The impacts of COVID-19 on migrants, remittances, and poverty in China: A microsimulation analysis

Chinese migrant workers are very exposed to the shocks caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Falling remittances adversely affect their families who rely on remittance incomes. The impacts of COVID-19 on migrants and remittance-receiving households are assessed using a nationally representative household...

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Autores principales: Zhang, Yumei, Zhan, Yue, Diao, Xinshen, Chen, Kevin Z., Robinson, Sherman
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: John Wiley & Sons 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/142400
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author Zhang, Yumei
Zhan, Yue
Diao, Xinshen
Chen, Kevin Z.
Robinson, Sherman
author_browse Chen, Kevin Z.
Diao, Xinshen
Robinson, Sherman
Zhan, Yue
Zhang, Yumei
author_facet Zhang, Yumei
Zhan, Yue
Diao, Xinshen
Chen, Kevin Z.
Robinson, Sherman
author_sort Zhang, Yumei
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Chinese migrant workers are very exposed to the shocks caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Falling remittances adversely affect their families who rely on remittance incomes. The impacts of COVID-19 on migrants and remittance-receiving households are assessed using a nationally representative household dataset and a microsimulation model. We found about 70 percent of migrant workers lost part of their wage income during the pandemic lockdown period and rural migrants working in small and medium enterprises were affected the most. This led to about 50 percent of remittance-receiving households being affected adversely by falling remittances, and the average decline in such income was more than 45 percent. Nearly 13 percent of pre-pandemic nonpoor remittance-receiving households could fall into poverty, raising the poverty rate among remittance-receiving households by 4 percentage points. Many households that were poor prior to the pandemic became more impoverished. The results indicate that social protection programs targeting vulnerable migrants and their families at home are important.
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spelling CGSpace1424002025-12-08T10:06:44Z The impacts of COVID-19 on migrants, remittances, and poverty in China: A microsimulation analysis Zhang, Yumei Zhan, Yue Diao, Xinshen Chen, Kevin Z. Robinson, Sherman models covid-19 remittances social protection migrants poverty Chinese migrant workers are very exposed to the shocks caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Falling remittances adversely affect their families who rely on remittance incomes. The impacts of COVID-19 on migrants and remittance-receiving households are assessed using a nationally representative household dataset and a microsimulation model. We found about 70 percent of migrant workers lost part of their wage income during the pandemic lockdown period and rural migrants working in small and medium enterprises were affected the most. This led to about 50 percent of remittance-receiving households being affected adversely by falling remittances, and the average decline in such income was more than 45 percent. Nearly 13 percent of pre-pandemic nonpoor remittance-receiving households could fall into poverty, raising the poverty rate among remittance-receiving households by 4 percentage points. Many households that were poor prior to the pandemic became more impoverished. The results indicate that social protection programs targeting vulnerable migrants and their families at home are important. 2021-12-07 2024-05-22T12:10:26Z 2024-05-22T12:10:26Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/142400 en Open Access John Wiley & Sons Zhang, Yumei; Zhan, Yue; Diao, Xinshen; Chen, Kevin Z.; and Robinson, Sherman. 2021. The impacts of COVID-19 on migrants, remittances, and poverty in China: A microsimulation analysis. China and World Economy 29(6): 4-33. https://doi.org/10.1111/cwe.12392
spellingShingle models
covid-19
remittances
social protection
migrants
poverty
Zhang, Yumei
Zhan, Yue
Diao, Xinshen
Chen, Kevin Z.
Robinson, Sherman
The impacts of COVID-19 on migrants, remittances, and poverty in China: A microsimulation analysis
title The impacts of COVID-19 on migrants, remittances, and poverty in China: A microsimulation analysis
title_full The impacts of COVID-19 on migrants, remittances, and poverty in China: A microsimulation analysis
title_fullStr The impacts of COVID-19 on migrants, remittances, and poverty in China: A microsimulation analysis
title_full_unstemmed The impacts of COVID-19 on migrants, remittances, and poverty in China: A microsimulation analysis
title_short The impacts of COVID-19 on migrants, remittances, and poverty in China: A microsimulation analysis
title_sort impacts of covid 19 on migrants remittances and poverty in china a microsimulation analysis
topic models
covid-19
remittances
social protection
migrants
poverty
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/142400
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