
Climate-mediated dynamics of the northern limit of paddy rice in China
title Climate-mediated dynamics of the northern limit of paddy rice in China
title_full Climate-mediated dynamics of the northern limit of paddy rice in China
title_fullStr Climate-mediated dynamics of the northern limit of paddy rice in China
title_full_unstemmed Climate-mediated dynamics of the northern limit of paddy rice in China
title_short Climate-mediated dynamics of the northern limit of paddy rice in China
title_sort climate mediated dynamics of the northern limit of paddy rice in china
topic models
agricultural production
rice
crop yield
rice fields
climate change adaptation
climate change
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/142510
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