COVID‐19 modeling in Sub‐Saharan Africa

After an initial delay, Sub‐Saharan Africa (SSA) is being hit by the pandemic. Demand for exports is falling and caseloads are rising. Governments have approached this crisis with a range of policy options. Optimal policy balances reduced infection rates with lost economic output. This paper discuss...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Mueller, Valerie, Sheriff, Glenn, Keeler, Corinna, Jehn, Megan
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/142348
Description
Summary:After an initial delay, Sub‐Saharan Africa (SSA) is being hit by the pandemic. Demand for exports is falling and caseloads are rising. Governments have approached this crisis with a range of policy options. Optimal policy balances reduced infection rates with lost economic output. This paper discusses how an economic‐epidemiological model used to analyze policy in high‐income countries could be adapted to a context where poverty considerations are paramount. Differences in country characteristics across the continent affect benefits and costs of alternative policy designs. We conclude by highlighting data needs and model calibration challenges for COVID‐19 policy research in SSA.